FA Cup results and our prediction record
We have published 371 FA Cup predictions since November 2022, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 3 times out of 7, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 6 times out of 8, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded FA Cup match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in FA Cup
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 7 | 3 | 3 of 7 too few to quote a rate |
| Double chance | 8 | 6 | 6 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 2 | 0 | 0 of 2 too few to quote a rate |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 6 | 6 | 6 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 4 | 1 | 1 of 4 too few to quote a rate |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads FA Cup
FA Cup matches in this archive average 3.19 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 63% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 52% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of FA Cup matches here and draws 16%. Our model picks the home side in 42% of them, which tracks the competition closely.
Every concluded FA Cup match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 371, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Manchester City | 0:1 | Home winat 4.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Manchester City v Southampton | 2:1 | Away winat 10.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 4.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Southampton v Arsenal | 2:1 | Away winat 1.28 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.06 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Port Vale | 7:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Liverpool | 4:0 | Away winat 3.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Leeds v Norwich | 3:0 | Away winat 6.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Port Vale v Sunderland | 1:0 | Away winat 1.42 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Fulham v Southampton | 0:1 | Away winat 5.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.38 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Newcastle v Manchester City | 1:3 | Home winat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.73 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Arsenal | 1:2 | Away winat 1.08 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Wolves v Liverpool | 1:3 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Macclesfield v Brentford | 0:1 | Away winat 1.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.73 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Wigan | 4:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit | |
| Stoke City v Fulham | 1:2 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Sunderland | 0:1 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Grimsby v Wolves | 0:1 | Home winat 5.50 Miss | Home or drawat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Birmingham v Leeds | 1:1 | Home winat 3.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Brighton | 3:0 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Newcastle | 1:3 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Salford City | 2:0 | Drawat 26.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| Southampton v Leicester | 2:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Burnley v Mansfield Town | 1:2 | Away winat 8.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Norwich v West Brom | 3:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v West Ham | 0:1 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Wrexham v Ipswich | 1:0 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Hull City v Chelsea | 0:4 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Salford City v Swindon Town | 3:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Barnsley | 4:1 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 2.00 Miss | |
| Manchester United v Brighton | 1:2 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| West Ham v QPR | 2:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Swansea v West Brom | 2:2 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Hull City v Blackburn | 0:0 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Norwich v Walsall | 5:1 | Drawat 4.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Sheffield Utd v Mansfield Town | 3:4 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Portsmouth v Arsenal | 1:4 | Away winat 1.22 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Derby v Leeds | 1:3 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Charlton v Chelsea | 1:5 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Tottenham v Aston Villa | 1:2 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Cambridge United v Birmingham | 2:3 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Home or drawat 2.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Bristol City v Watford | 5:1 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Fulham v Middlesbrough | 3:1 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Stoke City v Coventry | 1:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Brentford | 0:2 | Away winat 1.22 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Ipswich v Blackpool | 2:1 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Doncaster v Southampton | 2:3 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Burnley v Millwall | 5:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Newcastle v Bournemouth | 3:3 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Exeter City | 10:1 | Home winat 1.07 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Under 2.5at 4.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 2.62 Miss | |
| Macclesfield v Crystal Palace | 2:1 | Drawat 7.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.07 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
FA Cup teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in England
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including FA Cup, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.