Championship results and our prediction record
We have published 3,422 Championship predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 52 times out of 95, which is 55%; on the double chance it was right 6 times out of 8, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded Championship match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Championship
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 95 | 52 | 54.7% |
| Double chance | 8 | 6 | 6 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 237 | 135 | 57.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 71 | 61 | 85.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 128 | 101 | 78.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Championship
Championship matches in this archive average 2.51 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 47% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 38% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 43% of Championship matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 37% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, over or under 2.5 goals is where the model reads Championship best, at 57% from 237 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 55% from 95.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 71 calls of over 2.5 in Championship also cleared 1.5 goals 86% of the time, and our 128 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 79% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Championship match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 3,422, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich v Bolton | 3:4 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Wolves v West Brom | 1:0 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| QPR v Preston | 2:2 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Portsmouth v Blackburn | 2:2 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Home or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Wrexham v Southampton | 2:1 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Lincoln v Swansea | 1:2 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Birmingham v Middlesbrough | 2:2 | Away winat 2.35 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burnley v Derby | 1:1 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Cardiff v Charlton | 3:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Stoke City v Sheffield Utd | 2:1 | Home winat 2.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Millwall v West Ham | 2:2 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Bristol City v Watford | 1:0 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Middlesbrough v Millwall | 2:2 | Home winat 1.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bristol City v Lincoln | 0:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Sheffield Utd v Wolves | 0:1 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Watford v Stoke City | 1:2 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Blackburn v Millwall | 3:1 | Home winat 2.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Preston v Lincoln | 0:1 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Charlton v Portsmouth | 0:0 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Middlesbrough v Norwich | 4:3 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Southampton v Bristol City | 4:1 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Swansea v Burnley | 3:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| West Brom v QPR | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Derby v Birmingham | 1:2 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Bolton v Cardiff | 1:0 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| West Ham v Wrexham | 6:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Charlton v QPR | 0:0 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Derby v West Brom | 0:1 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Norwich v Birmingham | 2:1 | Home winat 1.90 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Bolton v West Ham | 2:3 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Blackburn v Sheffield Utd | 1:2 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Cardiff v Stoke City | 1:1 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Southampton v Swansea | 3:1 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Watford v Preston | 2:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Wrexham v Burnley | 1:1 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Birmingham v Wolves | 2:2 | Away winat 2.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Swansea v Wrexham | 0:0 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| West Brom v Watford | 1:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| QPR v Middlesbrough | 0:1 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| West Ham v Derby | 3:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Bristol City | 1:2 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Millwall v Bolton | 4:0 | Away winat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Portsmouth v Cardiff | 2:0 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sheffield Utd v Norwich | 1:3 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Stoke City v Charlton | 4:0 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Lincoln v Southampton | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Preston v Blackburn | 2:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Middlesbrough | 1:1 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Millwall v Wrexham | 0:3 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| QPR v Cardiff | 2:1 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Championship teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in England
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Championship, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.