Championship results and our prediction record

We have published 3,434 Championship predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 75 times out of 183, which is 41%; on the double chance it was right 35 times out of 46, which is 76%.

Every concluded Championship match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Championship

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 183 75 41.0%
Double chance 46 35 76.1%
Over or under 2.5 goals 8 3 3 of 8 too few to quote a rate
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 71 61 85.9%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 36 25 69.4%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Championship

Championship matches in this archive average 2.51 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 47% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 39% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 43% of Championship matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 37% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Championship best, at 76% from 46 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 41% from 183.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 71 calls of over 2.5 in Championship also cleared 1.5 goals 86% of the time, and our 36 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 69% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Championship match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,434, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Southampton v Portsmouth 1:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Derby v Wrexham 1:1 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Watford v Burnley 0:4 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Middlesbrough v Wolves 1:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Sheffield Utd v Lincoln 3:0 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Preston v Millwall 0:1 Home winat 2.88 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Blackburn v Cardiff 2:1 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Bolton v Stoke City 1:2 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Swansea v Norwich 2:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Charlton v Bristol City 1:1 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
West Brom v Birmingham 0:1 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
West Ham v QPR 1:1 Home winat 1.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Norwich v Bolton 3:4 Home winat 1.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Wolves v West Brom 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
QPR v Preston 2:2 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Portsmouth v Blackburn 2:2 Away winat 3.40 Miss Home or awayat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Wrexham v Southampton 2:1 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Lincoln v Swansea 1:2 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Birmingham v Middlesbrough 2:2 Away winat 2.35 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Burnley v Derby 1:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Cardiff v Charlton 3:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Stoke City v Sheffield Utd 2:1 Home winat 2.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Millwall v West Ham 2:2 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Bristol City v Watford 1:0 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Middlesbrough v Millwall 2:2 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Bristol City v Lincoln 0:1 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Sheffield Utd v Wolves 0:1 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Watford v Stoke City 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Blackburn v Millwall 3:1 Home winat 2.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Preston v Lincoln 0:1 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Charlton v Portsmouth 0:0 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Middlesbrough v Norwich 4:3 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Southampton v Bristol City 4:1 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Swansea v Burnley 3:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
West Brom v QPR 1:1 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Derby v Birmingham 1:2 Away winat 2.15 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Bolton v Cardiff 1:0 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
West Ham v Wrexham 6:0 Home winat 1.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Charlton v QPR 0:0 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Derby v West Brom 0:1 Away winat 2.35 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Norwich v Birmingham 2:1 Home winat 1.90 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Bolton v West Ham 2:3 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Blackburn v Sheffield Utd 1:2 Home winat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Cardiff v Stoke City 1:1 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Southampton v Swansea 3:1 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Watford v Preston 2:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Wrexham v Burnley 1:1 Home winat 2.05 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Birmingham v Wolves 2:2 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Swansea v Wrexham 0:0 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
West Brom v Watford 1:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Championship, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.