League One results and our prediction record
We have published 3,378 League One predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1 times out of 7, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 138 times out of 191, which is 72%.
Every concluded League One match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in League One
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 7 | 1 | 1 of 7 too few to quote a rate |
| Double chance | 191 | 138 | 72.3% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 46 | 24 | 52.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 45 | 36 | 80.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 186 | 143 | 76.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads League One
League One matches in this archive average 2.63 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 49% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 41% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 43% of League One matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 37% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads League One best, at 72% from 191 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 52% from 46.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 45 calls of over 2.5 in League One also cleared 1.5 goals 80% of the time, and our 186 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 77% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded League One match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 3,378, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley v Huddersfield | 2:1 | Away winat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Peterborough v Doncaster | 0:2 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit | |
| Luton v Bradford | 0:1 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Cambridge United | 1:1 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Leyton Orient v Stevenage | 1:0 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Wigan v Wycombe | 0:1 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County | 0:0 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Reading v Notts County | 2:0 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Blackpool v Plymouth | 2:4 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Barnsley v Leicester | 1:1 | Home winat 3.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v Mansfield Town | 2:2 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons | 0:0 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Burton Albion | 3:0 | Away winat 4.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Plymouth v Barnsley | 3:0 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster | 1:0 | Home winat 2.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough | 1:1 | Drawat 3.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Huddersfield | 0:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Wigan | 0:0 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Stockport County v Leicester | 3:4 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Blackpool v Bromley | 2:2 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Cambridge United v Reading | 2:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Leyton Orient v Wycombe | 2:3 | Home winat 2.38 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Notts County v Bradford | 0:1 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Stevenage v Luton | 2:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Bromley v AFC Wimbledon | 0:2 | Away winat 2.90 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Doncaster v Plymouth | 2:3 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Huddersfield v Notts County | 1:1 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Luton v Leyton Orient | 1:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Leicester v Oxford United | 0:4 | Home winat 1.67 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Barnsley v Stevenage | 1:5 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Bradford v Mansfield Town | 1:0 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v Cambridge United | 2:2 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Reading v Blackpool | 3:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons | 3:3 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Wigan v Stockport County | 0:4 | Away winat 2.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday | 1:2 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Reading v Mansfield Town | 5:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Luton v Stockport County | 2:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon | 4:1 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Barnsley v Blackpool | 2:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Wigan v Milton Keynes Dons | 3:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Bradford v Cambridge United | 1:2 | Away winat 4.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Bromley v Leyton Orient | 0:5 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Doncaster v Notts County | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Huddersfield v Oxford United | 3:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Leicester v Plymouth | 2:0 | Away winat 3.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Peterborough v Stevenage | 0:0 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Wycombe v Sheffield Wednesday | 1:2 | Away winat 2.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Luton | 5:2 | Home win Hit | Under 2.5 Miss | Under 3.5 Miss | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Wigan | 1:0 | Away win Miss | Over 2.5 Miss | Over 1.5 Miss |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
League One teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in England
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including League One, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.