League One results and our prediction record

We have published 3,397 League One predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 67 times out of 146, which is 46%; on the double chance it was right 110 times out of 142, which is 78%.

Every concluded League One match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in League One

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 146 67 45.9%
Double chance 142 110 77.5%
Over or under 2.5 goals 46 20 43.5%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 8 6 6 of 8 too few to quote a rate
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 78 50 64.1%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads League One

League One matches in this archive average 2.63 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 49% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 41% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 43% of League One matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads League One best, at 78% from 142 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 44% from 46.

Every concluded League One match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,397, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Leicester v Peterborough 1:3 Home winat 1.57 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Bradford v Leyton Orient 0:0 Home winat 1.73 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Wycombe v Luton 1:4 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Stockport County v Barnsley 3:1 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Stevenage v Wigan 1:0 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Milton Keynes Dons v Reading 1:5 Away winat 2.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Mansfield Town v Bromley 2:1 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Doncaster v Burton Albion 1:0 Drawat 3.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Cambridge United v Blackpool 1:0 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Notts County v Oxford United 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon 2:1 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Burton Albion v Huddersfield 1:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Reading v Bradford 1:1 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Leyton Orient v Plymouth 0:2 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Stockport County v Peterborough 1:0 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss
Plymouth v Burton Albion 0:1 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or draw Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon 1:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or draw Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Wycombe v Reading 2:2 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Bromley v Huddersfield 2:1 Away winat 1.57 Miss Draw or awayat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Peterborough v Doncaster 0:2 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit
Luton v Bradford 0:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Oxford United v Cambridge United 1:1 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leyton Orient v Stevenage 1:0 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Wigan v Wycombe 0:1 Away winat 2.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County 0:0 Away winat 2.20 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Reading v Notts County 2:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Blackpool v Plymouth 2:4 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Barnsley v Leicester 1:1 Home winat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Burton Albion v Mansfield Town 2:2 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
AFC Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons 0:0 Drawat 3.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Oxford United v Burton Albion 3:0 Away winat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Plymouth v Barnsley 3:0 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster 1:0 Home winat 2.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough 1:1 Drawat 3.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Mansfield Town v Huddersfield 0:0 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Sheffield Wednesday v Wigan 0:0 Home winat 1.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Stockport County v Leicester 3:4 Home winat 1.83 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Blackpool v Bromley 2:2 Home winat 1.73 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Cambridge United v Reading 2:1 Away winat 2.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leyton Orient v Wycombe 2:3 Home winat 2.38 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Notts County v Bradford 0:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Stevenage v Luton 2:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Bromley v AFC Wimbledon 0:2 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Doncaster v Plymouth 2:3 Away winat 2.75 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Huddersfield v Notts County 1:1 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Luton v Leyton Orient 1:1 Away winat 4.50 Miss Home or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Leicester v Oxford United 0:4 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Barnsley v Stevenage 1:5 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Bradford v Mansfield Town 1:0 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including League One, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.