League One results and our prediction record
We have published 3,450 League One predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1,476 times out of 3,450, which is 43%; on the double chance it was right 2,471 times out of 3,450, which is 72%.
Every concluded League One match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in League One
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 3,450 | 1,476 | 42.8% |
| Double chance | 3,450 | 2,471 | 71.6% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 3,450 | 1,807 | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 1,442 | 1,089 | 75.5% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 2,008 | 1,518 | 75.6% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads League One
League One matches in this archive average 2.63 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 49% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 42% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 44% of League One matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads League One best, at 72% from 3,450 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 43% from 3,450.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 1,442 calls of over 2.5 in League One also cleared 1.5 goals 76% of the time, and our 2,008 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 76% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded League One match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 3,450, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool | 1:1 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Peterborough v Luton | 0:2 | Away winat 1.90 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster | 6:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Barnsley v Oxford United | 1:1 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit | |
| Wycombe v Burton Albion | 2:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Wigan v Bromley | 3:2 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Leicester v Stevenage | 2:2 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon | 2:1 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Notts County | 0:2 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Plymouth v Reading | 0:0 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Leyton Orient v Cambridge United | 3:0 | Away winat 2.35 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Bradford v Huddersfield | 0:3 | Away winat 2.45 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley | 4:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Luton v Doncaster | 3:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Leicester v Wigan | 3:0 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Stockport County | 1:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe | 1:1 | Away winat 1.85 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Bradford | 0:0 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Notts County v Stockport County | 1:1 | Away winat 1.57 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Doncaster v Sheffield Wednesday | 2:0 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or away Miss | Under 2.5at 2.15 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Cambridge United v Plymouth | 2:3 | Home winat 2.35 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v Leyton Orient | 2:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bromley v Peterborough | 1:1 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Draw or away Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Blackpool v Mansfield Town | 1:4 | Away winat 2.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Reading v Barnsley | 2:1 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons | 0:1 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Home or draw Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Huddersfield v Wigan | 2:1 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or draw Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Luton v Leicester | 2:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Reading v Leyton Orient | 1:0 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Stevenage v Plymouth | 3:0 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday | 2:0 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Luton v Barnsley | 2:1 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Oxford United v Wigan | 2:1 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Doncaster v Stockport County | 0:2 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Huddersfield v Peterborough | 4:1 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Cambridge United v Wycombe | 2:2 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burton Albion v Bradford | 0:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Bromley v Leicester | 0:4 | Away winat 1.73 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Blackpool v Milton Keynes Dons | 2:0 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town | 0:3 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Wigan v Reading | 1:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Wycombe v Notts County | 2:0 | Away winat 3.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Plymouth v Huddersfield | 0:2 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Stockport County v Bromley | 1:0 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss | |
| Leicester v Doncaster | 2:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Bradford v Stevenage | 2:0 | Away winat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Barnsley v Cambridge United | 1:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Sheffield Wednesday v AFC Wimbledon | 5:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leyton Orient v Blackpool | 2:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
League One teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in England
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including League One, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.