Premier League (England) results and our prediction record
We have published 2,330 Premier League predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 85 times out of 194, which is 44%; on the double chance it was right 164 times out of 226, which is 73%.
Every concluded Premier League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Premier League
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 194 | 85 | 43.8% |
| Double chance | 226 | 164 | 72.6% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 234 | 128 | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 31 | 27 | 87.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 26 | 22 | 84.6% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Premier League
Premier League matches in this archive average 2.90 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 56% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 66% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 43% of Premier League matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Premier League best, at 73% from 226 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 44% from 194.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 31 calls of over 2.5 in Premier League also cleared 1.5 goals 87% of the time, and our 26 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 85% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Premier League match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 2,330, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry v Newcastle | 4:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | 0:3 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Hull City v Everton | 2:2 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 3:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Manchester United v Tottenham | 1:1 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Brentford | 2:2 | Away winat 2.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | 5:1 | Home winat 1.65 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Ipswich v Fulham | 2:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Brighton | 0:2 | Away winat 2.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Leeds | 2:1 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Fulham v Manchester United | 1:1 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Liverpool | 0:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Leeds v Crystal Palace | 0:0 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Manchester City v Sunderland | 5:3 | Home winat 1.28 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Coventry | 0:1 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Newcastle v Hull City | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Everton v Ipswich | 1:0 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Brighton v Arsenal | 3:0 | Away winat 1.67 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Aston Villa | 2:3 | Away winat 3.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Brentford v Chelsea | 3:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Leeds v Newcastle | 4:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Manchester United v Manchester City | 0:1 | Away winat 2.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Coventry v Brighton | 0:5 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Arsenal | 0:2 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Everton | 0:0 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest | 1:2 | Away winat 3.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Crystal Palace v Ipswich | 2:3 | Away winat 3.90 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Hull City | 2:2 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Brentford | 2:2 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss | |
| Liverpool v Fulham | 0:0 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or awayat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | 2:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Everton v Manchester United | 2:2 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Hull City v Aston Villa | 0:0 | Away winat 1.85 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Brentford v Sunderland | 1:1 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Coventry | 1:0 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Fulham v Crystal Palace | 2:3 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Tottenham | 0:0 | Home winat 2.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Brighton v Leeds | 1:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Newcastle v Bournemouth | 2:2 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Ipswich v Liverpool | 0:2 | Away winat 1.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Arsenal | 0:1 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Manchester United v Ipswich | 5:2 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Sunderland v Fulham | 1:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Brighton | 4:3 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leeds v Brentford | 1:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Newcastle | 0:2 | Away winat 2.90 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Everton | 1:1 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Coventry v Hull City | 0:1 | Home winat 1.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | 2:2 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Crystal Palace v Manchester City | 1:4 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Premier League teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in England
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Premier League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.