League Two results and our prediction record

We have published 3,408 League Two predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1,371 times out of 3,408, which is 40%; on the double chance it was right 2,392 times out of 3,408, which is 70%.

Every concluded League Two match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in League Two

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 3,408 1,371 40.2%
Double chance 3,408 2,392 70.2%
Over or under 2.5 goals 3,408 1,837 53.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 1,117 844 75.6%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 2,291 1,778 77.6%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads League Two

League Two matches in this archive average 2.55 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 47% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 33% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 43% of League Two matches here and draws 27%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads League Two best, at 70% from 3,408 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 40% from 3,408.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 1,117 calls of over 2.5 in League Two also cleared 1.5 goals 76% of the time, and our 2,291 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 78% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded League Two match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,408, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Accrington ST v Northampton 1:1 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Crewe v Barnet 1:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Fleetwood Town v Bristol Rovers 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Shrewsbury v Gillingham 1:2 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Swindon Town v Rotherham 2:1 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Tranmere v Cheltenham 3:1 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Colchester v Walsall 1:3 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Oldham v Crawley Town 0:1 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Salford City v Exeter City 2:1 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Port Vale v Rochdale 4:2 Drawat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 2.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Grimsby v York 5:2 Drawat 3.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Newport County v Chesterfield 4:1 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Walsall v Salford City 2:4 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Exeter City v Fleetwood Town 2:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Gillingham v Grimsby 1:4 Away winat 2.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Rochdale v Accrington ST 0:5 Away winat 2.60 Hit Draw or away Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Rotherham v Shrewsbury 3:3 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
York v Port Vale 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or draw Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Chesterfield v Crewe 5:1 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Barnet v Oldham 1:1 Home winat 1.73 Miss Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Crawley Town v Tranmere 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Northampton v Colchester 2:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or draw Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Cheltenham v Newport County 1:0 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or away Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town 0:0 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Gillingham v Port Vale 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Barnet v Swindon Town 1:3 Home winat 1.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Bristol Rovers v Salford City 1:2 Away winat 2.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town 4:2 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Chesterfield v Colchester 1:1 Home winat 1.57 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Crawley Town v Shrewsbury 2:3 Away winat 2.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Exeter City v Crewe 2:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Northampton v Tranmere 0:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Rochdale v Grimsby 2:2 Drawat 3.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Walsall v Oldham 3:0 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rotherham v Newport County 2:2 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
York v Accrington ST 1:1 Away winat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Crewe v Rochdale 3:2 Drawat 3.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Colchester v Exeter City 0:0 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Accrington ST v Gillingham 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Newport County v York 1:1 Drawat 3.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Oldham v Cheltenham 4:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Port Vale v Chesterfield 1:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Tranmere v Barnet 1:2 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Swindon Town v Walsall 1:1 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Salford City v Crawley Town 2:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Grimsby v Northampton 0:2 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Fleetwood Town v Rotherham 2:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Shrewsbury v Bristol Rovers 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Cheltenham v Salford City 0:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Bristol Rovers v Barnet 1:3 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including League Two, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.