Leeds results and our prediction record
Leeds have played 264 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Premier League in October 2026.
We called 119 of those 264 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 44% across Premier League as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Leeds
Across every Leeds match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 264 | 119 | 45.1% |
| Double chance | 264 | 189 | 71.6% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 264 | 145 | 54.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 182 | 142 | 78.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 82 | 55 | 67.1% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 264 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Leeds at home we were right 50% of the time from 131 matches, and away from home 41% from 133, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Leeds correctly 55% of the time in the Championship across 95 matches, and 39% in the Premier League across 155.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 45% from 264 predictions | 72% from 264 predictions | 55% from 264 predictions | 78% from 182 predictions | 67% from 82 predictions |
| At home | 50% from 131 predictions | 76% from 131 predictions | 49% from 131 predictions | 76% from 95 predictions | 61% from 36 predictions |
| Away from home | 41% from 133 predictions | 68% from 133 predictions | 61% from 133 predictions | 81% from 87 predictions | 72% from 46 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 39% from 155 predictions | 70% from 155 predictions | 55% from 155 predictions | 76% from 112 predictions | 67% from 43 predictions |
| Championship | 55% from 95 predictions | 77% from 95 predictions | 56% from 95 predictions | 81% from 59 predictions | 69% from 36 predictions |
| FA Cup | 6 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 8 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Leeds results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 264, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Leeds | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Leeds v Crystal Palace | Premier League | 0:0 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Leeds v Newcastle | Premier League | 4:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Brighton v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Leeds v Brentford | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nottingham Forest v Leeds | Premier League | 0:1 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| West Ham v Leeds | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leeds v Brighton | Premier League | 1:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Tottenham v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leeds v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 8.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | FA Cup | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Bournemouth v Leeds | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leeds v Wolves | Premier League | 3:0 | Drawat 3.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Leeds v Norwich | FA Cup | 3:0 | Away winat 6.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Leeds v Sunderland | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 4.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Leeds v Manchester City | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Aston Villa v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Birmingham v Leeds | FA Cup | 1:1 | Home winat 3.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leeds v Nottingham Forest | Premier League | 3:1 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Leeds v Arsenal | Premier League | 0:4 | Away winat 1.53 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Everton v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leeds v Fulham | Premier League | 1:0 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Derby v Leeds | FA Cup | 1:3 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Newcastle v Leeds | Premier League | 4:3 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leeds v Manchester United | Premier League | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Leeds | Premier League | 0:0 | Home winat 1.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Sunderland v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leeds v Crystal Palace | Premier League | 4:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Brentford v Leeds | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Leeds v Liverpool | Premier League | 3:3 | Away winat 1.85 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leeds v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Manchester City v Leeds | Premier League | 3:2 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Leeds v Aston Villa | Premier League | 1:2 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Nottingham Forest v Leeds | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Brighton v Leeds | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leeds v West Ham | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Leeds | Premier League | 2:0 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leeds v Tottenham | Premier League | 1:2 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Leeds v Bournemouth | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Wolves v Leeds | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Fulham v Leeds | Premier League | 1:0 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Leeds v Newcastle | Premier League | 0:0 | Home winat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Leeds | Premier League | 5:0 | Away winat 9.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Leeds v Everton | Premier League | 1:0 | Home winat 2.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Plymouth v Leeds | Championship | 1:2 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Leeds v Bristol City | Championship | 4:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leeds v Stoke City | Championship | 6:0 | Home winat 1.27 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Oxford United v Leeds | Championship | 0:1 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Leeds v Preston | Championship | 2:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Leeds in Premier League
Premier League is where Leeds played most recently. We have graded 2,329 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
Premier League results and our prediction record
Other Premier League teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Leeds, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.