Leeds results and our prediction record

Leeds have played 267 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Premier League in October 2026.

We called 121 of those 267 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 48% across Premier League as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Leeds

Across every Leeds match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 267 121 45.3%
Double chance 267 192 71.9%
Over or under 2.5 goals 267 146 54.7%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 184 143 77.7%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 83 56 67.5%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 267 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Leeds at home we were right 50% of the time from 132 matches, and away from home 41% from 135, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Leeds correctly 55% of the time in the Championship across 95 matches, and 40% in the Premier League across 158.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 45% from 267 predictions 72% from 267 predictions 55% from 267 predictions 78% from 184 predictions 68% from 83 predictions
At home 50% from 132 predictions 76% from 132 predictions 49% from 132 predictions 76% from 95 predictions 62% from 37 predictions
Away from home 41% from 135 predictions 68% from 135 predictions 60% from 135 predictions 80% from 89 predictions 72% from 46 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Premier League 40% from 158 predictions 70% from 158 predictions 54% from 158 predictions 75% from 114 predictions 68% from 44 predictions
Championship 55% from 95 predictions 77% from 95 predictions 56% from 95 predictions 81% from 59 predictions 69% from 36 predictions
FA Cup 6 of 14 too few to quote a rate 8 of 14 too few to quote a rate 7 of 14 too few to quote a rate 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate 1 of 3 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Leeds results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 267, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Bournemouth v Leeds Premier League 2:0 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Sunderland v Leeds Premier League 0:0 Home winat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Leeds v Manchester United Premier League 1:1 Drawat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Arsenal v Leeds Premier League 2:1 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leeds v Crystal Palace Premier League 0:0 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Leeds v Newcastle Premier League 4:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Brighton v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leeds v Brentford Premier League 1:1 Away winat 2.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Nottingham Forest v Leeds Premier League 0:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
West Ham v Leeds Premier League 3:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Leeds v Brighton Premier League 1:0 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Tottenham v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Leeds v Burnley Premier League 3:1 Away winat 8.00 Miss Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Chelsea v Leeds FA Cup 1:0 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Bournemouth v Leeds Premier League 2:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Leeds v Wolves Premier League 3:0 Drawat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Leeds v Norwich FA Cup 3:0 Away winat 6.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Leeds v Sunderland Premier League 0:1 Away winat 4.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Leeds v Manchester City Premier League 0:1 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Aston Villa v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Birmingham v Leeds FA Cup 1:1 Home winat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Chelsea v Leeds Premier League 2:2 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Leeds v Nottingham Forest Premier League 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Leeds v Arsenal Premier League 0:4 Away winat 1.53 Hit Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Everton v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Leeds v Fulham Premier League 1:0 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Derby v Leeds FA Cup 1:3 Away winat 1.75 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Newcastle v Leeds Premier League 4:3 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Leeds v Manchester United Premier League 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Liverpool v Leeds Premier League 0:0 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Sunderland v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Leeds v Crystal Palace Premier League 4:1 Away winat 2.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Brentford v Leeds Premier League 1:1 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leeds v Liverpool Premier League 3:3 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Leeds v Chelsea Premier League 3:1 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Manchester City v Leeds Premier League 3:2 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Leeds v Aston Villa Premier League 1:2 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Nottingham Forest v Leeds Premier League 3:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Brighton v Leeds Premier League 3:0 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Leeds v West Ham Premier League 2:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Burnley v Leeds Premier League 2:0 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Leeds v Tottenham Premier League 1:2 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Leeds v Bournemouth Premier League 2:2 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Wolves v Leeds Premier League 1:3 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Fulham v Leeds Premier League 1:0 Away winat 4.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Leeds v Newcastle Premier League 0:0 Home winat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Arsenal v Leeds Premier League 5:0 Away winat 9.50 Miss Draw or awayat 3.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Leeds v Everton Premier League 1:0 Home winat 2.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Plymouth v Leeds Championship 1:2 Away winat 1.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Leeds v Bristol City Championship 4:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Leeds in Premier League

Premier League is where Leeds played most recently. We have graded 2,359 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.

Premier League results and our prediction record

Other Premier League teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Leeds, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.