Chelsea results and our prediction record
Chelsea have played 298 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Premier League in October 2026.
We called 155 of those 298 correctly on the match result, which is 52%, against 44% across Premier League as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Chelsea
Across every Chelsea match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 298 | 155 | 52.0% |
| Double chance | 298 | 236 | 79.2% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 298 | 167 | 56.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 202 | 160 | 79.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 96 | 70 | 72.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 298 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Chelsea at home we were right 53% of the time from 149 matches, and away from home 51% from 149, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Chelsea correctly 51% of the time in the UEFA Champions League across 35 matches, and 50% in the Premier League across 234.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 52% from 298 predictions | 79% from 298 predictions | 56% from 298 predictions | 79% from 202 predictions | 73% from 96 predictions |
| At home | 53% from 149 predictions | 81% from 149 predictions | 58% from 149 predictions | 79% from 107 predictions | 76% from 42 predictions |
| Away from home | 51% from 149 predictions | 77% from 149 predictions | 54% from 149 predictions | 79% from 95 predictions | 70% from 54 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 50% from 234 predictions | 79% from 234 predictions | 56% from 234 predictions | 81% from 159 predictions | 75% from 75 predictions |
| UEFA Champions League | 51% from 35 predictions | 80% from 35 predictions | 54% from 35 predictions | 67% from 21 predictions | 11 of 14 too few to quote a rate |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | 12 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 12 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 2 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| FA Cup | 8 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 0 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| UEFA Super Cup | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate | none no prediction made | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Chelsea results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 298, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | Premier League | 5:1 | Home winat 1.65 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Brentford v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Hull City | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Brighton | Premier League | 4:3 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Fulham v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Tottenham | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Manchester City | FA Cup | 0:1 | Home winat 4.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Liverpool v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Nottingham Forest | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 5.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | FA Cup | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Brighton v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Manchester United | Premier League | 0:1 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Manchester City | Premier League | 0:3 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Home or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Port Vale | FA Cup | 7:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Everton v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Paris Saint Germain | UEFA Champions League | 0:3 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Newcastle | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 3.80 Hit | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 5:2 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:4 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Hull City v Chelsea | FA Cup | 0:4 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Wolves v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 1.61 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.16 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.21 Hit | |
| Chelsea v West Ham | Premier League | 3:2 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Napoli v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:3 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Crystal Palace v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Pafos | UEFA Champions League | 1:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Brentford | Premier League | 2:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Charlton v Chelsea | FA Cup | 1:5 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Fulham v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Aston Villa | Premier League | 1:2 | Away winat 4.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Newcastle v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 2.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Everton | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Leeds v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Arsenal | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Barcelona | UEFA Champions League | 3:0 | Home winat 2.38 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Burnley v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.44 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Wolves | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Qarabag v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.36 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Sunderland | Premier League | 1:2 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Ajax | UEFA Champions League | 5:1 | Drawat 6.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.80 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:3 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Chelsea in Premier League
Premier League is where Chelsea played most recently. We have graded 2,330 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
Premier League results and our prediction record
Other Premier League teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Chelsea, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.