Chelsea results and our prediction record
Chelsea have played 297 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Premier League in September 2026.
We called 154 of those 297 correctly on the match result, which is 52%, against 71% across Premier League as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Chelsea
Across every Chelsea match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 297 | 154 | 51.9% |
| Double chance | 297 | 235 | 79.1% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 297 | 166 | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 201 | 159 | 79.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 96 | 70 | 72.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 297 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Chelsea at home we were right 53% of the time from 148 matches, and away from home 51% from 149, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Chelsea correctly 51% of the time in the UEFA Champions League across 35 matches, and 50% in the Premier League across 233.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 52% from 297 predictions | 79% from 297 predictions | 56% from 297 predictions | 79% from 201 predictions | 73% from 96 predictions |
| At home | 53% from 148 predictions | 81% from 148 predictions | 57% from 148 predictions | 79% from 106 predictions | 76% from 42 predictions |
| Away from home | 51% from 149 predictions | 77% from 149 predictions | 54% from 149 predictions | 79% from 95 predictions | 70% from 54 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 50% from 233 predictions | 79% from 233 predictions | 56% from 233 predictions | 81% from 158 predictions | 75% from 75 predictions |
| UEFA Champions League | 51% from 35 predictions | 80% from 35 predictions | 54% from 35 predictions | 67% from 21 predictions | 11 of 14 too few to quote a rate |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | 12 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 12 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 2 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| FA Cup | 8 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 0 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| UEFA Super Cup | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate | none no prediction made | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Chelsea results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 297, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Hull City | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Brighton | Premier League | 4:3 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Fulham v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Tottenham | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Manchester City | FA Cup | 0:1 | Home winat 4.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Liverpool v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Nottingham Forest | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 5.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | FA Cup | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Brighton v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Manchester United | Premier League | 0:1 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Manchester City | Premier League | 0:3 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Port Vale | FA Cup | 7:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Everton v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Paris Saint Germain | UEFA Champions League | 0:3 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Newcastle | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 3.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 5:2 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:4 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Hull City v Chelsea | FA Cup | 0:4 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Leeds | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Wolves v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 1.61 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.21 Hit | |
| Chelsea v West Ham | Premier League | 3:2 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Napoli v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:3 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Crystal Palace v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Pafos | UEFA Champions League | 1:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Brentford | Premier League | 2:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Charlton v Chelsea | FA Cup | 1:5 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Fulham v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Chelsea | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Aston Villa | Premier League | 1:2 | Away winat 4.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Newcastle v Chelsea | Premier League | 2:2 | Home winat 2.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Everton | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Leeds v Chelsea | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Arsenal | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Barcelona | UEFA Champions League | 3:0 | Home winat 2.38 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Burnley v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Wolves | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Qarabag v Chelsea | UEFA Champions League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Sunderland | Premier League | 1:2 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Ajax | UEFA Champions League | 5:1 | Drawat 6.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 3.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.80 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:3 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chelsea v Liverpool | Premier League | 2:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Chelsea in Premier League
Premier League is where Chelsea played most recently. We have graded 2,320 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
Premier League results and our prediction record
Other Premier League teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Chelsea, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.