Luton results and our prediction record
Luton have played 291 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in League One in September 2026.
We called 124 of those 291 correctly on the match result, which is 43%.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Luton
Across every Luton match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 291 | 124 | 42.6% |
| Double chance | 291 | 203 | 69.8% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 291 | 181 | 62.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 85 | 70 | 82.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 206 | 161 | 78.2% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 291 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Luton at home we were right 37% of the time from 145 matches, and away from home 48% from 146, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Luton correctly 60% of the time in the Premier League across 38 matches, and 38% in the Championship across 189.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43% from 291 predictions | 70% from 291 predictions | 62% from 291 predictions | 82% from 85 predictions | 78% from 206 predictions |
| At home | 37% from 145 predictions | 70% from 145 predictions | 61% from 145 predictions | 80% from 39 predictions | 78% from 106 predictions |
| Away from home | 48% from 146 predictions | 70% from 146 predictions | 63% from 146 predictions | 85% from 46 predictions | 78% from 100 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 38% from 189 predictions | 71% from 189 predictions | 65% from 189 predictions | 71% from 35 predictions | 83% from 154 predictions |
| League One | 43% from 53 predictions | 59% from 53 predictions | 53% from 53 predictions | 14 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 65% from 37 predictions |
| Premier League | 61% from 38 predictions | 76% from 38 predictions | 63% from 38 predictions | 90% from 29 predictions | 6 of 9 too few to quote a rate |
| FA Cup | 6 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 6 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 5 too few to quote a rate | 3 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Luton results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 291, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton v Bradford | League One | 0:1 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Stevenage v Luton | League One | 2:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Luton v Leyton Orient | League One | 1:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Luton v Stockport County | League One | 2:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Luton | League One | 5:2 | Home win Hit | Under 2.5 Miss | Under 3.5 Miss | |
| Luton v Notts County | League One | 2:2 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Reading v Luton | League One | 3:4 | Away winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Bolton v Luton | League One | 2:3 | Home winat 2.45 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Luton v Barnsley | League One | 2:1 | Away winat 6.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Rotherham v Luton | League One | 0:2 | Away winat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.15 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Mansfield Town v Luton | League One | 2:2 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Luton v Northampton | League One | 2:1 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| AFC Wimbledon v Luton | League One | 0:3 | Home winat 3.05 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.32 Hit | |
| Luton v Peterborough | League One | 2:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Luton v Stockport County | League One | 1:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Luton v Exeter City | League One | 3:2 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wycombe v Luton | League One | 1:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Doncaster v Luton | League One | 1:1 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Luton v Reading | League One | 2:3 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Port Vale v Luton | League One | 1:1 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Luton v Burton Albion | League One | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Wigan v Luton | League One | 1:0 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Cardiff v Luton | League One | 3:1 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Luton v Bradford | League One | 2:1 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Luton v Blackpool | League One | 1:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Huddersfield v Luton | League One | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Plymouth v Luton | League One | 1:0 | Home winat 2.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Luton v Lincoln | League One | 2:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Luton v Stevenage | League One | 2:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Exeter City v Luton | League One | 1:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Luton v Leyton Orient | League One | 3:0 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Luton v Wycombe | League One | 4:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Reading v Luton | League One | 3:2 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Luton v Port Vale | League One | 2:2 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Leyton Orient v Luton | League One | 1:1 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Fleetwood Town v Luton | FA Cup | 2:2 | Drawat 4.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Luton v Bolton | League One | 1:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Luton v Huddersfield | League One | 2:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Barnsley v Luton | League One | 5:0 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Luton v Rotherham | League One | 0:0 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Stockport County v Luton | League One | 0:3 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Luton v Forest Green | FA Cup | 4:3 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Northampton v Luton | League One | 0:1 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Luton v Mansfield Town | League One | 0:2 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Stevenage v Luton | League One | 2:0 | Home winat 2.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Blackpool v Luton | League One | 2:2 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Luton v Doncaster | League One | 1:0 | Home winat 1.68 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.81 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Lincoln v Luton | League One | 3:1 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Luton v Plymouth | League One | 2:3 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Burton Albion v Luton | League One | 0:3 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Luton in League One
League One is where Luton played most recently. We have graded 3,378 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
League One results and our prediction record
Other League One teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Luton, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.