Luton results and our prediction record

Luton have played 297 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in League One in October 2026.

We called 129 of those 297 correctly on the match result, which is 43%, against 43% across League One as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Luton

Across every Luton match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 297 129 43.4%
Double chance 297 208 70.0%
Over or under 2.5 goals 297 186 62.6%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 91 76 83.5%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 206 161 78.2%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 297 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Luton at home we were right 38% of the time from 148 matches, and away from home 48% from 149, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Luton correctly 60% of the time in the Premier League across 38 matches, and 38% in the Championship across 189.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 43% from 297 predictions 70% from 297 predictions 63% from 297 predictions 84% from 91 predictions 78% from 206 predictions
At home 39% from 148 predictions 70% from 148 predictions 62% from 148 predictions 81% from 42 predictions 78% from 106 predictions
Away from home 48% from 149 predictions 70% from 149 predictions 63% from 149 predictions 86% from 49 predictions 78% from 100 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Championship 38% from 189 predictions 71% from 189 predictions 65% from 189 predictions 71% from 35 predictions 83% from 154 predictions
League One 48% from 59 predictions 61% from 59 predictions 56% from 59 predictions 91% from 22 predictions 65% from 37 predictions
Premier League 61% from 38 predictions 76% from 38 predictions 63% from 38 predictions 90% from 29 predictions 6 of 9 too few to quote a rate
FA Cup 6 of 11 too few to quote a rate 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate 6 of 11 too few to quote a rate 5 of 5 too few to quote a rate 3 of 6 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Luton results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 297, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Peterborough v Luton League One 0:2 Away winat 1.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Luton v Doncaster League One 3:1 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Luton v Leicester League One 2:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Luton v Barnsley League One 2:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Milton Keynes Dons v Luton League One 2:1 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Wycombe v Luton League One 1:4 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Luton v Bradford League One 0:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Stevenage v Luton League One 2:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Luton v Leyton Orient League One 1:1 Away winat 4.50 Miss Home or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Luton v Stockport County League One 2:0 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Mansfield Town v Luton League One 5:2 Home win Hit Home or draw Hit Under 2.5 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Luton v Notts County League One 2:2 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Reading v Luton League One 3:4 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Bolton v Luton League One 2:3 Home winat 2.45 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Luton v Barnsley League One 2:1 Away winat 6.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Rotherham v Luton League One 0:2 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Mansfield Town v Luton League One 2:2 Drawat 3.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Luton v Northampton League One 2:1 Drawat 5.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
AFC Wimbledon v Luton League One 0:3 Home winat 3.05 Miss Home or drawat 1.58 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.32 Hit
Luton v Peterborough League One 2:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Luton v Stockport County League One 1:1 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Luton v Exeter City League One 3:2 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Wycombe v Luton League One 1:2 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Doncaster v Luton League One 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Luton v Reading League One 2:3 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Port Vale v Luton League One 1:1 Drawat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Luton v Burton Albion League One 1:1 Drawat 3.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Wigan v Luton League One 1:0 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Cardiff v Luton League One 3:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Luton v Bradford League One 2:1 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.26 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Luton v Blackpool League One 1:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Huddersfield v Luton League One 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Plymouth v Luton League One 1:0 Home winat 2.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Luton v Lincoln League One 2:2 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Luton v Stevenage League One 2:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Exeter City v Luton League One 1:0 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Luton v Leyton Orient League One 3:0 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Luton v Wycombe League One 4:0 Home winat 2.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Reading v Luton League One 3:2 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Luton v Port Vale League One 2:2 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Leyton Orient v Luton League One 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Fleetwood Town v Luton FA Cup 2:2 Drawat 4.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Luton v Bolton League One 1:1 Away winat 2.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Luton v Huddersfield League One 2:1 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Barnsley v Luton League One 5:0 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Luton v Rotherham League One 0:0 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Stockport County v Luton League One 0:3 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Luton v Forest Green FA Cup 4:3 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Northampton v Luton League One 0:1 Away winat 1.91 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Luton v Mansfield Town League One 0:2 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Luton in League One

League One is where Luton played most recently. We have graded 3,450 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.

League One results and our prediction record

Other League One teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Luton, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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