Burnley results and our prediction record
Burnley have played 263 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Championship in October 2026.
We called 125 of those 263 correctly on the match result, which is 48%, against 41% across Championship as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Burnley
Across every Burnley match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 263 | 125 | 47.5% |
| Double chance | 263 | 209 | 79.5% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 263 | 148 | 56.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 123 | 97 | 78.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 140 | 102 | 72.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 263 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Burnley at home we were right 50% of the time from 129 matches, and away from home 46% from 134, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Burnley correctly 50% of the time in the Premier League across 151 matches, and 41% in the Championship across 101.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 48% from 263 predictions | 80% from 263 predictions | 56% from 263 predictions | 79% from 123 predictions | 73% from 140 predictions |
| At home | 50% from 129 predictions | 82% from 129 predictions | 57% from 129 predictions | 75% from 64 predictions | 77% from 65 predictions |
| Away from home | 46% from 134 predictions | 77% from 134 predictions | 56% from 134 predictions | 83% from 59 predictions | 69% from 75 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 50% from 151 predictions | 76% from 151 predictions | 50% from 151 predictions | 77% from 87 predictions | 66% from 64 predictions |
| Championship | 41% from 101 predictions | 84% from 101 predictions | 64% from 101 predictions | 84% from 31 predictions | 80% from 70 predictions |
| FA Cup | 8 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 5 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Burnley results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 263, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford v Burnley | Championship | 0:4 | Away winat 2.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burnley v Derby | Championship | 1:1 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Swansea v Burnley | Championship | 3:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Wrexham v Burnley | Championship | 1:1 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burnley v Bristol City | Championship | 1:2 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burnley v Middlesbrough | Championship | 1:1 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Norwich v Burnley | Championship | 4:1 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| West Brom v Burnley | Championship | 3:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Burnley v West Ham | Championship | 2:2 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Burnley v Wolves | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Burnley | Premier League | 1:0 | Home winat 1.08 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Burnley v Aston Villa | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leeds v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 8.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Manchester City | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 1.12 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Burnley | Premier League | 4:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Brighton | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.73 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Fulham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Everton v Burnley | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Burnley v Brentford | Premier League | 3:4 | Away winat 1.73 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Burnley v Mansfield Town | FA Cup | 1:2 | Away winat 8.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Crystal Palace v Burnley | Premier League | 2:3 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Burnley v West Ham | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 2.14 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.92 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Burnley | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Burnley v Tottenham | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Burnley v Millwall | FA Cup | 5:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Burnley v Manchester United | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Brighton v Burnley | Premier League | 2:0 | Drawat 4.33 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Newcastle | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 1.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Burnley v Everton | Premier League | 0:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.48 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Fulham | Premier League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Newcastle v Burnley | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.28 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burnley v Crystal Palace | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Brentford v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Burnley v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.44 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| West Ham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Arsenal | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.27 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Wolves v Burnley | Premier League | 2:3 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Burnley v Leeds | Premier League | 2:0 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Burnley | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Burnley | Premier League | 5:1 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Burnley v Nottingham Forest | Premier League | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Liverpool | Premier League | 0:1 | Drawat 5.75 Miss | Home or drawat 3.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Manchester United v Burnley | Premier League | 3:2 | Away winat 8.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Burnley v Sunderland | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 8.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Millwall | Championship | 3:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| QPR v Burnley | Championship | 0:5 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Burnley in Championship
Championship is where Burnley played most recently. We have graded 3,434 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
Championship results and our prediction record
Other Championship teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Burnley, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.