Burnley results and our prediction record
Burnley have played 262 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Championship in September 2026.
We called 124 of those 262 correctly on the match result, which is 47%.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Burnley
Across every Burnley match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 262 | 124 | 47.3% |
| Double chance | 262 | 208 | 79.4% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 262 | 147 | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 122 | 96 | 78.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 140 | 102 | 72.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 262 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Burnley at home we were right 50% of the time from 129 matches, and away from home 45% from 133, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Burnley correctly 50% of the time in the Premier League across 151 matches, and 40% in the Championship across 100.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 47% from 262 predictions | 79% from 262 predictions | 56% from 262 predictions | 79% from 122 predictions | 73% from 140 predictions |
| At home | 50% from 129 predictions | 82% from 129 predictions | 57% from 129 predictions | 75% from 64 predictions | 77% from 65 predictions |
| Away from home | 45% from 133 predictions | 77% from 133 predictions | 56% from 133 predictions | 83% from 58 predictions | 69% from 75 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 50% from 151 predictions | 76% from 151 predictions | 50% from 151 predictions | 77% from 87 predictions | 66% from 64 predictions |
| Championship | 40% from 100 predictions | 84% from 100 predictions | 64% from 100 predictions | 83% from 30 predictions | 80% from 70 predictions |
| FA Cup | 8 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 5 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Burnley results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 262, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley v Derby | Championship | 1:1 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Swansea v Burnley | Championship | 3:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Wrexham v Burnley | Championship | 1:1 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burnley v Bristol City | Championship | 1:2 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Burnley v Middlesbrough | Championship | 1:1 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Norwich v Burnley | Championship | 4:1 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| West Brom v Burnley | Championship | 3:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Burnley v West Ham | Championship | 2:2 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Burnley v Wolves | Premier League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Burnley | Premier League | 1:0 | Home winat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Burnley v Aston Villa | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leeds v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Away winat 8.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Manchester City | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Nottingham Forest v Burnley | Premier League | 4:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Brighton | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Fulham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Everton v Burnley | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Burnley v Brentford | Premier League | 3:4 | Away winat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Chelsea v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Burnley v Mansfield Town | FA Cup | 1:2 | Away winat 8.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Crystal Palace v Burnley | Premier League | 2:3 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Burnley v West Ham | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 2.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.92 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Sunderland v Burnley | Premier League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Burnley v Tottenham | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Burnley v Millwall | FA Cup | 5:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Burnley v Manchester United | Premier League | 2:2 | Away winat 1.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Brighton v Burnley | Premier League | 2:0 | Drawat 4.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Newcastle | Premier League | 1:3 | Away winat 1.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Burnley v Everton | Premier League | 0:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Bournemouth v Burnley | Premier League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.48 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Fulham | Premier League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Newcastle v Burnley | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Burnley v Crystal Palace | Premier League | 0:1 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Brentford v Burnley | Premier League | 3:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Burnley v Chelsea | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| West Ham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Arsenal | Premier League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.27 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Wolves v Burnley | Premier League | 2:3 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Burnley v Leeds | Premier League | 2:0 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Burnley | Premier League | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Manchester City v Burnley | Premier League | 5:1 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Burnley v Nottingham Forest | Premier League | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Burnley v Liverpool | Premier League | 0:1 | Drawat 5.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Manchester United v Burnley | Premier League | 3:2 | Away winat 8.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Burnley v Sunderland | Premier League | 2:0 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Tottenham v Burnley | Premier League | 3:0 | Away winat 8.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Burnley v Millwall | Championship | 3:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| QPR v Burnley | Championship | 0:5 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Burnley v Sheffield Utd | Championship | 2:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Burnley in Championship
Championship is where Burnley played most recently. We have graded 3,422 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other England competition we cover.
Championship results and our prediction record
Other Championship teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Burnley, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.