Euro Championship: Qualification results and our prediction record
We have published 231 Euro Championship: Qualification predictions since March 2023, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 131 times out of 231, which is 57%; on the double chance it was right 183 times out of 231, which is 79%.
Every concluded Euro Championship: Qualification match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Euro Championship: Qualification
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 231 | 131 | 56.7% |
| Double chance | 231 | 183 | 79.2% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 231 | 122 | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 117 | 97 | 82.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 114 | 86 | 75.4% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Euro Championship: Qualification
Euro Championship: Qualification matches in this archive average 2.89 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 53% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 51% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 46% of Euro Championship: Qualification matches here and draws 19%. Our model picks the home side in 42% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Euro Championship: Qualification best, at 79% from 231 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 53% from 231.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 117 calls of over 2.5 in Euro Championship: Qualification also cleared 1.5 goals 83% of the time, and our 114 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 75% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Euro Championship: Qualification match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 231, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales v Poland | 0:0 | Away winat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Ukraine v Iceland | 2:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Georgia v Greece | 0:0 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Israel v Iceland | 1:4 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina v Ukraine | 1:2 | Home winat 3.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wales v Finland | 4:1 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Greece v Kazakhstan | 5:0 | Away winat 10.00 Miss | Home or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Poland v Estonia | 5:1 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Georgia v Luxembourg | 2:0 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Greece v France | 2:2 | Away winat 1.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.13 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Kosovo v Belarus | 0:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| andorra v Israel | 0:2 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Romania v Switzerland | 1:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.29 Miss | |
| Wales v Turkey | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Gibraltar v Netherlands | 0:6 | Away winat 1.01 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.07 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.02 Hit | |
| Croatia v Armenia | 1:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Ukraine v Italy | 0:0 | Away winat 1.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Czech Republic v Moldova | 3:0 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Albania v Faroe Islands | 0:0 | Home winat 1.29 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Northern Ireland v Denmark | 2:0 | Away winat 1.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Slovenia v Kazakhstan | 2:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| FYR Macedonia v England | 1:1 | Away winat 1.17 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| San Marino v Finland | 1:2 | Away winat 1.04 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.91 Hit | |
| Spain v Georgia | 3:1 | Home winat 1.07 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.13 Hit | |
| Scotland v Norway | 3:3 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Portugal v Iceland | 2:0 | Home winat 1.13 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.13 Hit | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina v Slovakia | 1:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Luxembourg | 0:1 | Away winat 1.18 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.03 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Belgium v Azerbaijan | 5:0 | Home winat 1.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Sweden v Estonia | 2:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Serbia v Bulgaria | 2:2 | Home winat 1.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Hungary v Montenegro | 3:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Switzerland v Kosovo | 1:1 | Home winat 1.29 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| France v Gibraltar | 14:0 | Home winat 1.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.04 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.01 Hit | |
| Netherlands v Rep. Of Ireland | 1:0 | Away winat 17.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 4.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Israel v Romania | 1:2 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.48 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Belarus v andorra | 1:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Latvia v Croatia | 0:2 | Away winat 1.13 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Armenia v Wales | 1:1 | Away winat 1.91 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Denmark v Slovenia | 2:1 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| England v Malta | 2:0 | Home winat 1.02 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| Italy v FYR Macedonia | 5:2 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Poland v Czech Republic | 1:1 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or awayat 1.36 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Finland v Northern Ireland | 4:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Moldova v Albania | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Kazakhstan v San Marino | 3:1 | Home winat 1.04 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Portugal | 0:2 | Away winat 1.01 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.02 Hit | |
| Luxembourg v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Slovakia v Iceland | 4:2 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Montenegro v Lithuania | 2:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
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Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Euro Championship: Qualification, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.