Euro Championship: Qualification results and our prediction record
We have published 231 Euro Championship: Qualification predictions since March 2023, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 4 times out of 8, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 6 times out of 8, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded Euro Championship: Qualification match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Euro Championship: Qualification
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 8 | 4 | 4 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
| Double chance | 8 | 6 | 6 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 8 | 3 | 3 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 5 | 4 | 4 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 114 | 86 | 75.4% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Euro Championship: Qualification
Euro Championship: Qualification matches in this archive average 2.89 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 53% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 51% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 46% of Euro Championship: Qualification matches here and draws 19%. Our model picks the home side in 42% of them, which tracks the competition closely.
Every concluded Euro Championship: Qualification match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 231, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales v Poland | 0:0 | Away winat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Ukraine v Iceland | 2:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Georgia v Greece | 0:0 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Israel v Iceland | 1:4 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina v Ukraine | 1:2 | Home winat 3.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wales v Finland | 4:1 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Greece v Kazakhstan | 5:0 | Away winat 10.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Poland v Estonia | 5:1 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Georgia v Luxembourg | 2:0 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Greece v France | 2:2 | Away winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Kosovo v Belarus | 0:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| andorra v Israel | 0:2 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Romania v Switzerland | 1:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.29 Miss | |
| Wales v Turkey | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Gibraltar v Netherlands | 0:6 | Away winat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.07 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.02 Hit | |
| Croatia v Armenia | 1:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Ukraine v Italy | 0:0 | Away winat 1.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Czech Republic v Moldova | 3:0 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Albania v Faroe Islands | 0:0 | Home winat 1.29 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Northern Ireland v Denmark | 2:0 | Away winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Slovenia v Kazakhstan | 2:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| FYR Macedonia v England | 1:1 | Away winat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| San Marino v Finland | 1:2 | Away winat 1.04 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.91 Hit | |
| Spain v Georgia | 3:1 | Home winat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.13 Hit | |
| Scotland v Norway | 3:3 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Portugal v Iceland | 2:0 | Home winat 1.13 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.13 Hit | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina v Slovakia | 1:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Luxembourg | 0:1 | Away winat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Belgium v Azerbaijan | 5:0 | Home winat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Sweden v Estonia | 2:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Serbia v Bulgaria | 2:2 | Home winat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Hungary v Montenegro | 3:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Switzerland v Kosovo | 1:1 | Home winat 1.29 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| France v Gibraltar | 14:0 | Home winat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.04 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.01 Hit | |
| Netherlands v Rep. Of Ireland | 1:0 | Away winat 17.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Israel v Romania | 1:2 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Belarus v andorra | 1:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Latvia v Croatia | 0:2 | Away winat 1.13 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Armenia v Wales | 1:1 | Away winat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Denmark v Slovenia | 2:1 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| England v Malta | 2:0 | Home winat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| Italy v FYR Macedonia | 5:2 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Poland v Czech Republic | 1:1 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Finland v Northern Ireland | 4:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Moldova v Albania | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Kazakhstan v San Marino | 3:1 | Home winat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Portugal | 0:2 | Away winat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.02 Hit | |
| Luxembourg v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Slovakia v Iceland | 4:2 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Montenegro v Lithuania | 2:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
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Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Euro Championship: Qualification, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.