World Cup results and our prediction record
We have published 159 World Cup predictions since November 2022, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1 times out of 3, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 5 times out of 6, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded World Cup match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in World Cup
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 3 | 1 | 1 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| Double chance | 6 | 5 | 5 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 5 | 1 | 1 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 3 | 1 | 1 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 2 | 1 | 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads World Cup
World Cup matches in this archive average 2.84 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 52% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 51% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 46% of World Cup matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 49% of them, which tracks the competition closely.
Every concluded World Cup match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 159, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain v Argentina | 1:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| France v England | 4:6 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| England v Argentina | 1:2 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| France v Spain | 0:2 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Argentina v Switzerland | 3:1 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Norway v England | 1:2 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Spain v Belgium | 2:1 | Away winat 5.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| France v Morocco | 2:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Switzerland v Colombia | 0:0 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Argentina v Egypt | 3:2 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| USA v Belgium | 1:4 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Portugal v Spain | 0:1 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Mexico v England | 2:3 | Away winat 2.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Brazil v Norway | 1:2 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Paraguay v France | 0:1 | Away winat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Canada v Morocco | 0:3 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Colombia v Ghana | 1:0 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Argentina v Cape Verde Islands | 3:2 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Australia v Egypt | 1:1 | Drawat 2.90 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Switzerland v Algeria | 2:0 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Portugal v Croatia | 2:1 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Spain v Austria | 3:0 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| USA v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2:0 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Belgium v Senegal | 3:2 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| England v Congo DR | 2:1 | Home winat 1.27 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Mexico v Ecuador | 2:0 | Drawat 2.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| France v Sweden | 3:0 | Home winat 1.27 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Ivory Coast v Norway | 1:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Netherlands v Morocco | 1:1 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Germany v Paraguay | 1:1 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Brazil v Japan | 2:1 | Away winat 5.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| South Africa v Canada | 0:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Algeria v Austria | 3:3 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Jordan v Argentina | 1:3 | Drawat 9.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss | |
| Colombia v Portugal | 0:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Congo DR v Uzbekistan | 3:1 | Drawat 4.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Croatia v Ghana | 2:1 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Panama v England | 0:2 | Away winat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Egypt v Iran | 1:1 | Drawat 2.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 3.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.57 Hit | |
| New Zealand v Belgium | 1:5 | Away winat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.91 Miss | |
| Cape Verde Islands v Saudi Arabia | 0:0 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Uruguay v Spain | 0:1 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Norway v France | 1:4 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Senegal v Iraq | 5:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Paraguay v Australia | 0:0 | Drawat 2.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Turkey v USA | 3:2 | Home winat 3.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Tunisia v Netherlands | 1:3 | Away winat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Japan v Sweden | 1:1 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Ecuador v Germany | 2:1 | Away winat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| South Africa v South Korea | 1:0 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Other competitions in World
- AFC Champions League
- Africa Cup of Nations
- CAF Champions League
- CAF Confederation Cup
- CONMEBOL Libertadores
- CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Copa America
- Euro Championship
- Euro Championship: Qualification
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa Conference League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Nations League
- World Cup: Qualification Europe
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including World Cup, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.