Copa America results and our prediction record

We have published 54 Copa America predictions since June 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 6 times out of 13, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 1 times out of 2, too few to put a rate on.

Every concluded Copa America match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Copa America

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 13 6 6 of 13 too few to quote a rate
Double chance 2 1 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate
Over or under 2.5 goals 9 4 4 of 9 too few to quote a rate
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 2 1 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 2 1 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Copa America

Copa America matches in this archive average 2.30 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 41% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 33% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 48% of Copa America matches here and draws 32%. Our model picks the home side in 65% of them, so it backs the home side more often than the home side wins.

Every concluded Copa America match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 54, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Argentina v Colombia 1:0 Drawat 2.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit
Canada v Uruguay 2:2 Away winat 1.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Uruguay v Colombia 0:1 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or away Hit Over 2.5at 2.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.53 Miss
Argentina v Canada 2:0 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Uruguay v Brazil 0:0 Home winat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss Over 1.5at 1.44 Miss
Colombia v Panama 5:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Venezuela v Canada 1:1 Home winat 2.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Argentina v Ecuador 1:1 Home winat 1.45 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.50 Hit
Brazil v Colombia 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Costa Rica v Paraguay 2:1 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Bolivia v Panama 1:3 Home winat 5.50 Miss Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
USA v Uruguay 0:1 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Mexico v Ecuador 0:0 Home winat 2.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Argentina v Peru 2:0 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Paraguay v Brazil 1:4 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Colombia v Costa Rica 3:0 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Uruguay v Bolivia 5:0 Home winat 1.18 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Panama v USA 2:1 Away winat 1.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.08 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Venezuela v Mexico 1:0 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Chile v Argentina 0:1 Away winat 1.48 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss
Brazil v Costa Rica 0:0 Home winat 1.12 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss
Colombia v Paraguay 2:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Uruguay v Panama 3:1 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
USA v Bolivia 2:0 Home winat 1.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Ecuador v Venezuela 1:2 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Peru v Chile 0:0 Home winat 3.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit
Brazil v Argentina 1:0 Home winat 3.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.72 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Peru v Colombia 3:2 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.90 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Argentina v Colombia 1:1 Home winat 1.84 Miss Home or drawat 1.19 Hit Over 2.5at 2.63 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
Brazil v Peru 1:0 Home winat 1.24 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Argentina v Ecuador 3:0 Home winat 1.44 Hit Home or drawat 1.09 Hit Over 2.5at 2.06 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Uruguay v Colombia 0:0 Home winat 2.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.35 Hit Under 2.5at 1.48 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Brazil v Chile 1:0 Home winat 1.32 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Peru v Paraguay 3:3 Away winat 2.48 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.48 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Bolivia v Argentina 1:4 Away winat 1.16 Hit Draw or awayat 1.01 Hit Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Uruguay v Paraguay 1:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.81 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Brazil v Ecuador 1:1 Home winat 1.37 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.83 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
Venezuela v Peru 0:1 Away winat 2.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.32 Hit Over 2.5at 2.55 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Chile v Paraguay 0:2 Away winat 4.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.68 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Bolivia v Uruguay 0:2 Away winat 1.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.03 Hit Under 2.5at 2.12 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Brazil v Colombia 2:1 Home winat 1.49 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Ecuador v Peru 2:2 Drawat 3.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.37 Hit Under 2.5at 1.61 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Argentina v Paraguay 1:0 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.09 Hit Under 2.5at 1.76 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Uruguay v Chile 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.34 Hit Under 2.5at 1.68 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Colombia v Peru 1:2 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.13 Miss Under 2.5at 1.55 Miss Under 3.5 Hit
Venezuela v Ecuador 2:2 Away winat 1.72 Miss Home or awayat 1.32 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Argentina v Uruguay 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.24 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Chile v Bolivia 1:0 Home winat 1.21 Hit Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Brazil v Peru 4:0 Home winat 1.21 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Colombia v Venezuela 0:0 Home winat 1.30 Miss Home or awayat 1.15 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

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All competitions we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Copa America, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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