Italy results and our prediction record
Italy have played 54 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in World Cup: Qualification Europe in March 2026.
We called 32 of those 54 correctly on the match result, which is 59%.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Italy
Across every Italy match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 54 | 32 | 59.3% |
| Double chance | 54 | 46 | 85.2% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 54 | 29 | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 34 | 29 | 85.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 20 | 17 | 85.0% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 54 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Italy at home we were right 64% of the time from 28 matches, and away from home 54% from 26, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
Italy appear in 4 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 59% from 54 predictions | 85% from 54 predictions | 54% from 54 predictions | 85% from 34 predictions | 85% from 20 predictions |
| At home | 64% from 28 predictions | 86% from 28 predictions | 54% from 28 predictions | 15 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 12 too few to quote a rate |
| Away from home | 54% from 26 predictions | 85% from 26 predictions | 54% from 26 predictions | 14 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 7 of 8 too few to quote a rate |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup: Qualification Europe | 11 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 17 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 11 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 13 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 4 too few to quote a rate |
| UEFA Nations League | 8 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 13 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 7 too few to quote a rate |
| Euro Championship | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 6 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Euro Championship: Qualification | 4 of 7 too few to quote a rate | 6 of 7 too few to quote a rate | 4 of 7 too few to quote a rate | 3 of 3 too few to quote a rate | 3 of 4 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Italy results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 54, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy v Northern Ireland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:0 | Home winat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Italy v Norway | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:4 | Away winat 3.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Moldova v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:2 | Away winat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Italy v Israel | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 3:0 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Estonia v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:3 | Away winat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.09 Hit | |
| Israel v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 4:5 | Home winat 7.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Italy v Estonia | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 5:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Italy v Moldova | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:0 | Drawat 11.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 3.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.91 Hit | |
| Norway v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 3:0 | Home winat 2.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Germany v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 3:3 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Italy v Germany | UEFA Nations League | 1:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Italy v France | UEFA Nations League | 1:3 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Belgium v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 0:1 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Italy v Israel | UEFA Nations League | 4:1 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Italy v Belgium | UEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Israel v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 1:2 | Away winat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| France v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 1:3 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Switzerland v Italy | Euro Championship | 2:0 | Drawat 2.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Croatia v Italy | Euro Championship | 1:1 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Spain v Italy | Euro Championship | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Italy v Albania | Euro Championship | 2:1 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Ukraine v Italy | Euro Championship: Qualification | 0:0 | Away winat 1.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Italy v FYR Macedonia | Euro Championship: Qualification | 5:2 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| England v Italy | Euro Championship: Qualification | 3:1 | Home winat 1.65 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Italy v Malta | Euro Championship: Qualification | 4:0 | Home winat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Italy v Ukraine | Euro Championship: Qualification | 2:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| FYR Macedonia v Italy | Euro Championship: Qualification | 1:1 | Drawat 5.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Netherlands v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 2:3 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Spain v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Malta v Italy | Euro Championship: Qualification | 0:2 | Drawat 10.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit | |
| Hungary v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 0:2 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Italy v England | UEFA Nations League | 1:0 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Germany v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 5:2 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| England v Italy | UEFA Nations League | 0:0 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Italy v Hungary | UEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Italy v Germany | UEFA Nations League | 1:1 | Away winat 2.37 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Italy v FYR Macedonia | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:1 | Home winat 1.17 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.48 Hit | |
| Northern Ireland v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:0 | Away winat 1.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Italy v Switzerland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:1 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Italy v Belgium | UEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.98 Miss | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Italy v Spain | UEFA Nations League | 1:2 | Away winat 3.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Italy v Lithuania | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 5:0 | Home winat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Switzerland v Italy | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5 Miss | |
| Italy v Bulgaria | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:1 | Home winat 1.12 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.48 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Italy v England | Euro Championship | 1:1 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Italy v Spain | Euro Championship | 1:1 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Belgium v Italy | Euro Championship | 1:2 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.50 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Italy v Austria | Euro Championship | 2:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.72 Miss | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Italy v Wales | Euro Championship | 1:0 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.17 Miss | Over 1.5 Miss | |
| Italy v Switzerland | Euro Championship | 3:0 | Home winat 1.59 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Italy in World Cup: Qualification Europe
World Cup: Qualification Europe is where Italy played most recently. We have graded 458 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other World competition we cover.
World Cup: Qualification Europe results and our prediction record
Other World Cup: Qualification Europe teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Italy, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.