Iceland results and our prediction record
Iceland have played 43 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in UEFA Nations League in October 2026.
We called 20 of those 43 correctly on the match result, which is 46%.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Iceland
Across every Iceland match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 43 | 20 | 46.5% |
| Double chance | 43 | 37 | 86.0% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 43 | 24 | 55.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 34 | 32 | 94.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 9 | 5 | 5 of 9 too few to quote a rate |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 43 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Iceland at home we were right 43% of the time from 21 matches, and away from home 50% from 22, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.
Iceland appear in 3 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 47% from 43 predictions | 86% from 43 predictions | 56% from 43 predictions | 94% from 34 predictions | 5 of 9 too few to quote a rate |
| At home | 43% from 21 predictions | 81% from 21 predictions | 67% from 21 predictions | 17 of 18 too few to quote a rate | 2 of 3 too few to quote a rate |
| Away from home | 50% from 22 predictions | 91% from 22 predictions | 46% from 22 predictions | 15 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 3 of 6 too few to quote a rate |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup: Qualification Europe | 8 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 13 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 10 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 15 of 16 too few to quote a rate | none no prediction made |
| UEFA Nations League | 6 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 15 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 16 too few to quote a rate | 11 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 3 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Euro Championship: Qualification | 6 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 9 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 11 too few to quote a rate | 6 of 7 too few to quote a rate | 2 of 4 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Iceland results we predicted
The 43 most recent of 43, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 0:0 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Iceland v Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Luxembourg v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 0:3 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Iceland v Estonia | UEFA Nations League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.27 Miss | Home or draw Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Ukraine v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Azerbaijan v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:2 | Away winat 1.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Iceland v France | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:2 | Away winat 1.18 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.45 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Iceland v Ukraine | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 3:5 | Away winat 2.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| France v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:1 | Home winat 1.08 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Iceland v Azerbaijan | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 5:0 | Away winat 7.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Iceland v Kosovo | UEFA Nations League | 1:3 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Kosovo v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Wales v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 4:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Montenegro v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 0:2 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Iceland v Turkey | UEFA Nations League | 2:4 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Iceland v Wales | UEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Away winat 2.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Turkey v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 3:1 | Drawat 4.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Iceland v Montenegro | UEFA Nations League | 2:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Ukraine v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 2:1 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Israel v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 1:4 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Portugal v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 2:0 | Home winat 1.13 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.13 Hit | |
| Slovakia v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 4:2 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Iceland v Liechtenstein | Euro Championship: Qualification | 4:0 | Home winat 1.04 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Iceland v Luxembourg | Euro Championship: Qualification | 1:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Iceland v Bosnia & Herzegovina | Euro Championship: Qualification | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Luxembourg v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 3:1 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Iceland v Portugal | Euro Championship: Qualification | 0:1 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Iceland v Slovakia | Euro Championship: Qualification | 1:2 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Iceland | Euro Championship: Qualification | 0:7 | Away winat 1.11 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Albania v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 1:1 | Away winat 4.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Iceland v Israel | UEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Iceland v Albania | UEFA Nations League | 1:1 | Drawat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.16 Hit | |
| Israel v Iceland | UEFA Nations League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| FYR Macedonia v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 3:1 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.09 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.96 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Romania v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:0 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Iceland v Liechtenstein | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 4:0 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Iceland v Armenia | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:1 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.66 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Iceland v Germany | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:4 | Away winat 1.24 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.55 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Iceland v FYR Macedonia | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:2 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Home or awayat 1.29 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.12 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Iceland v Romania | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 0:2 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.49 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.35 Miss | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Liechtenstein v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 1:4 | Away winat 1.09 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.58 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Armenia v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 2:0 | Drawat 2.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.72 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.23 Miss | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| Germany v Iceland | World Cup: Qualification Europe | 3:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or draw Hit | Over 2.5at 1.43 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Iceland in UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League is where Iceland played most recently. We have graded 460 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other World competition we cover.
UEFA Nations League results and our prediction record
Other UEFA Nations League teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Iceland, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.