UEFA Champions League results and our prediction record
We have published 1,100 UEFA Champions League predictions since April 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1 times out of 2, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 2 times out of 2, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in UEFA Champions League
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 2 | 1 | 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate |
| Double chance | 2 | 2 | 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 34 | 19 | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 4 | 4 | 4 of 4 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 9 | 4 | 4 of 9 too few to quote a rate |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League matches in this archive average 3.10 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 58% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 70% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 49% of UEFA Champions League matches here and draws 19%. Our model picks the home side in 41% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins.
Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,100, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha v Lens | 2:3 | Home winat 2.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Bodo/Glimt | 5:0 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| como v RB Leipzig | 4:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Manchester United v Sabah FA | 4:0 | Drawat 9.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Fenerbahce v AS Roma | 1:1 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk | 1:1 | Home winat 1.44 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Atletico Madrid | 2:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Napoli v Arsenal | 0:1 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Slovan Bratislava | 6:1 | Home winat 1.04 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Sporting CP v Galatasaray | 3:1 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Viking | 3:1 | Drawat 6.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Barcelona v Feyenoord | 5:1 | Home winat 1.09 Hit | Home or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Manchester City | 0:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v Inter | 2:1 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Lille v Real Betis | 2:3 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal | 3:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa | 2:3 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| AEK Athens FC v Lask Linz | 1:0 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Celje v Slovan Bratislava | 1:2 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia | 4:0 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Lyon v Fenerbahce | 1:2 | Away winat 3.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Viking v Dinamo Zagreb | 3:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Lask Linz v Celtic | 5:1 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Bodo/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen | 3:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Sabah FA v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5:2 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Celtic v Lask Linz | 3:0 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva v Sabah FA | 2:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt | 1:3 | Away winat 2.45 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Slovan Bratislava v Celje | 1:1 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v Viking | 2:2 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Fenerbahce v Lyon | 1:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC | 0:0 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Lyon v Sparta Praha | 3:0 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce | 0:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Celje v Ararat-Armenia | 2:0 | Away winat 7.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Slovan Bratislava v Mjallby AIF | 2:0 | Away winat 4.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0:2 | Drawat 5.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.04 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit | |
| NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus | 2:1 | Home winat 2.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bodo/Glimt v Union St. Gilloise | 3:2 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Home or awayat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Sabah FA v Aarhus | 4:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia | 0:1 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Fenerbahce v Sturm Graz | 2:0 | Away winat 7.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Aarhus v Sabah FA | 2:1 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen | 0:0 | Away winat 5.25 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Union St. Gilloise v Bodo/Glimt | 3:3 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Sparta Praha v Lyon | 2:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda | 1:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty | 1:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Ararat-Armenia v Celje | 2:1 | Home winat 2.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Mjallby AIF v Slovan Bratislava | 1:2 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
UEFA Champions League teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in World
- AFC Champions League
- Africa Cup of Nations
- CAF Champions League
- CAF Confederation Cup
- CONMEBOL Libertadores
- CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Copa America
- Euro Championship
- Euro Championship: Qualification
- UEFA Europa Conference League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Nations League
- World Cup
- World Cup: Qualification Europe
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including UEFA Champions League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.