UEFA Champions League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,100 UEFA Champions League predictions since April 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 0 times out of 4, too few to put a rate on; on the double chance it was right 2 times out of 2, too few to put a rate on.

Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in UEFA Champions League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 4 0 0 of 4 too few to quote a rate
Double chance 2 2 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate
Over or under 2.5 goals 2 1 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 1 1 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 6 6 6 of 6 too few to quote a rate

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League matches in this archive average 3.10 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 58% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 70% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 49% of UEFA Champions League matches here and draws 19%. Our model picks the home side in 41% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins.

Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,100, newest first.

Date Match Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Slavia Praha v Lens 2:3 Home winat 2.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Bayern Munich v Bodo/Glimt 5:0 Home winat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
como v RB Leipzig 4:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Manchester United v Sabah FA 4:0 Drawat 9.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Fenerbahce v AS Roma 1:1 Away winat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1 Home winat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid 2:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Napoli v Arsenal 0:1 Away winat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Paris Saint Germain v Slovan Bratislava 6:1 Home winat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
Sporting CP v Galatasaray 3:1 Home winat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
VfB Stuttgart v Viking 3:1 Drawat 6.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Barcelona v Feyenoord 5:1 Home winat 1.09 Hit Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit
FC Porto v Manchester City 0:2 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Real Madrid v Inter 2:1 Away winat 4.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Lille v Real Betis 2:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal 3:2 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa 2:3 Home winat 2.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
AEK Athens FC v Lask Linz 1:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Celje v Slovan Bratislava 1:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia 4:0 Home winat 1.45 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Lyon v Fenerbahce 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Viking v Dinamo Zagreb 3:1 Away winat 2.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Lask Linz v Celtic 5:1 Home winat 1.85 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Bodo/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen 3:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Sabah FA v Hapoel Beer Sheva 5:2 Home winat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Celtic v Lask Linz 3:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Sabah FA 2:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt 1:3 Away winat 2.45 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Slovan Bratislava v Celje 1:1 Away winat 4.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Dinamo Zagreb v Viking 2:2 Home winat 1.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Fenerbahce v Lyon 1:1 Home winat 1.95 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC 0:0 Away winat 2.45 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Lyon v Sparta Praha 3:0 Drawat 4.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce 0:1 Drawat 3.80 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Celje v Ararat-Armenia 2:0 Away winat 7.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Slovan Bratislava v Mjallby AIF 2:0 Away winat 4.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
FK Crvena Zvezda v Hapoel Beer Sheva 0:2 Drawat 5.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus 2:1 Home winat 2.70 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Bodo/Glimt v Union St. Gilloise 3:2 Away winat 4.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Sabah FA v Aarhus 4:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia 0:1 Away winat 2.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Fenerbahce v Sturm Graz 2:0 Away winat 7.00 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Aarhus v Sabah FA 2:1 Away winat 4.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen 0:0 Away winat 5.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Union St. Gilloise v Bodo/Glimt 3:3 Away winat 3.10 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Sparta Praha v Lyon 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda 1:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty 1:0 Home winat 1.60 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Ararat-Armenia v Celje 2:1 Home winat 2.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Mjallby AIF v Slovan Bratislava 1:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

UEFA Champions League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including UEFA Champions League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.