UEFA Champions League results and our prediction record
We have published 1,136 UEFA Champions League predictions since April 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 554 times out of 1,136, which is 49%; on the double chance it was right 798 times out of 1,136, which is 70%.
Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in UEFA Champions League
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1,136 | 554 | 48.8% |
| Double chance | 1,136 | 798 | 70.2% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 1,136 | 665 | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 807 | 671 | 83.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 329 | 226 | 68.7% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League matches in this archive average 3.13 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 59% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 71% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 49% of UEFA Champions League matches here and draws 19%. Our model picks the home side in 41% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads UEFA Champions League best, at 70% from 1,136 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 49% from 1,136.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 807 calls of over 2.5 in UEFA Champions League also cleared 1.5 goals 83% of the time, and our 329 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 69% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded UEFA Champions League match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,136, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP v Lask Linz | 2:3 | Home winat 1.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v RB Leipzig | 4:1 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit | |
| Real Betis v Feyenoord | 1:0 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Club Brugge KV v Lens | 3:0 | Drawat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Arsenal | 2:2 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Viking | 3:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or awayat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk | 1:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.07 Miss | |
| Lille v Galatasaray | 2:4 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| como v Manchester United | 4:1 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss | |
| Manchester City v AEK Athens FC | 5:1 | Home winat 1.08 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Slovan Bratislava | 4:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven | 0:1 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Napoli v Bodo/Glimt | 4:3 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Villarreal | 4:3 | Drawat 4.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona | 4:2 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Fenerbahce v Slavia Praha | 2:2 | Drawat 4.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Sabah FA v Borussia Dortmund | 1:2 | Away winat 1.28 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart | 0:3 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens FC | 3:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain | 2:4 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Aston Villa v Fenerbahce | 6:0 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Real Betis v FC Porto | 3:2 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Real Madrid | 3:4 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund | 1:0 | Home winat 3.10 Hit | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Lask Linz v Liverpool | 3:6 | Home winat 10.00 Miss | Home or drawat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Feyenoord v como | 3:2 | Home winat 3.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Viking v Bayern Munich | 3:3 | Away winat 1.11 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| Arsenal v Lille | 3:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Atletico Madrid v Manchester United | 2:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Galatasaray v Barcelona | 1:4 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Inter v Club Brugge KV | 3:4 | Home winat 1.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 1:0 | Away winat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Villarreal v Napoli | 3:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Sabah FA v Slavia Praha | 2:0 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Lens v Sporting CP | 0:2 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Slavia Praha v Lens | 2:3 | Home winat 2.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Bodo/Glimt | 5:0 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| como v RB Leipzig | 4:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Manchester United v Sabah FA | 4:0 | Drawat 9.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Fenerbahce v AS Roma | 1:1 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk | 1:1 | Home winat 1.44 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Liverpool v Atletico Madrid | 2:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Napoli v Arsenal | 0:1 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Slovan Bratislava | 6:1 | Home winat 1.04 Hit | Home or drawat 1.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit | |
| Sporting CP v Galatasaray | 3:1 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Viking | 3:1 | Drawat 6.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Barcelona v Feyenoord | 5:1 | Home winat 1.09 Hit | Home or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Manchester City | 0:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v Inter | 2:1 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
UEFA Champions League teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in World
- AFC Champions League
- Africa Cup of Nations
- CAF Champions League
- CAF Confederation Cup
- CONMEBOL Libertadores
- CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Copa America
- Euro Championship
- Euro Championship: Qualification
- UEFA Europa Conference League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Nations League
- World Cup
- World Cup: Qualification Europe
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including UEFA Champions League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.