UEFA Europa League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,090 UEFA Europa League predictions since April 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 499 times out of 1,090, which is 46%; on the double chance it was right 763 times out of 1,090, which is 70%.

Every concluded UEFA Europa League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in UEFA Europa League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 1,090 499 45.8%
Double chance 1,090 763 70.0%
Over or under 2.5 goals 1,090 590 54.1%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 618 499 80.7%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 472 346 73.3%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League matches in this archive average 2.80 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 54% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 57% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 49% of UEFA Europa League matches here and draws 22%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads UEFA Europa League best, at 70% from 1,090 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 46% from 1,090.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 618 calls of over 2.5 in UEFA Europa League also cleared 1.5 goals 81% of the time, and our 472 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 73% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded UEFA Europa League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,090, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Besiktas v Crystal Palace 2:2 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Bournemouth v AC Milan 3:0 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Celje v Red Bull Salzburg 2:2 Away winat 1.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha 1:0 Away winat 6.25 Miss Draw or awayat 2.50 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Lillestrom v Real Sociedad 0:6 Away winat 1.53 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon 3:0 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Jagiellonia v Anderlecht 0:3 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Plzen v Levski Sofia 1:2 Drawat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Celtic v Celta Vigo 1:2 Home winat 2.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica 1:4 Away winat 1.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva 4:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Sturm Graz v Marseille 1:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
OFI v Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 Away winat 1.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen 2:4 Drawat 4.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Lech Poznan v Sunderland 1:1 Home winat 4.75 Miss Home or drawat 2.15 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Juventus v Rennes 2:2 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar 0:4 Away winat 1.53 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Rennes v OFI 2:1 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia 1:1 Away winat 4.33 Miss Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus 0:1 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
1899 Hoffenheim v Besiktas 2:3 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ferencvarosi TC v Plzen 2:1 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Celta Vigo v Juventus 1:2 Away winat 2.15 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Bournemouth v Sturm Graz 3:0 Drawat 7.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Under 2.5at 3.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.91 Hit
Benfica v Celtic 4:1 Away winat 11.00 Miss Draw or awayat 3.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Jagiellonia v Ararat-Armenia 3:1 Drawat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
Sparta Praha v Lillestrom 1:1 Home winat 1.33 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan 0:4 Home winat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.95 Miss Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad 1:1 Home winat 2.45 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Lyon v Crystal Palace 3:2 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen 0:4 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Celje v Omonia Nicosia 0:3 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Beer Sheva 2:1 Drawat 5.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit
Besiktas v Marseille 4:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Celtic v Ferencvarosi TC 1:3 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan 4:0 Away winat 7.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Juventus v NEC Nijmegen 5:0 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Plzen v Union St. Gilloise 0:3 Away winat 2.55 Hit Home or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Real Sociedad v Bournemouth 1:2 Away winat 2.35 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
OFI v 1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Away winat 1.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.08 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Anderlecht v Lyon 1:2 Home winat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
AC Milan v Benfica 0:2 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar 1:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Olympiakos Piraeus v Jagiellonia 2:1 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sturm Graz v Rennes 0:0 Drawat 3.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb 0:0 Away winat 1.91 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Bayer Leverkusen v Celje 2:0 Home winat 1.11 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

UEFA Europa League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Other competitions in World

All competitions we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including UEFA Europa League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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