UEFA Europa League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,056 UEFA Europa League predictions since April 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 11 times out of 29, which is 38%; on the double chance it was right 2 times out of 2, too few to put a rate on.

Every concluded UEFA Europa League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in UEFA Europa League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 29 11 37.9%
Double chance 2 2 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate
Over or under 2.5 goals 22 12 54.5%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 0 0 0 of 0 too few to quote a rate
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 7 4 4 of 7 too few to quote a rate

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League matches in this archive average 2.79 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 54% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 56% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 49% of UEFA Europa League matches here and draws 22%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, over or under 2.5 goals is where the model reads UEFA Europa League best, at 54% from 22 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 38% from 29.

Every concluded UEFA Europa League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,056, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Besiktas v Marseille 4:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Celtic v Ferencvarosi TC 1:3 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan 4:0 Away winat 7.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Juventus v NEC Nijmegen 5:0 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Plzen v Union St. Gilloise 0:3 Away winat 2.55 Hit Home or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Real Sociedad v Bournemouth 1:2 Away winat 2.35 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
OFI v 1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Away winat 1.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.08 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Anderlecht v Lyon 1:2 Home winat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
AC Milan v Benfica 0:2 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar 1:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Olympiakos Piraeus v Jagiellonia 2:1 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sturm Graz v Rennes 0:0 Drawat 3.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb 0:0 Away winat 1.91 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Bayer Leverkusen v Celje 2:0 Home winat 1.11 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Ararat-Armenia v Sparta Praha 1:4 Away winat 1.65 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Ferencvarosi TC v Trabzonspor 4:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty 3:0 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
CSKA Sofia v OFI 0:2 Home winat 1.38 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Aarhus v Benfica 1:3 Away winat 1.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
FC Thun v Lech Poznan 2:2 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v Mjallby AIF 3:0 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda 5:1 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Kauno Žalgiris v Besiktas 1:0 Away winat 1.36 Miss Draw or awayat 1.07 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Omonia Nicosia v St. Truiden 4:2 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Saburtalo v Jagiellonia 1:2 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea Craiova 1:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Benfica v Aarhus 3:1 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Truiden v Omonia Nicosia 1:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
OFI v CSKA Sofia 3:0 Away winat 2.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
FK Crvena Zvezda v Plzen 3:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Lech Poznan v FC Thun 7:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Universitatea Craiova v Ararat-Armenia 1:1 Drawat 4.10 Hit Draw or awayat 2.75 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Trabzonspor v Ferencvarosi TC 0:1 Drawat 4.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Besiktas v Kauno Žalgiris 3:0 Home winat 1.12 Hit Home or drawat 1.00 Hit Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit
Jagiellonia v Saburtalo 4:0 Drawat 4.33 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 Away winat 1.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Kairat Almaty v Anderlecht 0:3 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Benfica v Heart OF Midlothian 6:1 Home winat 1.11 Hit Home or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 3.40 Miss Under 3.5at 2.00 Miss
FC Thun v Vikingur Reykjavik 3:0 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
PAOK v Anderlecht 0:1 Away winat 4.50 Hit Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Lincoln Red Imps FC v Omonia Nicosia 1:1 Away winat 1.53 Miss Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Hradec Králové v Besiktas 0:1 Away winat 1.83 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Lech Poznan v KI Klaksvik 1:0 Home winat 1.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
Red Bull Salzburg v Pafos 1:0 Home win Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Maccabi Tel Aviv v CSKA Sofia 0:3 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Jagiellonia v Rangers 2:1 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
KuPS v Universitatea Craiova 1:1 Drawat 3.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Ferencvarosi TC v Gornik Zabrze 1:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

UEFA Europa League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Other competitions in World

All competitions we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including UEFA Europa League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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