CONMEBOL Libertadores results and our prediction record
We have published 735 CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions since July 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 295 times out of 735, which is 40%; on the double chance it was right 513 times out of 735, which is 70%.
Every concluded CONMEBOL Libertadores match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in CONMEBOL Libertadores
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 735 | 295 | 40.1% |
| Double chance | 735 | 513 | 69.8% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 735 | 415 | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 247 | 175 | 70.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 488 | 389 | 79.7% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores matches in this archive average 2.33 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 41% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 34% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 50% of CONMEBOL Libertadores matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads CONMEBOL Libertadores best, at 70% from 735 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 40% from 735.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 247 calls of over 2.5 in CONMEBOL Libertadores also cleared 1.5 goals 71% of the time, and our 488 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 80% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded CONMEBOL Libertadores match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 735, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. | 0:0 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Palmeiras v Fluminense | 0:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo | 0:0 | Drawat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Fluminense v Palmeiras | 1:2 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Flamengo v Independiente del Valle | 1:1 | Home winat 1.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Corinthians v Estudiantes L.P. | 0:1 | Away winat 4.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| LDU de Quito v Palmeiras | 3:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Platense v Fluminense | 2:1 | Draw Miss | Home or draw Hit | Under 2.5 Miss | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Independiente del Valle v Flamengo | 0:2 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Estudiantes L.P. v Corinthians | 1:1 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Palmeiras v LDU de Quito | 1:0 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Fluminense v Platense | 2:0 | Draw Miss | Home or draw Hit | Under 2.5 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima | 3:1 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Corinthians v Rosario Central | 1:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| LDU de Quito v Mirassol | 0:0 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Flamengo v Cruzeiro | 2:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras | 0:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Coquimbo Unido v Platense | 0:0 | Draw Hit | Home or draw Hit | Under 2.5 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Deportes Tolima v Independiente del Valle | 0:1 | Away winat 2.45 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| U. Catolica v Estudiantes L.P. | 0:3 | Home winat 2.88 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Independ. Rivadavia v Fluminense | 1:1 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Rosario Central v Corinthians | 0:0 | Drawat 2.88 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno | 1:1 | Home winat 1.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Platense v Coquimbo Unido | 1:1 | Draw Hit | Draw or away Hit | Under 2.5 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Estudiantes L.P. v U. Catolica | 1:1 | Drawat 3.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Fluminense v Independ. Rivadavia | 0:0 | Drawat 3.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Boca Juniors v U. Catolica | 0:1 | Drawat 3.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Cruzeiro v Barcelona SC | 4:0 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Cerro Porteno v Sporting Cristal | 2:0 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Palmeiras v Junior | 4:1 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bolívar v Independ. Rivadavia | 1:3 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Corinthians v Platense | 0:2 | Home winat 1.67 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Fluminense v Real Esppor Club | 3:1 | Drawat 7.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss | |
| Penarol v Santa Fe | 0:1 | Away winat 4.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Independiente del Valle v Rosario Central | 1:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Libertad Asuncion v UCV | 0:1 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Estudiantes L.P. v Independiente Medellin | 1:0 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Flamengo v Cusco | 3:0 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.88 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.80 Hit | |
| Club Nacional v Coquimbo Unido | 1:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Universitario v Deportes Tolima | 0:0 | Drawat 3.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Lanus v Mirassol | 1:0 | Away winat 5.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| LDU de Quito v Always Ready | 3:2 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Penarol v Corinthians | 1:1 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| U. Catolica v Barcelona SC | 2:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Real Esppor Club v Independ. Rivadavia | 2:4 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Junior v Sporting Cristal | 3:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Cusco v Independiente Medellin | 2:3 | Away winat 3.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. | 1:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| LDU de Quito v Lanus | 2:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno | 0:1 | Home winat 1.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
CONMEBOL Libertadores teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Other competitions in World
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Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including CONMEBOL Libertadores, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.