Poland results and our prediction record

Poland have played 57 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in UEFA Nations League in October 2026.

We called 29 of those 57 correctly on the match result, which is 51%.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Poland

Across every Poland match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 57 29 50.9%
Double chance 57 43 75.4%
Over or under 2.5 goals 57 33 57.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 31 26 83.9%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 26 19 73.1%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 57 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Poland at home we were right 52% of the time from 29 matches, and away from home 50% from 28, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

Poland appear in 5 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 51% from 57 predictions 75% from 57 predictions 58% from 57 predictions 84% from 31 predictions 73% from 26 predictions
At home 52% from 29 predictions 72% from 29 predictions 59% from 29 predictions 14 of 17 too few to quote a rate 11 of 12 too few to quote a rate
Away from home 50% from 28 predictions 79% from 28 predictions 57% from 28 predictions 12 of 14 too few to quote a rate 8 of 14 too few to quote a rate

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
World Cup: Qualification Europe 57% from 21 predictions 76% from 21 predictions 43% from 21 predictions 11 of 13 too few to quote a rate 4 of 8 too few to quote a rate
UEFA Nations League 8 of 16 too few to quote a rate 12 of 16 too few to quote a rate 11 of 16 too few to quote a rate 10 of 13 too few to quote a rate 3 of 3 too few to quote a rate
Euro Championship: Qualification 5 of 10 too few to quote a rate 7 of 10 too few to quote a rate 8 of 10 too few to quote a rate 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate 7 of 9 too few to quote a rate
Euro Championship 2 of 6 too few to quote a rate 5 of 6 too few to quote a rate 2 of 6 too few to quote a rate 4 of 4 too few to quote a rate 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate
World Cup 2 of 4 too few to quote a rate 3 of 4 too few to quote a rate 3 of 4 too few to quote a rate none no prediction made 3 of 4 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Poland results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 57, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Bosnia & Herzegovina v Poland UEFA Nations League 1:0 Away winat 2.35 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Poland v Romania UEFA Nations League 6:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sweden v Poland UEFA Nations League 3:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League 0:0 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Sweden v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 3:2 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Poland v Albania World Cup: Qualification Europe 2:1 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Malta v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 2:3 Away winat 1.27 Hit Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Poland v Netherlands World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:1 Away winat 1.67 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Lithuania v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 0:2 Away winat 1.42 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Poland v Finland World Cup: Qualification Europe 3:1 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Netherlands v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:1 Home winat 1.27 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Finland v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 2:1 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Poland v Malta World Cup: Qualification Europe 2:0 Away winat 13.00 Miss Draw or awayat 4.33 Miss Under 2.5at 2.35 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Poland v Lithuania World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:0 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.16 Miss
Poland v Scotland UEFA Nations League 1:2 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Portugal v Poland UEFA Nations League 5:1 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Poland v Croatia UEFA Nations League 3:3 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Poland v Portugal UEFA Nations League 1:3 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Croatia v Poland UEFA Nations League 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Scotland v Poland UEFA Nations League 2:3 Away winat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
France v Poland Euro Championship 1:1 Home winat 1.28 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Poland v Austria Euro Championship 1:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Poland v Netherlands Euro Championship 1:2 Away winat 1.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Wales v Poland Euro Championship: Qualification 0:0 Away winat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Poland v Estonia Euro Championship: Qualification 5:1 Home winat 1.18 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Poland v Czech Republic Euro Championship: Qualification 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Poland v Moldova Euro Championship: Qualification 1:1 Home winat 1.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Faroe Islands v Poland Euro Championship: Qualification 0:2 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Albania v Poland Euro Championship: Qualification 2:0 Home winat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Poland v Faroe Islands Euro Championship: Qualification 2:0 Home winat 1.13 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Under 2.5at 2.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit
Moldova v Poland Euro Championship: Qualification 3:2 Home winat 13.00 Hit Home or drawat 4.00 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Poland v Albania Euro Championship: Qualification 1:0 Away winat 5.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Czech Republic v Poland Euro Championship: Qualification 3:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
France v Poland World Cup 3:1 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Poland v Argentina World Cup 0:2 Away winat 1.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 1.72 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Poland v Saudi Arabia World Cup 2:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.72 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Mexico v Poland World Cup 0:0 Home winat 2.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.16 Hit
Wales v Poland UEFA Nations League 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Poland v Netherlands UEFA Nations League 0:2 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Poland v Belgium UEFA Nations League 0:1 Away winat 1.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Netherlands v Poland UEFA Nations League 2:2 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.66 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Belgium v Poland UEFA Nations League 6:1 Away winat 5.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.37 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Poland v Wales UEFA Nations League 2:1 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.16 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Poland v Sweden World Cup: Qualification Europe 2:0 Home winat 2.37 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.50 Hit
Poland v Hungary World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:2 Home winat 1.61 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
andorra v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:4 Away winat 1.08 Hit Draw or awayat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Albania v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 0:1 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Poland v San Marino World Cup: Qualification Europe 5:0 Home winat 1.01 Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.07 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Poland v England World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:1 Away winat 1.63 Miss Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 2.18 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
San Marino v Poland World Cup: Qualification Europe 1:7 Away winat 1.01 Hit Draw or away Hit Under 2.5 Miss Under 3.5 Miss

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Poland in UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League is where Poland played most recently. We have graded 460 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other World competition we cover.

UEFA Nations League results and our prediction record

Other UEFA Nations League teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Poland, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.