Benfica results and our prediction record

Benfica have played 278 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in October 2026.

We called 171 of those 278 correctly on the match result, which is 62%, against 50% across Primeira Liga as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Benfica

Across every Benfica match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 278 171 61.5%
Double chance 278 227 81.7%
Over or under 2.5 goals 278 165 59.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 180 156 86.7%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 98 67 68.4%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 278 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Benfica at home we were right 64% of the time from 139 matches, and away from home 59% from 139, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Benfica correctly 65% of the time in the Primeira Liga across 206 matches, and 50% in the UEFA Champions League across 60.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 62% from 278 predictions 82% from 278 predictions 59% from 278 predictions 87% from 180 predictions 68% from 98 predictions
At home 64% from 139 predictions 83% from 139 predictions 58% from 139 predictions 88% from 102 predictions 65% from 37 predictions
Away from home 59% from 139 predictions 81% from 139 predictions 60% from 139 predictions 85% from 78 predictions 71% from 61 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Primeira Liga 65% from 206 predictions 85% from 206 predictions 63% from 206 predictions 90% from 133 predictions 71% from 73 predictions
UEFA Champions League 50% from 60 predictions 72% from 60 predictions 48% from 60 predictions 79% from 38 predictions 64% from 22 predictions
UEFA Europa League 7 of 12 too few to quote a rate 9 of 12 too few to quote a rate 7 of 12 too few to quote a rate 7 of 9 too few to quote a rate 1 of 3 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Benfica results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 278, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Benfica v Guimaraes Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
FC Porto v Benfica Primeira Liga 3:1 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
AC Milan v Benfica UEFA Europa League 0:2 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Benfica v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Moreirense v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:4 Away winat 1.14 Hit Draw or awayat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Maritimo v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:3 Away winat 1.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Benfica v Estoril Primeira Liga 2:1 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Aarhus v Benfica UEFA Europa League 1:3 Away winat 1.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Benfica v Aarhus UEFA Europa League 3:1 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Casa Pia v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:7 Away winat 1.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Benfica v Heart OF Midlothian UEFA Europa League 6:1 Home winat 1.11 Hit Home or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 3.40 Miss Under 3.5at 2.00 Miss
Benfica v FC ST. Gallen UEFA Europa League 5:0 Home winat 1.11 Hit Home or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.80 Miss
FC ST. Gallen v Benfica UEFA Europa League 2:1 Away winat 1.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.04 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Estoril v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:3 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Benfica v SC Braga Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.42 Miss Home or awayat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Famalicao v Benfica Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 1.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Benfica v Moreirense Primeira Liga 4:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sporting CP v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Benfica v Nacional Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Casa Pia v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:1 Away winat 1.22 Miss Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Benfica v Guimaraes Primeira Liga 3:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Benfica v FC Porto Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
GIL Vicente v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Real Madrid v Benfica UEFA Champions League 2:1 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Benfica v AVS Primeira Liga 3:0 Home winat 1.09 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Benfica v Real Madrid UEFA Champions League 0:1 Home winat 3.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Santa Clara v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Benfica v Alverca Primeira Liga 2:1 Home winat 1.18 Hit Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Tondela v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:0 Away winat 1.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Benfica v Real Madrid UEFA Champions League 4:2 Away winat 1.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Benfica v Estrela Primeira Liga 4:0 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Juventus v Benfica UEFA Champions League 2:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Rio Ave v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:2 Away winat 1.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Benfica v Estoril Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 1.22 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
SC Braga v Benfica Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Benfica v Famalicao Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Moreirense v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:4 Away winat 1.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Benfica v Napoli UEFA Champions League 2:0 Home winat 2.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Benfica v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 2.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Nacional v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Ajax v Benfica UEFA Champions League 0:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Benfica v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.17 Miss Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
Benfica v Bayer Leverkusen UEFA Champions League 0:1 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Guimaraes v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:3 Drawat 4.75 Miss Home or drawat 2.62 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Benfica v Arouca Primeira Liga 5:0 Drawat 7.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
Newcastle v Benfica UEFA Champions League 3:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
FC Porto v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:0 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Chelsea v Benfica UEFA Champions League 1:0 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Benfica v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 2:1 Drawat 5.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Benfica v Rio Ave Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 1.12 Miss Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Benfica in Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga is where Benfica played most recently. We have graded 1,863 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.

Primeira Liga results and our prediction record

Other Primeira Liga teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Benfica, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.