Primeira Liga results and our prediction record
We have published 1,879 Primeira Liga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 936 times out of 1,879, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 1,442 times out of 1,879, which is 77%.
Every concluded Primeira Liga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Primeira Liga
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1,879 | 936 | 49.8% |
| Double chance | 1,879 | 1,442 | 76.7% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 1,879 | 1,046 | 55.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 667 | 536 | 80.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 1,212 | 921 | 76.0% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga matches in this archive average 2.63 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 50% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 36% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 43% of Primeira Liga matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Primeira Liga best, at 77% from 1,879 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 50% from 1,879.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 667 calls of over 2.5 in Primeira Liga also cleared 1.5 goals 80% of the time, and our 1,212 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 76% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Primeira Liga match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,879, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu v Rio Ave | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Maritimo v Santa Clara | 0:2 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Arouca v Nacional | 1:0 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| FC Porto v Estoril | 4:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Estrela | 2:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Casa Pia v Sporting CP | 0:2 | Away winat 1.27 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.35 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Benfica | 1:2 | Away winat 1.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Sporting CP v Academico Viseu | 1:2 | Home winat 1.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Nacional v SC Braga | 1:0 | Away winat 1.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.12 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Rio Ave v Famalicao | 0:4 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Estoril v Moreirense | 1:3 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| GIL Vicente v FC Porto | 0:1 | Drawat 4.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Alverca v Arouca | 0:1 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 0:2 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Guimaraes v Maritimo | 5:0 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| SC Braga v GIL Vicente | 1:2 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Famalicao v Alverca | 1:4 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Arouca v Estrela | 1:0 | Away winat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Benfica v Guimaraes | 2:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Rio Ave v Nacional | 3:2 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Academico Viseu v Estoril | 2:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Maritimo v FC Porto | 1:2 | Away winat 1.33 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Casa Pia v Santa Clara | 0:1 | Away winat 1.85 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| SC Braga v Sporting CP | 1:3 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.73 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Moreirense v GIL Vicente | 0:1 | Away winat 2.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Benfica | 3:1 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v SC Braga | 0:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Estoril v Casa Pia | 1:2 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Guimaraes v Moreirense | 1:1 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Estrela v Academico Viseu | 0:2 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Sporting CP v Arouca | 2:2 | Home winat 1.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Alverca v Rio Ave | 1:0 | Home winat 1.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| GIL Vicente v Maritimo | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Nacional v Famalicao | 0:4 | Away winat 2.05 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| SC Braga v Estoril | 1:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Maritimo | 3:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Rio Ave v Estrela | 3:3 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Famalicao v Sporting CP | 1:1 | Away winat 1.53 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Benfica v GIL Vicente | 3:1 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Arouca v Santa Clara | 1:2 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Casa Pia v FC Porto | 1:4 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Nacional v Alverca | 1:3 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Estrela v SC Braga | 2:1 | Away winat 1.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Benfica | 0:4 | Away winat 1.14 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Estoril v Arouca | 0:0 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Guimaraes v Casa Pia | 0:0 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Rio Ave | 4:0 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Sporting CP v Nacional | 2:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Alverca v SC Braga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Maritimo v Benfica | 0:3 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Primeira Liga teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Primeira Liga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.