Estrela results and our prediction record

Estrela have played 103 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in October 2026.

We called 48 of those 103 correctly on the match result, which is 47%, against 50% across Primeira Liga as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Estrela

Across every Estrela match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 103 48 46.6%
Double chance 103 77 74.8%
Over or under 2.5 goals 103 54 52.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 30 20 66.7%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 73 51 69.9%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 103 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Estrela at home we were right 39% of the time from 51 matches, and away from home 54% from 52, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 47% from 103 predictions 75% from 103 predictions 52% from 103 predictions 67% from 30 predictions 70% from 73 predictions
At home 39% from 51 predictions 75% from 51 predictions 49% from 51 predictions 8 of 12 too few to quote a rate 67% from 39 predictions
Away from home 54% from 52 predictions 75% from 52 predictions 56% from 52 predictions 12 of 18 too few to quote a rate 74% from 34 predictions

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Estrela results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 103, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Estrela v Academico Viseu Primeira Liga 0:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Rio Ave v Estrela Primeira Liga 3:3 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Estrela v SC Braga Primeira Liga 2:1 Away winat 1.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Estrela v Famalicao Primeira Liga 2:2 Drawat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Nacional v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:3 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Alverca v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:2 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Estrela v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 1.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss
SC Braga v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Moreirense v Estrela Primeira Liga 3:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Estrela v FC Porto Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.36 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Estrela v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 0:1 Away winat 1.22 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit
Nacional v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Estrela v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 4:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Rio Ave v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:1 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Estrela v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 1.83 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Estrela v Tondela Primeira Liga 0:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Guimaraes v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Estrela v Santa Clara Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 2.35 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit
Alverca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Benfica v Estrela Primeira Liga 4:0 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Estrela v Estoril Primeira Liga 0:5 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Estrela v SC Braga Primeira Liga 3:3 Away winat 1.48 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Famalicao v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:3 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.11 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Estrela v Moreirense Primeira Liga 0:0 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
FC Porto v Estrela Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 1.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Estrela v Arouca Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Sporting CP v Estrela Primeira Liga 4:0 Home winat 1.12 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Under 2.5at 2.88 Miss Under 3.5at 1.73 Miss
Estrela v Nacional Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 2.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Casa Pia v Estrela Primeira Liga 3:5 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Miss
Estrela v Rio Ave Primeira Liga 1:2 Home winat 2.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
GIL Vicente v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Estrela v AVS Primeira Liga 3:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Tondela v Estrela Primeira Liga 0:0 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.35 Miss Over 1.5at 1.43 Miss
Estrela v Guimaraes Primeira Liga 0:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Santa Clara v Estrela Primeira Liga 0:0 Home winat 1.83 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Estrela v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:1 Away winat 1.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.35 Hit Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit
Estoril v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Estoril v Estrela Primeira Liga 4:0 Home winat 2.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Estrela v AVS Primeira Liga 0:1 Home winat 1.90 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Rio Ave v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Estrela v FC Porto Primeira Liga 2:0 Away winat 1.53 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Estrela v Farense Primeira Liga 0:1 Away winat 2.75 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Nacional v Estrela Primeira Liga 0:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Estrela v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 0:3 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Guimaraes v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 1.45 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Estrela v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 1:1 Drawat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Moreirense v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:1 Drawat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Estrela in Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga is where Estrela played most recently. We have graded 1,863 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.

Primeira Liga results and our prediction record

Other Primeira Liga teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Estrela, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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