Nacional results and our prediction record
Nacional have played 107 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in September 2026.
We called 46 of those 107 correctly on the match result, which is 43%, against 45% across Primeira Liga as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Nacional
Across every Nacional match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 107 | 46 | 43.0% |
| Double chance | 107 | 77 | 72.0% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 107 | 51 | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 31 | 23 | 74.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 76 | 58 | 76.3% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 107 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Nacional at home we were right 36% of the time from 55 matches, and away from home 50% from 52, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43% from 107 predictions | 72% from 107 predictions | 48% from 107 predictions | 74% from 31 predictions | 76% from 76 predictions |
| At home | 36% from 55 predictions | 64% from 55 predictions | 46% from 55 predictions | 11 of 14 too few to quote a rate | 68% from 41 predictions |
| Away from home | 50% from 52 predictions | 81% from 52 predictions | 50% from 52 predictions | 12 of 17 too few to quote a rate | 86% from 35 predictions |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Nacional results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 107, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional v Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 0:4 | Away winat 2.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Nacional v Alverca | Primeira Liga | 1:3 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Sporting CP v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Nacional v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 2:3 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Guimaraes v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Nacional v Estoril | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Away winat 2.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Nacional v Guimaraes | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Nacional v AVS | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Home winat 1.45 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Tondela v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Nacional v Alverca | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Benfica v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Nacional v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Famalicao v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Nacional v Estoril | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Moreirense v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Nacional v SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.55 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Arouca v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 3:0 | Home winat 2.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nacional v FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Nacional v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Sporting CP v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Nacional v Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 4:0 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| GIL Vicente v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 1.65 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nacional v Santa Clara | Primeira Liga | 3:3 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Guimaraes v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AVS v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Nacional v Tondela | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Alverca v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Nacional v Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Estrela v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Nacional v Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Estoril v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nacional v Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3:2 | Home winat 2.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| SC Braga v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Nacional v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Casa Pia v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Away winat 3.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Nacional v Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 1:4 | Away winat 1.27 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Rio Ave v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nacional v GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 3:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Nacional v Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 3:3 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Nacional v Guimaraes | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Home winat 4.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Nacional v GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0:3 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Boavista v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Nacional v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Nacional v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Nacional in Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga is where Nacional played most recently. We have graded 1,854 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.
Primeira Liga results and our prediction record
Other Primeira Liga teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Nacional, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.