Ajax results and our prediction record

Ajax have played 269 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Eredivisie in October 2026.

We called 161 of those 269 correctly on the match result, which is 60%, against 45% across Eredivisie as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Ajax

Across every Ajax match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 269 161 59.9%
Double chance 269 222 82.5%
Over or under 2.5 goals 269 172 63.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 235 211 89.8%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 34 17 50.0%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 269 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Ajax at home we were right 64% of the time from 137 matches, and away from home 56% from 132, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Ajax correctly 63% of the time in the Eredivisie across 210 matches, and 32% in the UEFA Europa League across 28.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 60% from 269 predictions 83% from 269 predictions 64% from 269 predictions 90% from 235 predictions 50% from 34 predictions
At home 64% from 137 predictions 81% from 137 predictions 66% from 137 predictions 90% from 122 predictions 9 of 15 too few to quote a rate
Away from home 56% from 132 predictions 84% from 132 predictions 61% from 132 predictions 89% from 113 predictions 8 of 19 too few to quote a rate

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Eredivisie 63% from 210 predictions 86% from 210 predictions 63% from 210 predictions 90% from 184 predictions 50% from 26 predictions
UEFA Europa League 32% from 28 predictions 57% from 28 predictions 54% from 28 predictions 86% from 21 predictions 4 of 7 too few to quote a rate
UEFA Champions League 59% from 22 predictions 73% from 22 predictions 77% from 22 predictions 95% from 21 predictions 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate
UEFA Europa Conference League 6 of 9 too few to quote a rate 9 of 9 too few to quote a rate 8 of 9 too few to quote a rate 8 of 9 too few to quote a rate none no prediction made

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Ajax results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 269, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie 1:1 Home winat 1.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Ajax v Excelsior Eredivisie 2:2 Home winat 1.22 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Ajax v Willem II Eredivisie 5:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Eredivisie 1:5 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Ajax v PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie 1:3 Away winat 2.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Telstar v Ajax Eredivisie 0:4 Away winat 1.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Ajax v FC Sion UEFA Europa Conference League 5:3 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
FC Sion v Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League 2:4 Away winat 1.65 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Ajax v Heerenveen Eredivisie 2:2 Home winat 1.44 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
PEC Zwolle v Ajax Eredivisie 0:2 Away winat 1.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Shelbourne UEFA Europa Conference League 3:1 Home winat 1.07 Hit Home or drawat 1.00 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Ajax v Vojvodina UEFA Europa Conference League 4:1 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Vojvodina v Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League 1:4 Away winat 1.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Ajax v Groningen Eredivisie 2:0 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Ajax v Utrecht Eredivisie 1:2 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Ajax v PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie 2:2 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
NAC Breda v Ajax Eredivisie 0:2 Drawat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Heracles v Ajax Eredivisie 0:3 Away winat 1.57 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Ajax v Twente Eredivisie 1:2 Away winat 2.88 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Feyenoord v Ajax Eredivisie 1:1 Home winat 2.05 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Groningen v Ajax Eredivisie 3:1 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie 1:1 Away winat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie 4:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax Eredivisie 1:1 Away winat 2.88 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Excelsior v Ajax Eredivisie 2:2 Away winat 1.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Ajax v Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Champions League 1:2 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Ajax v FC Volendam Eredivisie 2:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Villarreal v Ajax UEFA Champions League 1:2 Drawat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Ajax v GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie 2:2 Home winat 1.48 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Telstar v Ajax Eredivisie 2:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
NEC Nijmegen v Ajax Eredivisie 2:2 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Feyenoord Eredivisie 2:0 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Qarabag v Ajax UEFA Champions League 2:4 Away winat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Eredivisie 1:3 Home winat 4.33 Miss Home or drawat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ajax v Groningen Eredivisie 2:0 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ajax v Benfica UEFA Champions League 0:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Ajax v Excelsior Eredivisie 1:2 Away winat 8.00 Hit Draw or awayat 3.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Utrecht v Ajax Eredivisie 2:1 Home winat 2.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ajax v Galatasaray UEFA Champions League 0:3 Away winat 2.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Heerenveen Eredivisie 1:1 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Twente v Ajax Eredivisie 2:3 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Chelsea v Ajax UEFA Champions League 5:1 Drawat 6.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 3.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.80 Miss
Ajax v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie 0:2 Away winat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax Eredivisie 3:3 Away winat 1.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Marseille v Ajax UEFA Champions League 4:0 Drawat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Ajax v NAC Breda Eredivisie 2:1 Home winat 1.27 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Ajax Eredivisie 2:2 Away winat 4.90 Miss Draw or awayat 2.16 Hit Over 2.5at 1.42 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Ajax v Inter UEFA Champions League 0:2 Home winat 4.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.95 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Ajax v PEC Zwolle Eredivisie 3:1 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
FC Volendam v Ajax Eredivisie 1:1 Away winat 1.36 Miss Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Ajax in Eredivisie

Eredivisie is where Ajax played most recently. We have graded 1,938 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Netherlands competition we cover.

Eredivisie results and our prediction record

Other Eredivisie teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Ajax, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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