Arouca results and our prediction record

Arouca have played 181 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in November 2026.

We called 89 of those 181 correctly on the match result, which is 49%, against 50% across Primeira Liga as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Arouca

Across every Arouca match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 181 89 49.2%
Double chance 181 135 74.6%
Over or under 2.5 goals 181 101 55.8%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 70 57 81.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 111 80 72.1%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 181 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Arouca at home we were right 54% of the time from 90 matches, and away from home 44% from 91, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

Arouca appear in 2 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 49% from 181 predictions 75% from 181 predictions 56% from 181 predictions 81% from 70 predictions 72% from 111 predictions
At home 54% from 90 predictions 76% from 90 predictions 58% from 90 predictions 86% from 35 predictions 73% from 55 predictions
Away from home 44% from 91 predictions 74% from 91 predictions 54% from 91 predictions 77% from 35 predictions 71% from 56 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Primeira Liga 49% from 179 predictions 75% from 179 predictions 56% from 179 predictions 81% from 70 predictions 73% from 109 predictions
UEFA Europa Conference League 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate 0 of 2 too few to quote a rate none no prediction made 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Arouca results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 181, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Arouca v Nacional Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Alverca v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:1 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Sporting CP v Arouca Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Arouca v Santa Clara Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Estoril v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:0 Drawat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Arouca v Maritimo Primeira Liga 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
FC Porto v Arouca Primeira Liga 2:0 Drawat 5.75 Miss Draw or awayat 4.00 Miss Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Arouca v Moreirense Primeira Liga 4:0 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Guimaraes v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Arouca v Tondela Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 3.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
GIL Vicente v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:3 Drawat 3.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Arouca v Santa Clara Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 2.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Alverca v Arouca Primeira Liga 2:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
SC Braga v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Arouca v Estoril Primeira Liga 3:2 Home winat 2.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Moreirense v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:1 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Famalicao v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:0 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
FC Porto v Arouca Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Arouca v Nacional Primeira Liga 3:0 Home winat 2.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Casa Pia v Arouca Primeira Liga 3:2 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Arouca v Guimaraes Primeira Liga 3:2 Home winat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.64 Miss Under 3.5at 1.23 Miss
Rio Ave v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:3 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Arouca v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
AVS v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:1 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Tondela v Arouca Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 2.10 Hit Home or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Arouca v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Santa Clara v Arouca Primeira Liga 0:0 Home winat 1.83 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Arouca v Alverca Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Estrela v Arouca Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Arouca v SC Braga Primeira Liga 0:4 Away winat 1.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Estoril v Arouca Primeira Liga 4:3 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Arouca v Moreirense Primeira Liga 0:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Benfica v Arouca Primeira Liga 5:0 Drawat 7.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Under 2.5at 2.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
Arouca v Famalicao Primeira Liga 1:1 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Arouca v FC Porto Primeira Liga 0:4 Away winat 1.36 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Nacional v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Arouca v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 0:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Guimaraes v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:1 Away winat 4.33 Miss Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Arouca v Rio Ave Primeira Liga 3:3 Drawat 3.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Sporting CP v Arouca Primeira Liga 6:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Arouca v AVS Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Arouca v Boavista Primeira Liga 4:1 Home winat 1.95 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
GIL Vicente v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Arouca v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 0:0 Home winat 2.05 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Santa Clara v Arouca Primeira Liga 2:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Arouca v Estrela Primeira Liga 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Benfica v Arouca Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.18 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Arouca v Famalicao Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Arouca in Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga is where Arouca played most recently. We have graded 1,879 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.

Primeira Liga results and our prediction record

Other Primeira Liga teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Arouca, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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