Arouca results and our prediction record
Arouca have played 178 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in September 2026.
We called 88 of those 178 correctly on the match result, which is 49%, against 45% across Primeira Liga as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Arouca
Across every Arouca match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 178 | 88 | 49.4% |
| Double chance | 178 | 134 | 75.3% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 178 | 99 | 55.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 69 | 57 | 82.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 109 | 78 | 71.6% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 178 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Arouca at home we were right 54% of the time from 88 matches, and away from home 44% from 90, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
Arouca appear in 2 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 49% from 178 predictions | 75% from 178 predictions | 56% from 178 predictions | 83% from 69 predictions | 72% from 109 predictions |
| At home | 55% from 88 predictions | 76% from 88 predictions | 58% from 88 predictions | 88% from 34 predictions | 72% from 54 predictions |
| Away from home | 44% from 90 predictions | 74% from 90 predictions | 53% from 90 predictions | 77% from 35 predictions | 71% from 55 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 49% from 176 predictions | 76% from 176 predictions | 56% from 176 predictions | 83% from 69 predictions | 72% from 107 predictions |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate | 0 of 2 too few to quote a rate | none no prediction made | 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Arouca results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 178, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Arouca v Santa Clara | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Estoril v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Arouca v Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| FC Porto v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Drawat 5.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Arouca v Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 4:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Guimaraes v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Arouca v Tondela | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 3.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| GIL Vicente v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:3 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Arouca v Santa Clara | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 2.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Alverca v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Arouca v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| SC Braga v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Arouca v Estoril | Primeira Liga | 3:2 | Home winat 2.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Famalicao v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| FC Porto v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Arouca v Nacional | Primeira Liga | 3:0 | Home winat 2.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Casa Pia v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 3:2 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Arouca v Guimaraes | Primeira Liga | 3:2 | Home winat 3.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.64 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.23 Miss | |
| Rio Ave v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:3 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Arouca v Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| AVS v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 2.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Tondela v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Arouca v GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Santa Clara v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Arouca v Alverca | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Estrela v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Arouca v SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0:4 | Away winat 1.55 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Estoril v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 4:3 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Arouca v Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Benfica v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 5:0 | Drawat 7.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss | |
| Arouca v Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Arouca v FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0:4 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Nacional v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Arouca v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Guimaraes v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 4.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Arouca v Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 3:3 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Sporting CP v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 6:0 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Arouca v AVS | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Arouca v Boavista | Primeira Liga | 4:1 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| GIL Vicente v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Arouca v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Arouca v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Benfica v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Arouca v Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 2.90 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| SC Braga v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Arouca v Estoril | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| AVS v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 2.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Arouca in Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga is where Arouca played most recently. We have graded 1,854 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.
Primeira Liga results and our prediction record
Other Primeira Liga teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Arouca, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.