Chaves results and our prediction record
Chaves have played 70 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in May 2024.
We called 27 of those 70 correctly on the match result, which is 39%, against 50% across Primeira Liga as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Chaves
Across every Chaves match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 70 | 27 | 38.6% |
| Double chance | 70 | 50 | 71.4% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 70 | 36 | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 21 | 15 | 71.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 49 | 36 | 73.5% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 70 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Chaves at home we were right 40% of the time from 35 matches, and away from home 37% from 35, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 39% from 70 predictions | 71% from 70 predictions | 51% from 70 predictions | 71% from 21 predictions | 74% from 49 predictions |
| At home | 40% from 35 predictions | 83% from 35 predictions | 54% from 35 predictions | 8 of 9 too few to quote a rate | 65% from 26 predictions |
| Away from home | 37% from 35 predictions | 60% from 35 predictions | 49% from 35 predictions | 7 of 12 too few to quote a rate | 83% from 23 predictions |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Chaves results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 70, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 3:0 | Home winat 1.07 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit | |
| Chaves v Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Chaves v FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0:3 | Away winat 1.28 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Casa Pia v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 2.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Chaves v Estoril | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Vizela v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:1 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Chaves v Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 2:3 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Benfica v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| Chaves v Guimaraes | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.83 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| GIL Vicente v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Away winat 4.33 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Chaves v Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1:5 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Estrela v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Boavista | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Home or drawat 1.38 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.02 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.32 Hit | |
| Moreirense v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Farense | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 2.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.83 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| SC Braga v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 1.28 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Chaves v Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 0:3 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Famalicao v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| FC Porto v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.17 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.13 Miss | |
| Chaves v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 1:3 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Estoril v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 4:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Chaves v Vizela | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 2.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Portimonense v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Chaves v Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Drawat 5.75 Miss | Home or drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit | |
| Guimaraes v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 5:0 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chaves v GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 4:2 | Home winat 2.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Arouca v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Chaves v Estrela | Primeira Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Boavista v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 4:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chaves v Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Farense v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 5:0 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Chaves v SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 2:4 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Rio Ave v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Chaves v Boavista | Primeira Liga | 1:4 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Arouca v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Pacos Ferreira | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Famalicao v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.29 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Casa Pia | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Santa Clara v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chaves v Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 1.29 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.08 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| GIL Vicente v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Chaves v SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.67 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.29 Hit | |
| Estoril v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:2 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Home or awayat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Chaves v Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 2:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Chaves v FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 1:3 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Rio Ave v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Chaves v Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 2:3 | Away winat 1.45 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Vizela v Chaves | Primeira Liga | 0:0 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Chaves v Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 2:1 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Chaves in Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga is where Chaves played most recently. We have graded 1,861 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.
Primeira Liga results and our prediction record
Other Primeira Liga teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Chaves, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.