Chaves results and our prediction record

Chaves have played 70 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Primeira Liga in May 2024.

We called 27 of those 70 correctly on the match result, which is 39%, against 45% across Primeira Liga as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Chaves

Across every Chaves match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 70 27 38.6%
Double chance 70 50 71.4%
Over or under 2.5 goals 70 36 51.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 21 15 71.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 49 36 73.5%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 70 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Chaves at home we were right 40% of the time from 35 matches, and away from home 37% from 35, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 39% from 70 predictions 71% from 70 predictions 51% from 70 predictions 71% from 21 predictions 74% from 49 predictions
At home 40% from 35 predictions 83% from 35 predictions 54% from 35 predictions 8 of 9 too few to quote a rate 65% from 26 predictions
Away from home 37% from 35 predictions 60% from 35 predictions 49% from 35 predictions 7 of 12 too few to quote a rate 83% from 23 predictions

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Chaves results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 70, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Sporting CP v Chaves Primeira Liga 3:0 Home winat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Chaves v Famalicao Primeira Liga 0:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Chaves v FC Porto Primeira Liga 0:3 Away winat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Casa Pia v Chaves Primeira Liga 3:1 Home winat 2.05 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Chaves v Estoril Primeira Liga 2:2 Away winat 2.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Vizela v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:1 Home winat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Chaves v Portimonense Primeira Liga 2:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Benfica v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss
Chaves v Guimaraes Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
GIL Vicente v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:0 Away winat 4.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Chaves v Arouca Primeira Liga 1:5 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Estrela v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Boavista Primeira Liga 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.02 Hit Over 1.5at 1.32 Hit
Moreirense v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:0 Drawat 3.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Farense Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 2.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.83 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
SC Braga v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:1 Home winat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Chaves v Rio Ave Primeira Liga 0:0 Away winat 2.38 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 0:3 Away winat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Famalicao v Chaves Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 1.75 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
FC Porto v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.13 Miss
Chaves v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 1:3 Home winat 2.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Estoril v Chaves Primeira Liga 4:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Chaves v Vizela Primeira Liga 2:1 Home winat 2.55 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.29 Hit
Portimonense v Chaves Primeira Liga 2:1 Away winat 3.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Chaves v Benfica Primeira Liga 0:2 Drawat 5.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.67 Hit
Guimaraes v Chaves Primeira Liga 5:0 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Chaves v GIL Vicente Primeira Liga 4:2 Home winat 2.45 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Arouca v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:2 Home winat 1.83 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Chaves v Estrela Primeira Liga 2:2 Home winat 2.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Boavista v Chaves Primeira Liga 4:1 Home winat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Chaves v Moreirense Primeira Liga 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Farense v Chaves Primeira Liga 5:0 Away winat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Chaves v SC Braga Primeira Liga 2:4 Away winat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rio Ave v Chaves Primeira Liga 2:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Chaves v Boavista Primeira Liga 1:4 Drawat 3.50 Miss Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Arouca v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Pacos Ferreira Primeira Liga 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Famalicao v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Casa Pia Primeira Liga 1:0 Home winat 2.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Santa Clara v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:1 Away winat 2.75 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Chaves v Benfica Primeira Liga 1:0 Away winat 1.29 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
GIL Vicente v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:0 Drawat 3.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Chaves v SC Braga Primeira Liga 1:2 Away winat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.29 Hit
Estoril v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:2 Home winat 2.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chaves v Portimonense Primeira Liga 2:0 Home winat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Chaves v FC Porto Primeira Liga 1:3 Away winat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Rio Ave v Chaves Primeira Liga 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Chaves v Sporting CP Primeira Liga 2:3 Away winat 1.45 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Vizela v Chaves Primeira Liga 0:0 Drawat 3.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Chaves v Maritimo Primeira Liga 2:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Chaves in Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga is where Chaves played most recently. We have graded 1,854 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Portugal competition we cover.

Primeira Liga results and our prediction record

Other Primeira Liga teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Chaves, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

App Store Google Play