Eredivisie results and our prediction record

We have published 1,965 Eredivisie predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 980 times out of 1,965, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 1,477 times out of 1,965, which is 75%.

Every concluded Eredivisie match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Eredivisie

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 1,965 980 49.9%
Double chance 1,965 1,477 75.2%
Over or under 2.5 goals 1,965 1,137 57.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 1,490 1,253 84.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 475 319 67.2%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Eredivisie

Eredivisie matches in this archive average 3.11 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 60% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 76% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 44% of Eredivisie matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 41% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Eredivisie best, at 75% from 1,965 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 50% from 1,965.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 1,490 calls of over 2.5 in Eredivisie also cleared 1.5 goals 84% of the time, and our 475 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 67% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Eredivisie match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,965, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam 2:3 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Telstar v Utrecht 4:2 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Excelsior v Twente 0:9 Away winat 1.57 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 2.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag 1:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Ajax v AZ Alkmaar 1:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss
Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles 4:0 Home winat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Willem II 7:0 Home winat 1.07 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.11 Hit Over 1.5at 1.02 Hit
Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen 1:0 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss
Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard 1:1 Home winat 1.17 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Twente 0:2 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax 1:2 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Groningen 2:2 Drawat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord 1:1 Away winat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior 1:0 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen 2:3 Away winat 2.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Willem II v Cambuur 1:6 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle 1:1 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
GO Ahead Eagles v Telstar 3:2 Home winat 1.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Twente v Utrecht 1:2 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard 2:2 Drawat 4.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.88 Miss Under 3.5at 1.80 Miss
Groningen v Ajax 2:5 Away winat 1.91 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar 2:2 Away winat 1.48 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles 4:1 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II 3:2 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Telstar v Feyenoord 3:4 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven 2:1 Away winat 1.28 Miss Draw or awayat 1.07 Miss Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Heerenveen v Excelsior 4:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Excelsior v Groningen 1:5 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
PEC Zwolle v Cambuur 0:1 Away winat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
Telstar v ADO Den Haag 2:2 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Utrecht v Willem II 3:1 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen 1:1 Home winat 1.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Twente 1:1 Away winat 1.44 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar 2:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam 3:3 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen 2:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.14 Miss Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles 1:1 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Twente v PSV Eindhoven 3:2 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Telstar 1:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Miss
Feyenoord v Utrecht 5:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Willem II v Fortuna Sittard 0:1 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Ajax v Excelsior 2:2 Home winat 1.22 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen 0:4 Drawat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
ADO Den Haag v Cambuur 1:1 Away winat 4.20 Miss Home or awayat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Groningen v PEC Zwolle 3:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Willem II 5:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam 4:1 Home winat 1.18 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord 0:7 Away winat 1.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Heerenveen v Telstar 0:0 Drawat 4.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss
Excelsior v Utrecht 1:2 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Eredivisie, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.