Eredivisie results and our prediction record

We have published 1,938 Eredivisie predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 79 times out of 177, which is 45%; on the double chance it was right 84 times out of 112, which is 75%.

Every concluded Eredivisie match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Eredivisie

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 177 79 44.6%
Double chance 112 84 75.0%
Over or under 2.5 goals 96 59 61.5%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 169 129 76.3%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 18 10 10 of 18 too few to quote a rate

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Eredivisie

Eredivisie matches in this archive average 3.10 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 60% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 76% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 43% of Eredivisie matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 41% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Eredivisie best, at 75% from 112 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 45% from 177.

Every concluded Eredivisie match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,938, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Excelsior v Groningen 1:5 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
PEC Zwolle v Cambuur 0:1 Away winat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
Telstar v ADO Den Haag 2:2 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Utrecht v Willem II 3:1 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen 1:1 Home winat 1.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Twente 1:1 Away winat 1.44 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar 2:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam 3:3 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen 2:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.14 Miss Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles 1:1 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Twente v PSV Eindhoven 3:2 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Telstar 1:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Miss
Feyenoord v Utrecht 5:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Willem II v Fortuna Sittard 0:1 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Ajax v Excelsior 2:2 Home winat 1.22 Miss Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen 0:4 Drawat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
ADO Den Haag v Cambuur 1:1 Away winat 4.20 Miss Home or awayat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Groningen v PEC Zwolle 3:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ajax v Willem II 5:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam 4:1 Home winat 1.18 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
PEC Zwolle v Feyenoord 0:7 Away winat 1.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Heerenveen v Telstar 0:0 Drawat 4.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss
Excelsior v Utrecht 1:2 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Cambuur v NEC Nijmegen 3:0 Away winat 1.53 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 3.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.83 Hit
Fortuna Sittard v Ajax 1:5 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
GO Ahead Eagles v Groningen 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Twente v ADO Den Haag 2:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v Willem II 1:1 Home winat 1.14 Miss Home or drawat 1.02 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Twente v Telstar 1:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Miss
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior 2:2 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or awayat 1.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard 2:3 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Telstar v Cambuur 2:2 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar 2:3 Away winat 1.75 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Groningen v Twente 2:2 Away winat 2.05 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Willem II v Excelsior 0:3 Away winat 2.30 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ajax v PSV Eindhoven 1:3 Away winat 2.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Utrecht v GO Ahead Eagles 3:3 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord 1:3 Away winat 2.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle 2:2 Drawat 3.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Cambuur v Twente 1:4 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Telstar v Ajax 0:4 Away winat 1.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Willem II v Heerenveen 2:2 Away winat 1.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag 2:2 Home winat 1.17 Miss Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven 1:6 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
PEC Zwolle v NEC Nijmegen 1:3 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles 5:2 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam 2:1 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Groningen v Fortuna Sittard 2:3 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Cambuur v Feyenoord 2:5 Away winat 1.27 Hit Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
PSV Eindhoven v Groningen 5:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Eredivisie, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.