Melbourne Victory results and our prediction record
Melbourne Victory have played 171 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in A-League in November 2026.
We called 74 of those 171 correctly on the match result, which is 43%, against 40% across A-League as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Melbourne Victory
Across every Melbourne Victory match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 171 | 74 | 43.3% |
| Double chance | 171 | 118 | 69.0% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 171 | 84 | 49.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 121 | 96 | 79.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 50 | 32 | 64.0% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 171 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Melbourne Victory at home we were right 38% of the time from 85 matches, and away from home 49% from 86, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.
Melbourne Victory appear in 2 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43% from 171 predictions | 69% from 171 predictions | 49% from 171 predictions | 79% from 121 predictions | 64% from 50 predictions |
| At home | 38% from 85 predictions | 71% from 85 predictions | 44% from 85 predictions | 82% from 66 predictions | 11 of 19 too few to quote a rate |
| Away from home | 49% from 86 predictions | 67% from 86 predictions | 55% from 86 predictions | 76% from 55 predictions | 68% from 31 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-League | 44% from 170 predictions | 69% from 170 predictions | 49% from 170 predictions | 79% from 121 predictions | 65% from 49 predictions |
| AFC Champions League | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate | none no prediction made | 0 of 1 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Melbourne Victory results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 171, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners | A-League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City | A-League | 1:1 | Home winat 2.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:1 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Sydney | A-League | 0:1 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets | A-League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Auckland v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:2 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 0:1 | Home winat 1.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners | A-League | 4:1 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Macarthur | A-League | 4:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Sydney v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United | A-League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.67 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Melbourne City v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:3 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Brisbane Roar | A-League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:0 | Away winat 1.67 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Sydney | A-League | 4:0 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:1 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League | 0:1 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Perth Glory | A-League | 3:2 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 5:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Melbourne City v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:1 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United | A-League | 2:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Macarthur v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:0 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:0 | Home winat 2.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Sydney v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 3:0 | Home winat 2.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City | A-League | 0:2 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Newcastle Jets v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 5:2 | Drawat 3.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Auckland | A-League | 0:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Melbourne City v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:0 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Auckland v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:2 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Auckland | A-League | 0:1 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:2 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets | A-League | 1:1 | Home winat 1.45 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Macarthur v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:2 | Away winat 2.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Auckland | A-League | 0:2 | Home winat 2.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 2:3 | Away winat 1.65 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United | A-League | 5:3 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 4:2 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners | A-League | 3:0 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City | A-League | 2:2 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 1:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Newcastle Jets v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 3:0 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 0:2 | Away winat 1.42 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Sydney | A-League | 2:0 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory | A-League | 3:2 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Western United | A-League | 3:4 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League | 2:2 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Melbourne Victory in A-League
A-League is where Melbourne Victory played most recently. We have graded 994 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Australia competition we cover.
A-League results and our prediction record
Other A-League teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Melbourne Victory, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.