A-League results and our prediction record
We have published 977 A-League predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 66 times out of 163, which is 40%; on the double chance it was right 108 times out of 155, which is 70%.
Every concluded A-League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in A-League
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 163 | 66 | 40.5% |
| Double chance | 155 | 108 | 69.7% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 163 | 96 | 58.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 118 | 93 | 78.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 212 | 154 | 72.6% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads A-League
A-League matches in this archive average 3.07 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 60% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 78% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 42% of A-League matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads A-League best, at 70% from 155 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 40% from 163.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 118 calls of over 2.5 in A-League also cleared 1.5 goals 79% of the time, and our 212 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 73% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded A-League match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 977, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland v Sydney | 1:0 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Adelaide United v Auckland | 0:3 | Away winat 2.90 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Sydney v Newcastle Jets | 1:1 | Away winat 2.88 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Auckland v Adelaide United | 1:1 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Sydney | 0:1 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Melbourne City v Adelaide United | 1:2 | Away winat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Sydney v Auckland | 2:2 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar | 2:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory | 0:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners | 4:0 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Macarthur v Wellington Phoenix | 4:0 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Adelaide United v Macarthur | 3:1 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Auckland v Central Coast Mariners | 0:1 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City | 2:3 | Home winat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Western Sydney Wanderers | 2:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets | 2:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Perth Glory v Macarthur | 3:1 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix | 2:0 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Sydney | 0:2 | Home winat 2.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United | 1:1 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Auckland v Melbourne Victory | 2:2 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Central Coast Mariners v Brisbane Roar | 2:2 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Melbourne City v Central Coast Mariners | 2:1 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix | 0:1 | Home winat 1.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers | 3:0 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Central Coast Mariners v Perth Glory | 2:2 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Adelaide United v Auckland | 1:1 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Macarthur v Newcastle Jets | 3:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Perth Glory v Melbourne City | 1:1 | Away winat 1.91 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Sydney v Newcastle Jets | 1:2 | Away winat 2.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners | 4:1 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix | 1:2 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Auckland v Macarthur | 1:2 | Home winat 1.67 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers v Adelaide United | 2:4 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Sydney v Melbourne City | 0:1 | Away winat 3.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Melbourne Victory v Macarthur | 4:1 | Home winat 1.83 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Newcastle Jets v Auckland | 1:2 | Home winat 2.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United | 1:1 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Perth Glory | 2:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Brisbane Roar v Western Sydney Wanderers | 2:2 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Auckland v Perth Glory | 2:2 | Home winat 1.45 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Sydney v Melbourne Victory | 2:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers | 2:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix | 1:1 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or awayat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Macarthur v Central Coast Mariners | 1:3 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Wellington Phoenix v Sydney | 0:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Macarthur v Western Sydney Wanderers | 0:4 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory | 1:1 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Auckland v Melbourne City | 3:0 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United | 1:1 | Home winat 1.67 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
A-League teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including A-League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.