El Nacional results and our prediction record

El Nacional have played 103 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Liga Pro in December 2025.

We called 37 of those 103 correctly on the match result, which is 36%, against 46% across Liga Pro as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on El Nacional

Across every El Nacional match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 103 37 35.9%
Double chance 103 69 67.0%
Over or under 2.5 goals 103 54 52.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 38 31 81.6%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 65 43 66.2%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 103 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With El Nacional at home we were right 35% of the time from 51 matches, and away from home 36% from 52, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.

El Nacional appear in 2 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 36% from 103 predictions 67% from 103 predictions 52% from 103 predictions 82% from 38 predictions 66% from 65 predictions
At home 35% from 51 predictions 63% from 51 predictions 55% from 51 predictions 85% from 20 predictions 65% from 31 predictions
Away from home 37% from 52 predictions 71% from 52 predictions 50% from 52 predictions 14 of 18 too few to quote a rate 68% from 34 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Liga Pro 37% from 98 predictions 68% from 98 predictions 54% from 98 predictions 83% from 35 predictions 67% from 63 predictions
CONMEBOL Libertadores 1 of 5 too few to quote a rate 2 of 5 too few to quote a rate 1 of 5 too few to quote a rate 2 of 3 too few to quote a rate 1 of 2 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

El Nacional results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 103, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Emelec v El Nacional Liga Pro 5:0 Home winat 2.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
El Nacional v Aucas Liga Pro 3:1 Drawat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Macara v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:0 Home winat 1.45 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v El Nacional Liga Pro 5:0 Home winat 1.55 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
El Nacional v Emelec Liga Pro 2:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Aucas v El Nacional Liga Pro 3:3 Drawat 3.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
El Nacional v Macara Liga Pro 2:0 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
El Nacional v Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro 0:2 Away winat 2.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Delfin SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
El Nacional v Mushuc Runa SC Liga Pro 0:5 Away winat 3.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.61 Hit Over 2.5at 1.82 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Emelec v El Nacional Liga Pro 4:0 Drawat 3.65 Miss Draw or awayat 1.92 Miss Under 2.5at 1.79 Miss Under 3.5at 1.29 Miss
El Nacional v Macara Liga Pro 0:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Cuniburo v El Nacional Liga Pro 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
El Nacional v LDU de Quito Liga Pro 1:0 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Delfin SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 0:3 Away winat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
El Nacional v Barcelona SC Liga Pro 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Independiente del Valle v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:0 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
El Nacional v Libertad Liga Pro 2:2 Drawat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Orense SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Aucas v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
El Nacional v Manta FC Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Tecnico Universitario v El Nacional Liga Pro 0:0 Drawat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
El Nacional v Universidad Catolica Liga Pro 0:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v El Nacional Liga Pro 4:1 Home winat 1.95 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Mushuc Runa SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:3 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
El Nacional v Emelec Liga Pro 2:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Macara v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:1 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
El Nacional v Cuniburo Liga Pro 2:1 Away winat 2.88 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
LDU de Quito v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:2 Home winat 1.48 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
El Nacional v Delfin SC Liga Pro 3:2 Away winat 6.00 Miss Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Barcelona SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 4.33 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
El Nacional v Independiente del Valle Liga Pro 1:3 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Libertad v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:3 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
El Nacional v Orense SC Liga Pro 0:1 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
El Nacional v Aucas Liga Pro 0:1 Away winat 2.55 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Manta FC v El Nacional Liga Pro 4:3 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
El Nacional v Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro 0:0 Away winat 2.88 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Barcelona SC v El Nacional CONMEBOL Libertadores 1:1 Home winat 1.48 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Universidad Catolica v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.48 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
El Nacional v Barcelona SC CONMEBOL Libertadores 0:1 Away winat 2.88 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
El Nacional v Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
El Nacional v Blooming CONMEBOL Libertadores 2:1 Drawat 5.25 Miss Draw or awayat 3.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Blooming v El Nacional CONMEBOL Libertadores 3:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
El Nacional v Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro 2:1 Away winat 1.83 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Mushuc Runa SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:2 Home winat 1.38 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
El Nacional v Libertad Liga Pro 1:4 Away winat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Independiente del Valle v El Nacional Liga Pro 2:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
El Nacional v Orense SC Liga Pro 0:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Delfin SC v El Nacional Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
El Nacional v Barcelona SC Liga Pro 3:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

El Nacional in Liga Pro

Liga Pro is where El Nacional played most recently. We have graded 1,332 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Ecuador competition we cover.

Liga Pro results and our prediction record

Other Liga Pro teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including El Nacional, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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