Libertad results and our prediction record

Libertad have played 126 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Liga Pro in October 2026.

We called 46 of those 126 correctly on the match result, which is 36%, against 46% across Liga Pro as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Libertad

Across every Libertad match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 126 46 36.5%
Double chance 126 89 70.6%
Over or under 2.5 goals 126 63 50.0%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 43 30 69.8%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 83 62 74.7%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 126 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Libertad at home we were right 29% of the time from 63 matches, and away from home 44% from 63, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.

Libertad appear in 2 of the competitions we cover. The table above splits the record across them, with the sample size beside each one, since several are too small to put a rate on.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 37% from 126 predictions 71% from 126 predictions 50% from 126 predictions 70% from 43 predictions 75% from 83 predictions
At home 29% from 63 predictions 62% from 63 predictions 48% from 63 predictions 57% from 21 predictions 69% from 42 predictions
Away from home 44% from 63 predictions 79% from 63 predictions 52% from 63 predictions 82% from 22 predictions 81% from 41 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Liga Pro 36% from 125 predictions 70% from 125 predictions 50% from 125 predictions 69% from 42 predictions 75% from 83 predictions
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate none no prediction made

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Libertad results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 126, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Libertad v Leones del Norte Liga Pro 3:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Emelec v Libertad Liga Pro 1:2 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Libertad v Independiente del Valle Liga Pro 2:3 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad Liga Pro 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Libertad v Emelec Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Aucas v Libertad Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 2.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Libertad v Macara Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Guayaquil City FC v Libertad Liga Pro 2:2 Drawat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Miss
Libertad v Universidad Catolica Liga Pro 2:1 Away winat 1.83 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Libertad v Orense SC Liga Pro 3:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Mushuc Runa SC v Libertad Liga Pro 0:2 Home winat 1.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Libertad v Delfin SC Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Barcelona SC v Libertad Liga Pro 1:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Libertad v Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro 1:0 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
LDU de Quito v Libertad Liga Pro 0:0 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Libertad v Leones del Norte Liga Pro 1:3 Away winat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Manta FC v Libertad Liga Pro 2:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Independiente del Valle v Libertad Liga Pro 2:3 Home winat 1.27 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Libertad v Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro 0:1 Away winat 2.88 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Emelec v Libertad Liga Pro 1:1 Drawat 3.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Libertad v Aucas Liga Pro 3:2 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Macara v Libertad Liga Pro 3:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Libertad v Guayaquil City FC Liga Pro 0:1 Away winat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Universidad Catolica v Libertad Liga Pro 2:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Orense SC v Libertad Liga Pro 2:1 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Libertad v Mushuc Runa SC Liga Pro 2:2 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Delfin SC v Libertad Liga Pro 0:0 Drawat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.40 Hit Under 3.5at 1.12 Hit
Libertad v Barcelona SC Liga Pro 0:0 Drawat 3.10 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Tecnico Universitario v Libertad Liga Pro 2:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Libertad v LDU de Quito Liga Pro 2:1 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad CONMEBOL Sudamericana 3:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.16 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Libertad v Manta FC Liga Pro 1:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Orense SC v Libertad Liga Pro 3:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Libertad v LDU de Quito Liga Pro 2:1 Away winat 1.67 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Independiente del Valle v Libertad Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.33 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Libertad v Barcelona SC Liga Pro 1:1 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Universidad Catolica v Libertad Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
LDU de Quito v Libertad Liga Pro 3:1 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Libertad v Independiente del Valle Liga Pro 1:3 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Barcelona SC v Libertad Liga Pro 1:0 Drawat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.38 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Libertad v Universidad Catolica Liga Pro 1:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Libertad v Orense SC Liga Pro 2:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Libertad v Cuniburo Liga Pro 1:0 Home winat 1.95 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Macara v Libertad Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.21 Hit Under 2.5at 1.77 Hit Under 3.5at 1.26 Hit
Libertad v LDU de Quito Liga Pro 0:1 Away winat 2.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Delfin SC v Libertad Liga Pro 0:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Libertad v Aucas Liga Pro 3:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Universidad Catolica v Libertad Liga Pro 1:1 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Mushuc Runa SC v Libertad Liga Pro 1:2 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Libertad v Emelec Liga Pro 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Libertad in Liga Pro

Liga Pro is where Libertad played most recently. We have graded 1,331 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Ecuador competition we cover.

Liga Pro results and our prediction record

Other Liga Pro teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Libertad, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.