Liga Pro results and our prediction record

We have published 1,353 Liga Pro predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 517 times out of 1,353, which is 38%; on the double chance it was right 961 times out of 1,353, which is 71%.

Every concluded Liga Pro match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Liga Pro

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 1,353 517 38.2%
Double chance 1,353 961 71.0%
Over or under 2.5 goals 1,353 729 53.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 362 262 72.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 991 748 75.5%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Liga Pro

Liga Pro matches in this archive average 2.49 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 45% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 27% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 46% of Liga Pro matches here and draws 28%. Our model picks the home side in 30% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Liga Pro best, at 71% from 1,353 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 38% from 1,353.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 362 calls of over 2.5 in Liga Pro also cleared 1.5 goals 72% of the time, and our 991 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 76% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Liga Pro match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,353, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Independiente del Valle v LDU de Quito 2:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Universidad Catolica v Aucas 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Macara v Barcelona SC 3:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Emelec v Leones del Norte 0:2 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Delfin SC v Deportivo Cuenca 3:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss
Tecnico Universitario v Mushuc Runa SC 3:0 Away winat 2.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Aucas v Barcelona SC 0:4 Away winat 4.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Emelec v Guayaquil City FC 0:1 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Leones del Norte v Libertad 4:1 Home winat 1.90 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
LDU de Quito v Macara 1:2 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Orense SC v Delfin SC 4:0 Away winat 4.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Manta FC v Deportivo Cuenca 0:2 Away winat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 2.35 Miss Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica 0:0 Home winat 1.65 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Barcelona SC v Universidad Catolica 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Leones del Norte v Emelec 1:3 Drawat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss
Delfin SC v Manta FC 4:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Aucas v LDU de Quito 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Macara v Independiente del Valle 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Libertad v Guayaquil City FC 4:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario 2:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
LDU de Quito v Barcelona SC 2:1 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Universidad Catolica v Macara 0:1 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Guayaquil City FC v Emelec 3:2 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 2.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Manta FC v Tecnico Universitario 1:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Independiente del Valle v Aucas 2:1 Drawat 4.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Delfin SC v Mushuc Runa SC 3:2 Drawat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Libertad v Leones del Norte 3:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Manta FC v Orense SC 2:1 Home winat 2.60 Hit Home or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica 2:1 Away winat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC 1:1 Drawat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Tecnico Universitario v Delfin SC 1:1 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Emelec v Libertad 1:2 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte 1:1 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Aucas v Macara 1:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Universidad Catolica v Orense SC 2:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Libertad v Independiente del Valle 2:3 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Barcelona SC v Delfin SC 1:1 Drawat 3.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Macara v Emelec 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Leones del Norte v Tecnico Universitario 0:1 Home winat 1.83 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
LDU de Quito v Deportivo Cuenca 1:1 Away winat 5.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Guayaquil City FC v Mushuc Runa SC 3:1 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Manta FC v Aucas 0:0 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Emelec v Manta FC 1:0 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Mushuc Runa SC v Leones del Norte 1:1 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Orense SC v Guayaquil City FC 4:3 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Aucas v Barcelona SC 1:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Delfin SC v Universidad Catolica 0:1 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Liga Pro, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.