Toulouse results and our prediction record
Toulouse have played 229 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Ligue 1 in September 2026.
We called 103 of those 229 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 50% across Ligue 1 as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Toulouse
Across every Toulouse match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 229 | 103 | 45.0% |
| Double chance | 229 | 164 | 71.6% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 229 | 120 | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 115 | 93 | 80.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 114 | 82 | 71.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 229 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Toulouse at home we were right 50% of the time from 115 matches, and away from home 40% from 114, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Toulouse correctly 47% of the time in the Ligue 2 across 76 matches, and 45% in the Ligue 1 across 145.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 45% from 229 predictions | 72% from 229 predictions | 52% from 229 predictions | 81% from 115 predictions | 72% from 114 predictions |
| At home | 50% from 115 predictions | 77% from 115 predictions | 44% from 115 predictions | 76% from 63 predictions | 67% from 52 predictions |
| Away from home | 40% from 114 predictions | 66% from 114 predictions | 61% from 114 predictions | 87% from 52 predictions | 76% from 62 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 45% from 145 predictions | 70% from 145 predictions | 50% from 145 predictions | 81% from 68 predictions | 77% from 77 predictions |
| Ligue 2 | 47% from 76 predictions | 76% from 76 predictions | 57% from 76 predictions | 83% from 40 predictions | 61% from 36 predictions |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 of 8 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 8 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 8 too few to quote a rate | 5 of 7 too few to quote a rate | 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Toulouse results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 229, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse v LE Havre | Ligue 1 | 3:2 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Lorient v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Lille | Ligue 1 | 0:1 | Away win Hit | Draw or away Hit | Under 2.5 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lyon | Ligue 1 | 0:2 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lyon | Ligue 1 | 2:1 | Home winat 4.33 Hit | Home or drawat 2.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Strasbourg v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:2 | Away winat 2.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Monaco | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Home winat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Lens v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 3:2 | Drawat 4.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Lille | Ligue 1 | 0:4 | Drawat 3.30 Miss | Home or drawat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 3:1 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lorient | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Metz v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 3:4 | Away winat 1.95 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Marseille | Ligue 1 | 0:1 | Home winat 2.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Rennes v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Away winat 3.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Paris FC | Ligue 1 | 1:1 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| LE Havre v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:1 | Away winat 2.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Angers v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 0:0 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 0:2 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Nice | Ligue 1 | 5:1 | Away winat 3.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Lens | Ligue 1 | 0:3 | Away winat 2.55 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Paris FC v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 0:3 | Away winat 2.88 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Marseille v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Angers | Ligue 1 | 0:1 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Lorient v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:1 | Away winat 2.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toulouse v LE Havre | Ligue 1 | 0:0 | Drawat 3.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Monaco v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Drawat 3.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Metz | Ligue 1 | 4:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Lyon v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Nantes | Ligue 1 | 2:2 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Auxerre v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.46 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.27 Hit | |
| Lille v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:1 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 | 3:6 | Away winat 1.33 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | 2:0 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nice v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 0:1 | Away winat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Saint Etienne v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:3 | Away winat 3.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lens | Ligue 1 | 1:1 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2:1 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Nantes v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 0:0 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Reims v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:0 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lille | Ligue 1 | 1:2 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Marseille v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 3:2 | Home winat 1.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | 2:4 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Strasbourg v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 2:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Monaco | Ligue 1 | 1:1 | Home winat 3.25 Miss | Home or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Angers v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 0:4 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| LE Havre v Toulouse | Ligue 1 | 1:4 | Away winat 1.95 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.74 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Toulouse in Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is where Toulouse played most recently. We have graded 2,100 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other France competition we cover.
Ligue 1 results and our prediction record
Other Ligue 1 teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Toulouse, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.