Toulouse results and our prediction record

Toulouse have played 230 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Ligue 1 in October 2026.

We called 103 of those 230 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 45% across Ligue 1 as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Toulouse

Across every Toulouse match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 230 103 44.8%
Double chance 230 165 71.7%
Over or under 2.5 goals 230 121 52.6%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 116 94 81.0%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 114 82 71.9%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 230 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Toulouse at home we were right 50% of the time from 115 matches, and away from home 40% from 115, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Toulouse correctly 47% of the time in the Ligue 2 across 76 matches, and 44% in the Ligue 1 across 146.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 45% from 230 predictions 72% from 230 predictions 53% from 230 predictions 81% from 116 predictions 72% from 114 predictions
At home 50% from 115 predictions 77% from 115 predictions 44% from 115 predictions 76% from 63 predictions 67% from 52 predictions
Away from home 40% from 115 predictions 66% from 115 predictions 61% from 115 predictions 87% from 53 predictions 76% from 62 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Ligue 1 45% from 146 predictions 70% from 146 predictions 50% from 146 predictions 81% from 69 predictions 77% from 77 predictions
Ligue 2 47% from 76 predictions 76% from 76 predictions 57% from 76 predictions 83% from 40 predictions 61% from 36 predictions
UEFA Europa League 2 of 8 too few to quote a rate 5 of 8 too few to quote a rate 5 of 8 too few to quote a rate 5 of 7 too few to quote a rate 1 of 1 too few to quote a rate

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Toulouse results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 230, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Monaco v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:2 Home winat 1.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Toulouse v LE Havre Ligue 1 3:2 Drawat 3.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Lorient v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:2 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Toulouse v Lille Ligue 1 0:1 Away win Hit Draw or away Hit Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:2 Drawat 3.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Toulouse v Lyon Ligue 1 0:2 Home winat 2.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Toulouse v Lyon Ligue 1 2:1 Home winat 4.33 Hit Home or drawat 2.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Strasbourg v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:2 Away winat 2.40 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Toulouse v Monaco Ligue 1 2:2 Home winat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Lens v Toulouse Ligue 1 3:2 Drawat 4.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Toulouse v Lille Ligue 1 0:4 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Paris Saint Germain v Toulouse Ligue 1 3:1 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Toulouse v Lorient Ligue 1 1:0 Home winat 1.95 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Metz v Toulouse Ligue 1 3:4 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Toulouse v Marseille Ligue 1 0:1 Home winat 2.90 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Rennes v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:0 Away winat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Toulouse v Paris FC Ligue 1 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
LE Havre v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:1 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Angers v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Toulouse v Auxerre Ligue 1 0:0 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse Ligue 1 0:2 Home winat 2.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Toulouse v Nice Ligue 1 5:1 Away winat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Toulouse v Lens Ligue 1 0:3 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Paris FC v Toulouse Ligue 1 0:3 Away winat 2.88 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Toulouse v Strasbourg Ligue 1 1:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Marseille v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:2 Home winat 1.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Toulouse v Angers Ligue 1 0:1 Home winat 1.65 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Lorient v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:1 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Toulouse v LE Havre Ligue 1 0:0 Drawat 3.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Toulouse v Rennes Ligue 1 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Monaco v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:0 Drawat 3.90 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Toulouse v Metz Ligue 1 4:0 Home winat 1.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Lyon v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:2 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Toulouse v Nantes Ligue 1 2:2 Home winat 1.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Auxerre v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:0 Away winat 2.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.46 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.27 Hit
Lille v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Toulouse v Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1 3:6 Away winat 1.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.38 Miss Under 3.5at 1.57 Miss
Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 2:0 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Nice v Toulouse Ligue 1 0:1 Away winat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Saint Etienne v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:3 Away winat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Toulouse v Lens Ligue 1 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Toulouse v Rennes Ligue 1 2:1 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Nantes v Toulouse Ligue 1 0:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Reims v Toulouse Ligue 1 1:0 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Toulouse v Lille Ligue 1 1:2 Home winat 2.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Marseille v Toulouse Ligue 1 3:2 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 2:4 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Strasbourg v Toulouse Ligue 1 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Toulouse v Monaco Ligue 1 1:1 Home winat 3.25 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Angers v Toulouse Ligue 1 0:4 Away winat 2.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Toulouse in Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is where Toulouse played most recently. We have graded 2,109 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other France competition we cover.

Ligue 1 results and our prediction record

Other Ligue 1 teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Toulouse, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.