Ligue 1 results and our prediction record
We have published 2,100 Ligue 1 predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 94 times out of 186, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 146 times out of 219, which is 67%.
Every concluded Ligue 1 match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Ligue 1
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 186 | 94 | 50.5% |
| Double chance | 219 | 146 | 66.7% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 76 | 33 | 43.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 129 | 108 | 83.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 77 | 59 | 76.6% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Ligue 1
Ligue 1 matches in this archive average 2.83 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 54% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 50% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 42% of Ligue 1 matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 40% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Ligue 1 best, at 67% from 219 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 43% from 76.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 129 calls of over 2.5 in Ligue 1 also cleared 1.5 goals 84% of the time, and our 77 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 77% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Ligue 1 match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 2,100, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 1:2 | Away winat 1.38 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Nice v Lille | 2:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29 | 2:1 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Angers v Estac Troyes | 2:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Lyon v Rennes | 4:0 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Le Mans v Lorient | 2:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toulouse v LE Havre | 3:2 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Paris FC v Strasbourg | 2:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Monaco v Lens | 2:1 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germain | 0:1 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Le Mans v Lens | 2:2 | Away winat 1.67 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Lille v Estac Troyes | 2:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Auxerre v Nice | 1:0 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| LE Havre v Angers | 0:0 | Home winat 2.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Lorient v Toulouse | 2:2 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Paris FC v Lyon | 0:0 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Strasbourg v Monaco | 1:1 | Drawat 3.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Rennes v Marseille | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Marseille v Paris FC | 2:3 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Angers v Rennes | 1:2 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Estac Troyes v Strasbourg | 2:6 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Nice v Le Mans | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| LE Havre v Stade Brestois 29 | 1:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Lens v Lorient | 0:1 | Home winat 1.45 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Monaco | 1:2 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Lyon v Auxerre | 3:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Toulouse v Lille | 0:1 | Away win Hit | Draw or away Hit | Under 2.5 Hit | Under 3.5 Hit | |
| Monaco v Marseille | 2:0 | Home winat 2.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Rennes v Le Mans | 3:2 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Paris FC v Nice | 3:0 | Away winat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Lorient v Estac Troyes | 1:2 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Auxerre v Angers | 1:3 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Lyon v LE Havre | 1:1 | Home winat 1.44 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse | 2:2 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Strasbourg v Lens | 2:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Lille v Paris Saint Germain | 2:2 | Drawat 3.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Rennes v Paris Saint Germain | 2:2 | Away winat 1.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| LE Havre v Monaco | 0:1 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Angers v Lille | 0:2 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Estac Troyes v Paris FC | 0:0 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Nice v Lorient | 0:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Toulouse v Lyon | 0:2 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Le Mans v Stade Brestois 29 | 2:2 | Home winat 2.55 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Lens v Auxerre | 5:2 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Marseille v Strasbourg | 4:0 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Nice v Saint Etienne | 4:1 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Strasbourg v Monaco | 5:4 | Home winat 3.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Angers | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Lille v Auxerre | 0:2 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Marseille v Rennes | 3:1 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Ligue 1 teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Ligue 1, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.