Sao Paulo results and our prediction record

Sao Paulo have played 268 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Serie A in September 2026.

We called 103 of those 268 correctly on the match result, which is 38%, against 41% across Serie A as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Sao Paulo

Across every Sao Paulo match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 268 103 38.4%
Double chance 268 195 72.8%
Over or under 2.5 goals 268 147 54.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 62 45 72.6%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 206 166 80.6%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 268 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Sao Paulo at home we were right 49% of the time from 133 matches, and away from home 28% from 135, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Sao Paulo correctly 41% of the time in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana across 32 matches, and 25% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores across 24.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 38% from 268 predictions 73% from 268 predictions 55% from 268 predictions 73% from 62 predictions 81% from 206 predictions
At home 49% from 133 predictions 80% from 133 predictions 52% from 133 predictions 80% from 35 predictions 77% from 98 predictions
Away from home 28% from 135 predictions 66% from 135 predictions 58% from 135 predictions 63% from 27 predictions 84% from 108 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Serie A 40% from 212 predictions 72% from 212 predictions 52% from 212 predictions 73% from 48 predictions 80% from 164 predictions
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 41% from 32 predictions 78% from 32 predictions 56% from 32 predictions 8 of 12 too few to quote a rate 75% from 20 predictions
CONMEBOL Libertadores 25% from 24 predictions 71% from 24 predictions 75% from 24 predictions 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate 91% from 22 predictions

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Sao Paulo results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 268, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Sao Paulo v Internacional Serie A 1:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:0 Drawat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 2.88 Miss Over 1.5at 1.57 Miss
Sao Paulo v Bragantino Serie A 2:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Away winat 2.05 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bolívar CONMEBOL Sudamericana 3:1 Away winat 8.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Coritiba Serie A 1:1 Away winat 5.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Bolívar v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense Serie A 1:2 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
remo v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Sao Paulo v Boston River CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2:0 Home winat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Sao Paulo v Botafogo Serie A 1:1 Away winat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Sao Paulo v Millonarios CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Away winat 5.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:2 Home winat 2.05 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
O'Higgins v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:0 Home winat 2.88 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A 2:2 Drawat 3.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Millonarios v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:0 Home winat 1.83 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Mirassol Serie A 1:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v O'Higgins CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Vitoria v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Away winat 2.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Boston River v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:1 Away winat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Serie A 4:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Internacional v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:1 Drawat 3.00 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A 0:1 Drawat 3.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Atletico-MG v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Away winat 3.30 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss
Bragantino v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Chapecoense-sc Serie A 2:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Coritiba v Sao Paulo Serie A 0:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Gremio Serie A 2:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Santos v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:1 Home winat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Sao Paulo v Flamengo Serie A 2:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 2.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Vitoria v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Internacional Serie A 3:0 Away winat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A 6:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Sao Paulo v Juventude Serie A 2:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:1 Home winat 2.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Sao Paulo v Bragantino Serie A 0:1 Home winat 1.75 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Flamengo Serie A 2:2 Away winat 1.95 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo Serie A 0:2 Home winat 2.45 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Mirassol v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:0 Home winat 2.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A 2:3 Away winat 2.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.44 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss
Fortaleza EC v Sao Paulo Serie A 0:2 Away winat 2.75 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Sao Paulo v Ceara Serie A 0:1 Home winat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Sao Paulo v LDU de Quito CONMEBOL Libertadores 0:1 Drawat 4.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Sao Paulo in Serie A

Serie A is where Sao Paulo played most recently. We have graded 2,124 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Brazil competition we cover.

Serie A results and our prediction record

Other Serie A teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Sao Paulo, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.