Sao Paulo results and our prediction record

Sao Paulo have played 271 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Serie A in October 2026.

We called 103 of those 271 correctly on the match result, which is 38%, against 36% across Serie A as a whole.

Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.

Our record on Sao Paulo

Across every Sao Paulo match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 271 103 38.0%
Double chance 271 196 72.3%
Over or under 2.5 goals 271 148 54.6%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 64 47 73.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 207 167 80.7%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the record changes

One record over 271 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.

With Sao Paulo at home we were right 48% of the time from 135 matches, and away from home 28% from 136, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.

It also depends on who they are playing. We call Sao Paulo correctly 41% of the time in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana across 32 matches, and 25% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores across 24.

At home and away

Where Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
All matches 38% from 271 predictions 72% from 271 predictions 55% from 271 predictions 73% from 64 predictions 81% from 207 predictions
At home 48% from 135 predictions 79% from 135 predictions 52% from 135 predictions 81% from 36 predictions 77% from 99 predictions
Away from home 28% from 136 predictions 65% from 136 predictions 57% from 136 predictions 64% from 28 predictions 84% from 108 predictions

By competition

Competition Match result Double chance Over or under 2.5 goals Over 1.5 goals Under 3.5 goals
Serie A 39% from 215 predictions 72% from 215 predictions 52% from 215 predictions 74% from 50 predictions 80% from 165 predictions
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 41% from 32 predictions 78% from 32 predictions 56% from 32 predictions 8 of 12 too few to quote a rate 75% from 20 predictions
CONMEBOL Libertadores 25% from 24 predictions 71% from 24 predictions 75% from 24 predictions 2 of 2 too few to quote a rate 91% from 22 predictions

Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.

Sao Paulo results we predicted

The 50 most recent of 271, newest first.

Date Match Competition Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Sao Paulo v Vitoria Serie A 2:1 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Away winat 4.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Sao Paulo v Santos Serie A 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Internacional Serie A 1:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:0 Drawat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 2.88 Miss Over 1.5at 1.57 Miss
Sao Paulo v Bragantino Serie A 2:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Away winat 2.05 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bolívar CONMEBOL Sudamericana 3:1 Away winat 8.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Coritiba Serie A 1:1 Away winat 5.25 Miss Draw or awayat 2.05 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Bolívar v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense Serie A 1:2 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
remo v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Sao Paulo v Boston River CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2:0 Home winat 1.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Sao Paulo v Botafogo Serie A 1:1 Away winat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Sao Paulo v Millonarios CONMEBOL Sudamericana 1:1 Away winat 5.25 Miss Draw or awayat 2.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:2 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
O'Higgins v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:0 Home winat 2.88 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A 2:2 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Millonarios v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:0 Home winat 1.83 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Mirassol Serie A 1:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v O'Higgins CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Vitoria v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Boston River v Sao Paulo CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0:1 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Serie A 4:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Internacional v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:1 Drawat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A 0:1 Drawat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Atletico-MG v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss
Bragantino v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:2 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Chapecoense-sc Serie A 2:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Coritiba v Sao Paulo Serie A 0:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Gremio Serie A 2:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Santos v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:1 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Sao Paulo v Flamengo Serie A 2:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 2.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Vitoria v Sao Paulo Serie A 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Sao Paulo v Internacional Serie A 3:0 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A 6:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Sao Paulo v Juventude Serie A 2:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:1 Home winat 2.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Sao Paulo v Bragantino Serie A 0:1 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Flamengo Serie A 2:2 Away winat 1.95 Miss Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss
Vasco DA Gama v Sao Paulo Serie A 0:2 Home winat 2.45 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Mirassol v Sao Paulo Serie A 3:0 Home winat 2.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A 2:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A 2:3 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.44 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Sao Paulo in Serie A

Serie A is where Sao Paulo played most recently. We have graded 2,144 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Brazil competition we cover.

Serie A results and our prediction record

Other Serie A teams

Every team we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Sao Paulo, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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