Serie A (Brazil) results and our prediction record

We have published 2,176 Serie A predictions since June 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 926 times out of 2,176, which is 43%; on the double chance it was right 1,586 times out of 2,176, which is 73%.

Every concluded Serie A match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Serie A

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 2,176 926 42.6%
Double chance 2,176 1,586 72.9%
Over or under 2.5 goals 2,176 1,155 53.1%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 822 610 74.2%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 1,354 1,071 79.1%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Serie A

Serie A matches in this archive average 2.45 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 45% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 38% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Serie A matches here and draws 27%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Serie A best, at 73% from 2,176 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 43% from 2,176.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 822 calls of over 2.5 in Serie A also cleared 1.5 goals 74% of the time, and our 1,354 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 79% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Serie A match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 2,176, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Coritiba v Vitoria 2:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Corinthians v Mirassol 2:0 Away winat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Gremio v Atletico Paranaense 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo 1:4 Away winat 1.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Bahia v Sao Paulo 3:2 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
remo v Botafogo 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Fluminense v Internacional 2:1 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Bragantino v Chapecoense-sc 3:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Santos v Palmeiras 0:0 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Flamengo v Atletico-MG 3:2 Drawat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 3.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Coritiba v Gremio 0:1 Away winat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Santos v Bahia 1:1 Drawat 3.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Fluminense 2:1 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Palmeiras v Bragantino 2:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians 3:2 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense 1:1 Away winat 2.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Internacional v Botafogo 3:0 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Mirassol v Sao Paulo 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Cruzeiro v remo 1:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Corinthians v Vitoria 1:1 Away winat 6.25 Miss Draw or awayat 2.20 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
remo v Bragantino 1:1 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Bahia v Flamengo 0:3 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Fluminense v Santos 1:2 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Gremio v Cruzeiro 2:4 Away winat 2.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama 1:0 Away winat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras 0:2 Away winat 2.45 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Atletico-MG v Coritiba 1:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc 1:0 Away winat 9.50 Miss Home or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Mirassol v Internacional 2:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Bragantino v Cruzeiro 4:2 Home winat 2.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense 1:4 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Coritiba v Botafogo 1:1 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Bahia v Mirassol 1:0 Drawat 3.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Palmeiras v Corinthians 4:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Flamengo v Fluminense 1:0 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Gremio v Internacional 1:1 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Atletico-MG v Santos 2:1 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Sao Paulo v Vitoria 2:1 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v remo 0:0 Home win Miss Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Fluminense v Coritiba 4:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Palmeiras v Bahia 1:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Atletico Paranaense v Atletico-MG 2:2 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Santos v Flamengo 2:2 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo 2:0 Away winat 4.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama 1:2 Away winat 2.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc 4:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Bragantino v Mirassol 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Internacional v Corinthians 2:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
remo v Gremio 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Serie A teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Serie A, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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