Serie A (Brazil) results and our prediction record

We have published 2,124 Serie A predictions since June 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 56 times out of 138, which is 41%; on the double chance it was right 164 times out of 216, which is 76%.

Every concluded Serie A match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Serie A

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 138 56 40.6%
Double chance 216 164 75.9%
Over or under 2.5 goals 187 98 52.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 71 50 70.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 82 67 81.7%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Serie A

Serie A matches in this archive average 2.44 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 45% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 37% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Serie A matches here and draws 27%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Serie A best, at 76% from 216 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 41% from 138.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 71 calls of over 2.5 in Serie A also cleared 1.5 goals 70% of the time, and our 82 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 82% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Serie A match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 2,124, newest first.

Date Match Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Atletico Paranaense v Bahia 2:1 Away winat 3.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Flamengo v Bragantino 2:1 Home winat 1.38 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Corinthians v Fluminense 1:3 Away winat 3.70 Hit Over 2.5at 2.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Vitoria v Cruzeiro 1:3 Away winat 2.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Gremio v Palmeiras 0:0 Away winat 1.85 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Sao Paulo v Internacional 1:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba 5:0 Home win Hit Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
remo v Santos 1:2 Away winat 2.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Mirassol v Botafogo 2:0 Home winat 2.15 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Atletico-MG v Chapecoense-sc 1:1 Away winat 8.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Botafogo v Gremio 3:2 Home winat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Bahia v remo 2:1 Home winat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Flamengo v Corinthians 2:1 Home winat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Mirassol v Vitoria 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Santos v Cruzeiro 2:1 Home winat 2.88 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Botafogo v Bragantino 1:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo 2:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Internacional 1:2 Away winat 2.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Atletico-MG v Fluminense 3:1 Away winat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Gremio v Vasco DA Gama 1:2 Away winat 2.88 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense 3:3 Away winat 2.35 Miss Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Vitoria v Gremio 1:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Corinthians v Chapecoense-sc 1:2 Home winat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Botafogo v Palmeiras 0:0 Away winat 2.15 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
remo v Flamengo 0:1 Away winat 1.48 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Internacional v Santos 2:3 Away winat 4.00 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense 3:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Coritiba v Mirassol 1:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss
Flamengo v Mirassol 2:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
remo v Coritiba 2:3 Away winat 3.60 Hit Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Bahia v Internacional 3:2 Home winat 1.90 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Mirassol v Palmeiras 1:1 Away winat 2.05 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Gremio v Chapecoense-sc 3:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Corinthians v Santos 0:1 Away winat 4.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Flamengo v Botafogo 3:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Atletico Paranaense v Fluminense 3:3 Away winat 3.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro 3:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Sao Paulo v Bragantino 2:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Atletico-MG v Vitoria 2:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense 2:3 Drawat 3.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Coritiba v Corinthians 2:1 Away winat 2.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.48 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Chapecoense-sc v Sao Paulo 1:0 Away winat 2.05 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Santos v Mirassol 1:1 Home winat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama 4:1 Home winat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Vitoria v Bahia 0:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Bragantino v Gremio 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Cruzeiro v Flamengo 2:1 Away winat 2.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Internacional v Atletico-MG 0:0 Away winat 3.75 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Fluminense v remo 2:1 Drawat 4.33 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Serie A teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Serie A, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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