Toluca results and our prediction record
Toluca have played 206 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Liga MX in October 2026.
We called 93 of those 206 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 39% across Liga MX as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Toluca
Across every Toluca match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 206 | 93 | 45.1% |
| Double chance | 206 | 149 | 72.3% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 206 | 114 | 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 119 | 99 | 83.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 87 | 61 | 70.1% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 206 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Toluca at home we were right 45% of the time from 105 matches, and away from home 46% from 101, so this is a side the model finds harder to read at home.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 45% from 206 predictions | 72% from 206 predictions | 55% from 206 predictions | 83% from 119 predictions | 70% from 87 predictions |
| At home | 45% from 105 predictions | 75% from 105 predictions | 58% from 105 predictions | 90% from 69 predictions | 69% from 36 predictions |
| Away from home | 46% from 101 predictions | 69% from 101 predictions | 53% from 101 predictions | 74% from 50 predictions | 71% from 51 predictions |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Toluca results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 206, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | Liga MX | 3:2 | Home winat 2.88 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Cruz Azul v Toluca | Liga MX | 3:3 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Toluca v Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2:3 | Home winat 1.28 Miss | Home or drawat 1.07 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atlas | Liga MX | 5:2 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Puebla v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 4:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Toluca v Necaxa | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | Liga MX | 1:2 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Pachuca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Leon | Liga MX | 4:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Mazatlán v Toluca | Liga MX | 4:3 | Away winat 1.38 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Club America v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 1.57 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atlas | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:3 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Toluca v Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 2:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:3 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toluca v Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 1:0 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit | |
| Toluca v Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 1:1 | Drawat 3.85 Hit | Home or drawat 1.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.64 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Puebla v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Monterrey v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Away winat 4.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 2:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.05 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Toluca v Monterrey | Liga MX | 3:2 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss | |
| Monterrey v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 0:0 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| FC Juarez v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Toluca v Club America | Liga MX | 2:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Atlas v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Toluca v Pachuca | Liga MX | 2:2 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Toluca v Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 4:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Leon v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:4 | Away winat 1.67 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v Mazatlán | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Toluca v Monterrey | Liga MX | 6:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:3 | Away winat 2.43 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.42 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.38 Hit | |
| Toluca v Puebla | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:3 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Cruz Azul v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Toluca v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 3:4 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Santos Laguna v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:4 | Away winat 1.53 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Toluca in Liga MX
Liga MX is where Toluca played most recently. We have graded 1,773 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Mexico competition we cover.
Liga MX results and our prediction record
Other Liga MX teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Toluca, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.