Toluca results and our prediction record
Toluca have played 204 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in Liga MX in September 2026.
We called 91 of those 204 correctly on the match result, which is 45%, against 50% across Liga MX as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Toluca
Across every Toluca match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 204 | 91 | 44.6% |
| Double chance | 204 | 147 | 72.1% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 204 | 113 | 55.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 118 | 98 | 83.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 86 | 61 | 70.9% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 204 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Toluca at home we were right 45% of the time from 105 matches, and away from home 44% from 99, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 45% from 204 predictions | 72% from 204 predictions | 55% from 204 predictions | 83% from 118 predictions | 71% from 86 predictions |
| At home | 45% from 105 predictions | 75% from 105 predictions | 58% from 105 predictions | 90% from 69 predictions | 69% from 36 predictions |
| Away from home | 44% from 99 predictions | 69% from 99 predictions | 53% from 99 predictions | 74% from 49 predictions | 72% from 50 predictions |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Toluca results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 204, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca v Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2:3 | Home winat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atlas | Liga MX | 5:2 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Puebla v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 4:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Toluca v Necaxa | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | Liga MX | 1:2 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:0 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Pachuca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Leon | Liga MX | 4:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Mazatlán v Toluca | Liga MX | 4:3 | Away winat 1.38 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Club America v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atlas | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:3 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Toluca v Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 2:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:3 | Away winat 1.70 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Toluca v Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 1:0 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.57 Hit | |
| Toluca v Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 1:1 | Drawat 3.85 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.64 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Puebla v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 3.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Monterrey v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:1 | Away winat 4.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Toluca v Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 2:1 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Toluca v Monterrey | Liga MX | 3:2 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss | |
| Monterrey v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | Liga MX | 0:0 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| FC Juarez v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Toluca v Club America | Liga MX | 2:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Atlas v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Toluca v Pachuca | Liga MX | 2:2 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:0 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Toluca v Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 4:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Leon v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:4 | Away winat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v Mazatlán | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Toluca v Monterrey | Liga MX | 6:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:3 | Away winat 2.43 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.38 Hit | |
| Toluca v Puebla | Liga MX | 3:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:3 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Cruz Azul v Toluca | Liga MX | 1:0 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Toluca v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | Liga MX | 1:1 | Home winat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Toluca | Liga MX | 0:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Toluca v Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 3:4 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Santos Laguna v Toluca | Liga MX | 2:4 | Away winat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Toluca v Necaxa | Liga MX | 3:1 | Drawat 4.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Toluca v Club America | Liga MX | 2:0 | Drawat 2.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Toluca in Liga MX
Liga MX is where Toluca played most recently. We have graded 1,755 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Mexico competition we cover.
Liga MX results and our prediction record
Other Liga MX teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Toluca, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.