Liga MX results and our prediction record
We have published 1,755 Liga MX predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 107 times out of 216, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 123 times out of 172, which is 72%.
Every concluded Liga MX match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Liga MX
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 216 | 107 | 49.5% |
| Double chance | 172 | 123 | 71.5% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 208 | 108 | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 111 | 92 | 82.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 86 | 62 | 72.1% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Liga MX
Liga MX matches in this archive average 2.75 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 53% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 50% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of Liga MX matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Liga MX best, at 72% from 172 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 50% from 216.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 111 calls of over 2.5 in Liga MX also cleared 1.5 goals 83% of the time, and our 86 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 72% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Liga MX match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,755, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro v Leon | 1:1 | Away winat 2.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Club Tijuana | 2:2 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Toluca v Santos Laguna | 2:3 | Home winat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Club America v Guadalajara Chivas | 2:2 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Monterrey v Cruz Azul | 1:0 | Home winat 2.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Atletico San Luis v Necaxa | 3:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Atlas v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 1:1 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Tigres UANL | 2:0 | Away winat 1.85 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Puebla v Atlante FC | 1:1 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Leon v Atletico San Luis | 2:0 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 3:0 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Santos Laguna v FC Juarez | 2:1 | Home winat 2.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Cruz Azul v Club America | 4:3 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Monterrey v Tigres UANL | 0:0 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Toluca v Atlas | 5:2 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Club Tijuana v Club Queretaro | 0:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Atlante FC v Pachuca | 0:3 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Puebla | 0:1 | Away winat 3.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Leon | 3:1 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna | 1:0 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss | |
| Atlas v Atlante FC | 1:1 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Necaxa | 1:1 | Home winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Guadalajara Chivas | 0:3 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Pachuca | 0:2 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Puebla v Toluca | 0:1 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Monterrey v Atletico San Luis | 1:3 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Toluca v FC Juarez | 4:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Santos Laguna v Tigres UANL | 0:0 | Away winat 1.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss | |
| Club America v Puebla | 2:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Atlas v Club Queretaro | 1:3 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Guadalajara Chivas | 1:1 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 2:0 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Cruz Azul | 1:3 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Necaxa | 1:1 | Drawat 3.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Pachuca | 1:1 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Cruz Azul v Atlas | 0:2 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Puebla v Santos Laguna | 3:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Club Tijuana | 5:2 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Club Queretaro v Toluca | 1:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Club America | 1:2 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Leon v Monterrey | 2:0 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Puebla | 2:3 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Leon | 1:2 | Home winat 2.35 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v Cruz Azul | 2:1 | Away winat 2.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Santos Laguna v Guadalajara Chivas | 0:1 | Away winat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Club America v Atletico San Luis | 3:0 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Club Queretaro | 0:0 | Drawat 3.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Atlas v Tigres UANL | 2:1 | Home winat 3.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Monterrey v FC Juarez | 6:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v Necaxa | 3:1 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Liga MX teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Liga MX, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.