Liga MX results and our prediction record
We have published 1,808 Liga MX predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 795 times out of 1,808, which is 44%; on the double chance it was right 1,323 times out of 1,808, which is 73%.
Every concluded Liga MX match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Liga MX
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1,808 | 795 | 44.0% |
| Double chance | 1,808 | 1,323 | 73.2% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 1,808 | 978 | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 923 | 728 | 78.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 885 | 646 | 73.0% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Liga MX
Liga MX matches in this archive average 2.77 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 53% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 51% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of Liga MX matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Liga MX best, at 73% from 1,808 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 44% from 1,808.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 923 calls of over 2.5 in Liga MX also cleared 1.5 goals 79% of the time, and our 885 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 73% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Liga MX match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,808, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America v Toluca | 2:2 | Home winat 2.35 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Atlante FC | 4:2 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| Monterrey v Club Tijuana | 3:3 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Tigres UANL | 3:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Puebla v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 1:2 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Club Queretaro | 3:1 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Home or drawat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Atlas | 0:1 | Away winat 2.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Club America v Club Tijuana | 1:1 | Home winat 1.44 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v Santos Laguna | 4:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Club America v Pachuca | 1:2 | Home winat 1.65 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Cruz Azul | 1:3 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Atlas v Puebla | 4:3 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Tigres UANL | 1:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas | 0:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Leon v Toluca | 1:1 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Atlante FC v Atletico San Luis | 0:1 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Home or draw Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Necaxa v FC Juarez | 1:1 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Cruz Azul | 1:2 | Away winat 2.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Santos Laguna v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 2:0 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Atlas v Club America | 2:5 | Away winat 2.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Puebla v Monterrey | 1:4 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Toluca v Club Tijuana | 2:2 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Leon | 0:2 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Club Queretaro | 2:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Atlante FC | 0:1 | Away winat 2.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa | 1:0 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss | |
| Monterrey v Pachuca | 2:1 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Cruz Azul v FC Juarez | 5:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Toluca v Atletico San Luis | 1:1 | Home winat 1.36 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Leon v Club America | 3:5 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL | 1:1 | Drawat 3.75 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro | 5:0 | Home winat 2.35 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Club Tijuana v Puebla | 0:0 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atlante FC v U.N.A.M.: Pumas | 1:2 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Atlas | 0:2 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Cruz Azul | 3:3 | Home winat 3.60 Miss | Home or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Pachuca v Necaxa | 3:3 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Atletico San Luis v Santos Laguna | 1:2 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Club America v Monterrey | 1:1 | Home winat 1.90 Miss | Home or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas | 1:1 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Club Queretaro v Atlante FC | 2:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| FC Juarez v Club Tijuana | 1:1 | Away winat 2.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Toluca | 3:2 | Home winat 2.88 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Puebla v Leon | 1:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Necaxa v Club America | 2:4 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Leon v FC Juarez | 2:1 | Home winat 1.55 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| U.N.A.M.: Pumas v Atletico San Luis | 2:3 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Tigres UANL v Puebla | 1:0 | Drawat 4.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Santos Laguna v Pachuca | 1:0 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Club Queretaro | 0:2 | Home winat 1.57 Miss | Home or drawat 1.14 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Liga MX teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Liga MX, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.