Alaves results and our prediction record
Alaves have played 229 matches that we predicted before kickoff, the most recent of them in La Liga in September 2026.
We called 82 of those 229 correctly on the match result, which is 36%, against 46% across La Liga as a whole.
Every one of those matches is below, with the pick we made and the final score.
Our record on Alaves
Across every Alaves match we called before kickoff, graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 229 | 82 | 35.8% |
| Double chance | 229 | 153 | 66.8% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 229 | 138 | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 59 | 40 | 67.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 170 | 138 | 81.2% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the record changes
One record over 229 matches hides as much as it shows. The same call is a different proposition at home and away, and different again in a league that has seen this side a hundred times against a cup they play four times a year.
With Alaves at home we were right 36% of the time from 115 matches, and away from home 35% from 114, so this is a side the model finds harder to read away from home.
It also depends on who they are playing. We call Alaves correctly 37% of the time in the Segunda División across 46 matches, and 36% in the La Liga across 183.
At home and away
| Where | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All matches | 36% from 229 predictions | 67% from 229 predictions | 60% from 229 predictions | 68% from 59 predictions | 81% from 170 predictions |
| At home | 37% from 115 predictions | 67% from 115 predictions | 58% from 115 predictions | 60% from 30 predictions | 84% from 85 predictions |
| Away from home | 35% from 114 predictions | 67% from 114 predictions | 62% from 114 predictions | 76% from 29 predictions | 79% from 85 predictions |
By competition
| Competition | Match result | Double chance | Over or under 2.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 36% from 183 predictions | 67% from 183 predictions | 58% from 183 predictions | 70% from 53 predictions | 79% from 130 predictions |
| Segunda División | 37% from 46 predictions | 65% from 46 predictions | 70% from 46 predictions | 3 of 6 too few to quote a rate | 90% from 40 predictions |
Each figure carries the number of predictions behind it. The last two markets are the same goals call read where it is easier to clear, so they cover different halves of the same matches.
Alaves results we predicted
The 50 most recent of 229, newest first.
| Date | Match | Competition | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club v Alaves | La Liga | 0:0 | Drawat 4.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Alaves v Valencia | La Liga | 0:1 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Racing Santander v Alaves | La Liga | 2:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Alaves v Osasuna | La Liga | 5:2 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Alaves v Villarreal | La Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Rayo Vallecano v Alaves | La Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.53 Hit | |
| Alaves v Getafe | La Liga | 3:0 | Drawat 2.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Alaves v Rayo Vallecano | La Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 2.88 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Oviedo v Alaves | La Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Alaves v Barcelona | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Elche v Alaves | La Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Alaves v Athletic Club | La Liga | 2:4 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Alaves v Mallorca | La Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v Alaves | La Liga | 2:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Real Sociedad v Alaves | La Liga | 3:3 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Alaves v Osasuna | La Liga | 2:2 | Home winat 2.45 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Celta Vigo v Alaves | La Liga | 3:4 | Home winat 1.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Alaves v Villarreal | La Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Valencia v Alaves | La Liga | 3:2 | Away winat 4.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Levante v Alaves | La Liga | 2:0 | Away winat 2.88 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Alaves v Girona | La Liga | 2:2 | Drawat 3.00 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Sevilla v Alaves | La Liga | 1:1 | Home winat 2.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Alaves v Getafe | La Liga | 0:2 | Home winat 2.35 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Espanyol v Alaves | La Liga | 1:2 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Alaves v Real Betis | La Liga | 2:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atletico Madrid v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Home winat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Villarreal v Alaves | La Liga | 3:1 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Alaves v Oviedo | La Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 5.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Osasuna v Alaves | La Liga | 3:0 | Drawat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Alaves v Real Madrid | La Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Alaves v Real Sociedad | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Barcelona v Alaves | La Liga | 3:1 | Drawat 7.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Alaves v Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0:1 | Home winat 2.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Girona v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Alaves v Espanyol | La Liga | 2:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Rayo Vallecano v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Alaves v Valencia | La Liga | 0:0 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| Alaves v Elche | La Liga | 3:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Mallorca v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Getafe v Alaves | La Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Alaves v Sevilla | La Liga | 1:2 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Athletic Club v Alaves | La Liga | 0:1 | Home winat 1.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | La Liga | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Real Betis v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 4.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Alaves v Levante | La Liga | 2:1 | Drawat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Alaves v Osasuna | La Liga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Valladolid v Alaves | La Liga | 0:1 | Away winat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Alaves v Valencia | La Liga | 1:0 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Athletic Club v Alaves | La Liga | 1:0 | Drawat 2.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | La Liga | 0:0 | Away winat 2.15 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Alaves in La Liga
La Liga is where Alaves played most recently. We have graded 2,214 predictions in that competition, and its full record sits beside every other Spain competition we cover.
La Liga results and our prediction record
Other La Liga teams
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Alaves, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.