La Liga results and our prediction record
We have published 2,223 La Liga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 55 times out of 145, which is 38%; on the double chance it was right 189 times out of 222, which is 85%.
Every concluded La Liga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in La Liga
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 145 | 55 | 37.9% |
| Double chance | 222 | 189 | 85.1% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 2,223 | 1,245 | 56.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 108 | 93 | 86.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 127 | 106 | 83.5% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads La Liga
La Liga matches in this archive average 2.61 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 48% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 38% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of La Liga matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads La Liga best, at 85% from 222 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 38% from 145.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 108 calls of over 2.5 in La Liga also cleared 1.5 goals 86% of the time, and our 127 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 84% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded La Liga match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 2,223, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante v Sevilla | 3:3 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Racing Santander v Valencia | 2:2 | Home winat 2.40 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Real Betis v Osasuna | 5:2 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruna | 3:2 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Elche v Celta Vigo | 0:0 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v Villarreal | 1:0 | Home winat 1.38 Hit | Home or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.08 Miss | |
| Barcelona v Getafe | 3:0 | Home winat 1.08 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | 1:2 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Malaga v Espanyol | 1:1 | Away winat 2.70 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Valencia v Real Sociedad | 2:3 | Away winat 2.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Deportivo La Coruna v Real Betis | 1:1 | Away winat 2.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Villarreal v Levante | 3:1 | Home winat 1.50 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid | 2:1 | Away winat 1.95 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Getafe v Malaga | 1:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Sevilla v Barcelona | 1:3 | Away winat 1.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Celta Vigo v Racing Santander | 5:0 | Home winat 1.80 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Athletic Club v Alaves | 0:0 | Drawat 4.00 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano | 1:1 | Home winat 2.38 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Espanyol v Elche | 1:3 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Malaga v Villarreal | 1:3 | Away winat 1.95 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Real Betis v Getafe | 1:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Barcelona v Racing Santander | 7:2 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.12 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| Atletico Madrid v Osasuna | 4:0 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Deportivo La Coruna v Sevilla | 0:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Elche v Real Madrid | 2:3 | Away winat 1.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Alaves v Valencia | 0:1 | Home winat 1.85 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol | 2:1 | Home winat 2.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Villarreal v Real Betis | 1:2 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid | 0:3 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Home or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna | 1:1 | Home winat 2.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Levante v Barcelona | 2:4 | Away winat 1.14 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Celta Vigo v Malaga | 1:1 | Drawat 3.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | 4:1 | Home winat 1.11 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Athletic Club v Elche | 1:1 | Home winat 1.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Osasuna v Espanyol | 0:2 | Home winat 2.15 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Racing Santander v Alaves | 2:1 | Away winat 2.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sevilla v Valencia | 1:0 | Home winat 2.10 Hit | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Elche v Real Sociedad | 2:3 | Away winat 2.38 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Getafe v Celta Vigo | 1:1 | Drawat 2.88 Hit | Home or drawat 1.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Espanyol v Sevilla | 1:1 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Malaga v Levante | 0:0 | Home winat 2.35 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Alaves v Osasuna | 5:2 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Valencia v Barcelona | 0:5 | Away winat 1.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna | 2:3 | Home winat 1.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.11 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander | 3:2 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid | 3:0 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Real Sociedad v Celta Vigo | 0:0 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano | 5:2 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Osasuna v Getafe | 1:0 | Drawat 2.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 3.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.67 Miss | |
| Celta Vigo v Athletic Club | 0:2 | Home winat 2.38 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
La Liga teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including La Liga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.