Major League Soccer results and our prediction record

We have published 3,157 Major League Soccer predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 94 times out of 228, which is 41%; on the double chance it was right 141 times out of 218, which is 65%.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Major League Soccer

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 228 94 41.2%
Double chance 218 141 64.7%
Over or under 2.5 goals 216 117 54.2%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 139 109 78.4%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 74 47 63.5%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer matches in this archive average 2.97 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 58% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 65% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Major League Soccer matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Major League Soccer best, at 65% from 218 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 41% from 228.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 139 calls of over 2.5 in Major League Soccer also cleared 1.5 goals 78% of the time, and our 74 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 64% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,157, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City 2:1 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City 0:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Columbus Crew v Inter Miami 2:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v DC United 3:3 Home winat 1.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v Colorado Rapids 3:2 Drawat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Real Salt Lake v New England Revolution 3:0 Away winat 2.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC 1:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Seattle Sounders v Minnesota Stars FC 3:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Nashville SC v Toronto FC 2:0 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Austin v San Diego 3:3 Drawat 3.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City 0:2 Home winat 1.57 Miss Home or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC 4:2 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Atlanta United FC v New York City FC 2:2 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Charlotte v Chicago Fire 0:1 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
Montreal Impact v FC Cincinnati 3:1 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Seattle Sounders v Real Salt Lake 2:0 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Inter Miami v San Diego 2:2 Home winat 1.44 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC 0:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
Nashville SC v Chicago Fire 3:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3 Away winat 1.83 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders 3:3 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
FC Dallas v Austin 0:0 Drawat 4.20 Hit Draw or awayat 2.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati 2:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Louis City v Toronto FC 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union 3:4 Away winat 1.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC 2:2 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Montreal Impact v Columbus Crew 0:2 Home winat 2.45 Miss Home or away Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New England Revolution v Orlando City SC 4:2 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
DC United v Charlotte 1:2 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New York City FC v New York Red Bulls 0:1 Drawat 4.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 2.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.62 Hit
San Diego v Philadelphia Union 0:5 Away winat 2.35 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v Austin 1:2 Home winat 1.28 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Chicago Fire v New England Revolution 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo 1:0 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v Seattle Sounders 1:1 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Montreal Impact 1:0 Drawat 4.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Real Salt Lake v New York City FC 0:2 Drawat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FC Dallas v Portland Timbers 2:1 Away winat 4.00 Miss Home or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Louis City v Minnesota Stars FC 4:2 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC 3:1 Away winat 1.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Inter Miami v Nashville SC 2:2 Away winat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Orlando City SC v Toronto FC 3:0 Away winat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Columbus Crew v New York Red Bulls 0:1 Drawat 4.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
FC Cincinnati v Charlotte 3:3 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
DC United v Atlanta United FC 0:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls 2:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Under 2.5at 3.40 Hit Under 3.5at 1.83 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Portland Timbers v St. Louis City 2:2 Away winat 2.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Major League Soccer teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Major League Soccer, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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