Major League Soccer results and our prediction record

We have published 3,140 Major League Soccer predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 77 times out of 222, which is 35%; on the double chance it was right 148 times out of 224, which is 66%.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Major League Soccer

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 222 77 34.7%
Double chance 224 148 66.1%
Over or under 2.5 goals 229 111 48.5%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 126 104 82.5%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 72 49 68.1%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer matches in this archive average 2.97 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 58% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 65% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Major League Soccer matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Major League Soccer best, at 66% from 224 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 35% from 222.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 126 calls of over 2.5 in Major League Soccer also cleared 1.5 goals 82% of the time, and our 72 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 68% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,140, newest first.

Date Match Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Inter Miami v San Diego 2:2 Home winat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC 0:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
Nashville SC v Chicago Fire 3:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3 Away winat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders 3:3 Home winat 1.85 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
FC Dallas v Austin 0:0 Drawat 4.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati 2:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3 Home winat 1.55 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Louis City v Toronto FC 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union 3:4 Away winat 1.60 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC 2:2 Away winat 2.15 Miss Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Montreal Impact v Columbus Crew 0:2 Home winat 2.45 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New England Revolution v Orlando City SC 4:2 Home winat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
DC United v Charlotte 1:2 Away winat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New York City FC v New York Red Bulls 0:1 Drawat 4.10 Miss Under 2.5at 2.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.62 Hit
San Diego v Philadelphia Union 0:5 Away winat 2.35 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v Austin 1:2 Home winat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Chicago Fire v New England Revolution 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo 1:0 Drawat 3.50 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v Seattle Sounders 1:1 Home winat 2.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Montreal Impact 1:0 Drawat 4.10 Miss Under 2.5at 2.25 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Real Salt Lake v New York City FC 0:2 Drawat 3.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FC Dallas v Portland Timbers 2:1 Away winat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Louis City v Minnesota Stars FC 4:2 Away winat 3.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC 3:1 Away winat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 2.40 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Inter Miami v Nashville SC 2:2 Away winat 3.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Orlando City SC v Toronto FC 3:0 Away winat 3.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Columbus Crew v New York Red Bulls 0:1 Drawat 4.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
FC Cincinnati v Charlotte 3:3 Away winat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
DC United v Atlanta United FC 0:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls 2:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 3.40 Hit Under 3.5at 1.83 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0 Home winat 1.38 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Portland Timbers v St. Louis City 2:2 Away winat 2.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
San Diego v San Jose Earthquakes 2:3 Home winat 1.75 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Chicago Fire v Inter Miami 1:1 Home winat 2.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v FC Dallas 1:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Austin v Colorado Rapids 1:1 Away winat 2.70 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake 2:1 Home winat 2.00 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
New York City FC v New England Revolution 1:2 Away winat 3.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati 5:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC 2:3 Home winat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Toronto FC v Nashville SC 2:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
DC United v Columbus Crew 2:1 Home winat 2.55 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Montreal Impact v Charlotte 1:2 Drawat 3.90 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v St. Louis City 1:3 Home winat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Portland Timbers v Minnesota Stars FC 5:4 Away winat 2.90 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v New England Revolution 2:1 Away win Miss Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC 2:2 Away win Miss Under 2.5 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Austin v San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 Home win Miss Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
FC Dallas v Sporting Kansas City 4:3 Draw Miss Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Major League Soccer teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Major League Soccer, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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