Major League Soccer results and our prediction record

We have published 3,242 Major League Soccer predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 1,261 times out of 3,242, which is 39%; on the double chance it was right 2,225 times out of 3,242, which is 69%.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Major League Soccer

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 3,242 1,261 38.9%
Double chance 3,242 2,225 68.6%
Over or under 2.5 goals 3,242 1,782 55.0%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 2,138 1,721 80.5%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 1,104 773 70.0%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer matches in this archive average 2.98 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 59% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 66% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Major League Soccer matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Major League Soccer best, at 69% from 3,242 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 39% from 3,242.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 2,138 calls of over 2.5 in Major League Soccer also cleared 1.5 goals 80% of the time, and our 1,104 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 70% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,242, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire 2:4 Away winat 2.88 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin 4:1 Home win Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake 2:1 Away win Miss Draw or away Miss Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
St. Louis City v San Diego 0:1 Away win Hit Draw or away Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas 1:1 Away win Miss Draw or away Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union 1:0 Away win Miss Draw or away Miss Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Miss
New York City FC v Montreal Impact 1:1 Home win Miss Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
Columbus Crew v DC United 3:0 Home win Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Charlotte v Orlando City SC 4:0 Home win Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v San Diego 4:1 Drawat 5.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Seattle Sounders v Houston Dynamo 0:1 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids 2:2 Drawat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Nashville SC v Philadelphia Union 0:0 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
FC Dallas v Columbus Crew 0:2 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC 2:2 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v Sporting Kansas City 3:1 Home winat 1.45 Hit Home or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Austin v Real Salt Lake 1:2 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
St. Louis City v Portland Timbers 2:3 Away winat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 2.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls 3:2 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Toronto FC v DC United 2:1 Away winat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Charlotte v Montreal Impact 4:0 Away winat 6.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
New York City FC v Atlanta United FC 2:1 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit
Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati 2:2 Away winat 6.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.75 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Los Angeles FC v Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2 Drawat 4.50 Hit Draw or awayat 2.38 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Real Salt Lake v St. Louis City 3:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.65 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Portland Timbers v Charlotte 3:2 Drawat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
San Diego v Seattle Sounders 2:2 Away winat 2.88 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Houston Dynamo v Minnesota Stars FC 0:0 Away winat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes 3:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Austin 1:2 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution 1:2 Home winat 1.45 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
DC United v FC Cincinnati 0:2 Away winat 2.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Miss Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Orlando City SC v New York City FC 2:2 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire 2:3 Drawat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami 2:0 Home winat 3.60 Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Miss Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
Columbus Crew v Toronto FC 4:2 Home winat 1.55 Hit Home or draw Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Montreal Impact v Nashville SC 0:2 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FC Cincinnati v DC United 2:1 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew 0:2 Away winat 2.62 Hit Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Seattle Sounders v Montreal Impact 1:1 Home winat 1.42 Miss Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC 1:1 Away winat 1.91 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v San Diego 2:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Portland Timbers v Colorado Rapids 0:0 Drawat 3.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt Lake 1:3 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Houston Dynamo v FC Dallas 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Austin v Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2 Away winat 1.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami 1:3 Away winat 1.91 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
New York City FC v Los Angeles FC 1:1 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC 0:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Major League Soccer teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Major League Soccer, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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