Major League Soccer results and our prediction record

We have published 3,172 Major League Soccer predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 87 times out of 221, which is 39%; on the double chance it was right 155 times out of 231, which is 67%.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Major League Soccer

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 221 87 39.4%
Double chance 231 155 67.1%
Over or under 2.5 goals 223 132 59.2%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 176 148 84.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 73 52 71.2%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer matches in this archive average 2.97 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 59% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 65% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Major League Soccer matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Major League Soccer best, at 67% from 231 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 39% from 221.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 176 calls of over 2.5 in Major League Soccer also cleared 1.5 goals 84% of the time, and our 73 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 71% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Major League Soccer match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 3,172, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Los Angeles FC v Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1 Drawat 3.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 Away winat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Austin v Nashville SC 1:4 Away winat 1.91 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers 3:3 Away winat 2.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v Houston Dynamo 2:2 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Inter Miami v DC United 4:0 Drawat 5.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake 2:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew 3:2 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati 1:3 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Charlotte v FC Dallas 3:2 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
New York Red Bulls v San Diego 4:1 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
New England Revolution v Seattle Sounders 0:3 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Chicago Fire v New York City FC 2:1 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Toronto FC v Montreal Impact 2:1 Home winat 1.95 Hit Home or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Chicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps 3:1 Away win Miss Draw or away Miss Over 2.5 Hit Over 1.5 Hit
Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City 2:1 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City 0:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Columbus Crew v Inter Miami 2:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v DC United 3:3 Home winat 1.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Los Angeles Galaxy v Colorado Rapids 3:2 Drawat 4.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Real Salt Lake v New England Revolution 3:0 Away winat 2.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC 1:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Seattle Sounders v Minnesota Stars FC 3:1 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Nashville SC v Toronto FC 2:0 Home winat 1.42 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Austin v San Diego 3:3 Drawat 3.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City 0:2 Home winat 1.57 Miss Home or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC 4:2 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Atlanta United FC v New York City FC 2:2 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Charlotte v Chicago Fire 0:1 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
Montreal Impact v FC Cincinnati 3:1 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Seattle Sounders v Real Salt Lake 2:0 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Inter Miami v San Diego 2:2 Home winat 1.44 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC 0:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Miss
Nashville SC v Chicago Fire 3:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps 0:3 Away winat 1.83 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders 3:3 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
FC Dallas v Austin 0:0 Drawat 4.20 Hit Draw or awayat 2.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati 2:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Minnesota Stars FC v Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3 Home winat 1.55 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
St. Louis City v Toronto FC 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 2.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union 3:4 Away winat 1.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC 2:2 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 2.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.62 Miss
Montreal Impact v Columbus Crew 0:2 Home winat 2.45 Miss Home or away Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New England Revolution v Orlando City SC 4:2 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
DC United v Charlotte 1:2 Away winat 2.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
New York City FC v New York Red Bulls 0:1 Drawat 4.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 2.50 Hit Under 3.5at 1.62 Hit
San Diego v Philadelphia Union 0:5 Away winat 2.35 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Vancouver Whitecaps v Austin 1:2 Home winat 1.28 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Chicago Fire v New England Revolution 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Major League Soccer teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Major League Soccer, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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