Serie B results and our prediction record

We have published 2,344 Serie B predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 904 times out of 2,344, which is 39%; on the double chance it was right 1,699 times out of 2,344, which is 72%.

Every concluded Serie B match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Serie B

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 2,344 904 38.6%
Double chance 2,344 1,699 72.5%
Over or under 2.5 goals 2,344 1,252 53.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 634 470 74.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 1,710 1,322 77.3%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Serie B

Serie B matches in this archive average 2.47 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 45% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 27% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 40% of Serie B matches here and draws 32%. Our model picks the home side in 34% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Serie B best, at 72% from 2,344 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 39% from 2,344.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 634 calls of over 2.5 in Serie B also cleared 1.5 goals 74% of the time, and our 1,710 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 77% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Serie B match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 2,344, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Palermo v Vicenza Virtus 3:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Verona v Carrarese 3:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Avellino v Pisa 2:0 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Arezzo v Ascoli 0:0 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Empoli v Juve Stabia 2:2 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella 2:0 Away win Miss Draw or away Miss Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
Catanzaro v Padova 1:1 Away win Miss Draw or away Hit Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Modena v Mantova 1:1 Home win Miss Home or draw Hit Over 2.5 Miss Over 1.5 Hit
Sudtirol v Cesena 1:1 Draw Hit Home or draw Hit Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Cremonese v Benevento 2:0 Away win Miss Draw or away Miss Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Carrarese v Arezzo 2:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Juve Stabia v Verona 0:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Pisa v Palermo 3:3 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Mantova v Cremonese 0:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Vicenza Virtus v Modena 1:2 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Virtus Entella v Avellino 1:1 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Cesena v Empoli 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Padova v Sudtirol 2:0 Drawat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Ascoli v Sampdoria 2:0 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Benevento v Catanzaro 1:1 Home winat 1.65 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Verona v Pisa 1:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Palermo v Carrarese 2:1 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Arezzo v Benevento 0:3 Away winat 2.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Catanzaro v Ascoli 1:6 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Cremonese v Juve Stabia 0:1 Away winat 4.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Modena v Cesena 3:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Virtus Entella v Mantova 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 2.08 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Avellino v Padova 0:1 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Sudtirol v Sampdoria 1:1 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Empoli v Vicenza Virtus 0:2 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Sampdoria v Arezzo 1:2 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Cesena v Avellino 1:1 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Juve Stabia v Sudtirol 3:0 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Pisa v Cremonese 3:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Mantova v Palermo 0:2 Away winat 2.15 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Padova v Virtus Entella 1:2 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.15 Hit Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Benevento v Vicenza Virtus 2:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Carrarese v Modena 2:1 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Ascoli v Empoli 1:1 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Verona v Catanzaro 2:2 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Modena v Verona 3:2 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Padova v Carrarese 0:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Catanzaro v Mantova 1:3 Away winat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Vicenza Virtus v Pisa 0:3 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Benevento v Cesena 2:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Virtus Entella v Juve Stabia 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Empoli v Palermo 2:4 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sudtirol v Ascoli 0:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Avellino v Sampdoria 4:1 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Modena v Empoli 2:1 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Other competitions in Italy

All competitions we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Serie B, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.