Serie A (Italy) results and our prediction record
We have published 2,330 Serie A predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 57 times out of 115, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 180 times out of 233, which is 77%.
Every concluded Serie A match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Serie A
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 115 | 57 | 49.6% |
| Double chance | 233 | 180 | 77.3% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 233 | 116 | 49.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 25 | 20 | 80.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 133 | 103 | 77.4% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Serie A
Serie A matches in this archive average 2.70 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 51% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 43% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 41% of Serie A matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 39% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Serie A best, at 77% from 233 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 50% from 115.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 25 calls of over 2.5 in Serie A also cleared 1.5 goals 80% of the time, and our 133 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 77% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Serie A match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 2,330, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino v Udinese | 2:1 | Away winat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Venezia | 3:1 | Away winat 5.75 Miss | Home or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Cagliari v Juventus | 1:1 | Away winat 1.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Sassuolo v AC Milan | 1:1 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Lazio v Monza | 3:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Lecce v Bologna | 1:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| como v AS Roma | 0:0 | Away winat 2.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Napoli v Frosinone | 3:0 | Away winat 7.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Inter v Parma | 3:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.02 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| Genoa v Fiorentina | 2:1 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Home or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| AC Milan v Lecce | 3:0 | Home winat 1.27 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Juventus v Atalanta | 2:0 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Parma v Genoa | 2:1 | Drawat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Frosinone v como | 2:0 | Away winat 1.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.12 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Napoli | 1:1 | Home winat 3.25 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Venezia v Lazio | 0:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Inter | 2:2 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Home or awayat 1.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bologna v Torino | 1:1 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Udinese v Cagliari | 0:1 | Away winat 3.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Monza v Sassuolo | 2:1 | Home winat 3.00 Hit | Home or drawat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Inter v Udinese | 5:3 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Torino v AS Roma | 0:2 | Away winat 1.57 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| como v Parma | 2:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Sassuolo v Juventus | 3:2 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Napoli v Bologna | 1:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.95 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Lecce v Monza | 3:2 | Away winat 2.88 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Cagliari | 1:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.12 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Lazio v AC Milan | 2:2 | Drawat 3.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Genoa v Frosinone | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Venezia v Fiorentina | 2:4 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Udinese v Lazio | 1:2 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Cagliari v Lecce | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Juventus v AC Milan | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bologna v Sassuolo | 2:2 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Parma v Monza | 1:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Frosinone v Venezia | 3:2 | Home winat 2.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Atalanta | 2:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Inter v Napoli | 3:2 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Torino | 1:2 | Home winat 1.90 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Genoa v como | 1:4 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Bologna | 1:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Lecce v AS Roma | 0:4 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Cagliari v Inter | 0:1 | Away winat 1.42 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Lazio v Genoa | 1:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Napoli v como | 1:2 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Juventus v Parma | 2:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sassuolo v Torino | 2:1 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Monza v Udinese | 2:3 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Home or drawat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Frosinone | 0:3 | Away winat 5.25 Hit | Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AC Milan v Venezia | 2:0 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Serie A, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.