Serie A (Italy) results and our prediction record
We have published 2,320 Serie A predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 116 times out of 231, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 32 times out of 43, which is 74%.
Every concluded Serie A match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Serie A
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 231 | 116 | 50.2% |
| Double chance | 43 | 32 | 74.4% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 119 | 63 | 52.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 72 | 50 | 69.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 76 | 56 | 73.7% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Serie A
Serie A matches in this archive average 2.70 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 50% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 43% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 41% of Serie A matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 39% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Serie A best, at 74% from 43 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 50% from 231.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 72 calls of over 2.5 in Serie A also cleared 1.5 goals 69% of the time, and our 76 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 74% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Serie A match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 2,320, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan v Lecce | 3:0 | Home winat 1.27 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Juventus v Atalanta | 2:0 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Parma v Genoa | 2:1 | Drawat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Frosinone v como | 2:0 | Away winat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Napoli | 1:1 | Home winat 3.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Venezia v Lazio | 0:2 | Away winat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Inter | 2:2 | Home winat 2.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bologna v Torino | 1:1 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Udinese v Cagliari | 0:1 | Away winat 3.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Monza v Sassuolo | 2:1 | Home winat 3.00 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Inter v Udinese | 5:3 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Torino v AS Roma | 0:2 | Away winat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| como v Parma | 2:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Sassuolo v Juventus | 3:2 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Napoli v Bologna | 1:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Lecce v Monza | 3:2 | Away winat 2.88 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Cagliari | 1:2 | Drawat 4.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Lazio v AC Milan | 2:2 | Drawat 3.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| Genoa v Frosinone | 1:1 | Away winat 3.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Venezia v Fiorentina | 2:4 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Udinese v Lazio | 1:2 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Cagliari v Lecce | 1:0 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Juventus v AC Milan | 1:1 | Drawat 3.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Bologna v Sassuolo | 2:2 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Parma v Monza | 1:1 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Frosinone v Venezia | 3:2 | Home winat 2.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Atalanta | 2:1 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Inter v Napoli | 3:2 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Torino | 1:2 | Home winat 1.90 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Genoa v como | 1:4 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Atalanta v Bologna | 1:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| Lecce v AS Roma | 0:4 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Cagliari v Inter | 0:1 | Away winat 1.42 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Lazio v Genoa | 1:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.38 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| Napoli v como | 1:2 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Juventus v Parma | 2:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Sassuolo v Torino | 2:1 | Home winat 2.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Monza v Udinese | 2:3 | Home winat 3.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Fiorentina v Frosinone | 0:3 | Away winat 5.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| AC Milan v Venezia | 2:0 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| AS Roma v Fiorentina | 4:0 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Bologna v Lazio | 0:1 | Home winat 2.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Atalanta v Sassuolo | 2:1 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Torino v AC Milan | 1:2 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Venezia v Lecce | 0:2 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Frosinone v Juventus | 0:1 | Home winat 8.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Parma v Cagliari | 0:1 | Drawat 3.00 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Genoa v Napoli | 0:2 | Away winat 1.90 Hit | Over 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Inter v Monza | 4:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Udinese v como | 1:1 | Away winat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Serie A, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.