Primera División (Chile) results and our prediction record

We have published 1,281 Primera División predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 54 times out of 161, which is 34%; on the double chance it was right 39 times out of 54, which is 72%.

Every concluded Primera División match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Primera División

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 161 54 33.5%
Double chance 54 39 72.2%
Over or under 2.5 goals 26 17 65.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 59 34 57.6%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 104 86 82.7%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Primera División

Primera División matches in this archive average 2.67 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 51% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 42% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 45% of Primera División matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Primera División best, at 72% from 54 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 34% from 161.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 59 calls of over 2.5 in Primera División also cleared 1.5 goals 58% of the time, and our 104 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 83% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Primera División match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,281, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Universidad de Concepcion v Huachipato 0:2 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Union La Calera v Deportes Limache 1:0 Away winat 2.55 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
A. Italiano v O'Higgins 1:0 Away winat 2.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Colo Colo v Concepción 1:1 Home winat 1.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
D. La Serena v Universidad de Chile 0:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Palestino v U. Catolica 2:3 Home winat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Cobresal v Coquimbo Unido 3:2 Drawat 3.60 Miss Home or drawat 1.73 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Nublense v Everton de Vina 1:3 Away winat 2.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportes Limache v Cobresal 3:0 Drawat 4.20 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Palestino v Universidad de Concepcion 2:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Huachipato v Colo Colo 0:0 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
O'Higgins v Union La Calera 2:1 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
D. La Serena v Nublense 2:1 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Universidad de Chile v Coquimbo Unido 4:2 Home winat 1.90 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Everton de Vina v U. Catolica 0:1 Home winat 2.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Concepción v A. Italiano 0:1 Home winat 1.95 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportes Limache v Nublense 2:0 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Coquimbo Unido v Universidad de Concepcion 1:0 Drawat 3.90 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
U. Catolica v O'Higgins 3:2 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Union La Calera v D. La Serena 0:1 Away winat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Coquimbo Unido v Huachipato 0:1 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Colo Colo v A. Italiano 5:1 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Universidad de Concepcion v Universidad de Chile 2:1 Away winat 1.67 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Nublense v Concepción 0:1 Drawat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportes Limache v Everton de Vina 0:3 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Cobresal v Palestino 2:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Coquimbo Unido v U. Catolica 1:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Everton de Vina v Universidad de Concepcion 3:1 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
O'Higgins v Palestino 0:1 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Universidad de Chile v Colo Colo 1:2 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Concepción v Coquimbo Unido 1:1 Home winat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
D. La Serena v Cobresal 3:3 Drawat 3.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
U. Catolica v Nublense 1:2 Away winat 5.00 Hit Draw or awayat 2.15 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Huachipato v Deportes Limache 1:3 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
A. Italiano v Union La Calera 0:0 Home winat 2.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Palestino v Huachipato 5:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Colo Colo v O'Higgins 2:2 Home winat 1.48 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Cobresal v Concepción 0:2 Away winat 2.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Nublense v Union La Calera 2:1 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Everton de Vina v A. Italiano 1:1 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportes Limache v Universidad de Chile 1:3 Away winat 1.95 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Universidad de Concepcion v D. La Serena 0:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
A. Italiano v Nublense 2:2 Drawat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Universidad de Chile v Palestino 2:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Union La Calera v Colo Colo 1:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
O'Higgins v Deportes Limache 1:3 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Concepción v Universidad de Concepcion 1:0 Home winat 1.85 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Miss
Coquimbo Unido v D. La Serena 1:1 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Huachipato v Everton de Vina 1:4 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
U. Catolica v Cobresal 2:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Primera División teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Primera División, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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