Premiership results and our prediction record
We have published 1,381 Premiership predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 86 times out of 193, which is 45%; on the double chance it was right 141 times out of 186, which is 76%.
Every concluded Premiership match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Premiership
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 193 | 86 | 44.6% |
| Double chance | 186 | 141 | 75.8% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 228 | 131 | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 0 | 0 | 0 of 0 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 118 | 96 | 81.4% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Premiership
Premiership matches in this archive average 2.73 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 52% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 50% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of Premiership matches here and draws 24%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Premiership best, at 76% from 186 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 45% from 193.
Every concluded Premiership match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,381, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Our call | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic v Rangers | 0:1 | Drawat 3.70 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| Kilmarnock v Heart OF Midlothian | 1:1 | Away winat 1.65 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| ST Johnstone v Falkirk | 1:1 | Drawat 3.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v Dundee Utd | 0:3 | Away winat 2.88 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Hibernian v Aberdeen | 1:1 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Dundee v Motherwell | 2:1 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Falkirk v Heart OF Midlothian | 2:1 | Away winat 1.91 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Motherwell v Aberdeen | 0:4 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Hibernian v Kilmarnock | 0:1 | Drawat 4.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.50 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.62 Hit | |
| ST Johnstone v Celtic | 0:1 | Away winat 1.50 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Rangers v ST Mirren | 1:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Heart OF Midlothian v Dundee | 2:1 | Drawat 4.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| ST Johnstone v Hibernian | 2:1 | Away winat 2.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v Celtic | 1:2 | Away winat 1.48 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Dundee Utd v Falkirk | 1:1 | Home winat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Aberdeen v Kilmarnock | 0:0 | Away winat 4.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Rangers v Motherwell | 1:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Hibernian v Heart OF Midlothian | 1:3 | Away winat 2.70 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Falkirk v Rangers | 1:2 | Away winat 1.60 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Hit | |
| Kilmarnock v ST Mirren | 0:1 | Away winat 2.45 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss | |
| Dundee v ST Johnstone | 1:1 | Home winat 2.60 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Motherwell v Dundee Utd | 3:0 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Celtic v Aberdeen | 3:0 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v Motherwell | 3:3 | Home winat 2.50 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss | |
| Dundee v Hibernian | 1:2 | Home winat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Aberdeen v Rangers | 0:1 | Away winat 1.83 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit | |
| Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd | 0:4 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Celtic v Falkirk | 2:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Heart OF Midlothian v ST Johnstone | 2:1 | Drawat 3.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Dundee Utd v Dundee | 0:2 | Away winat 3.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Rangers v Hibernian | 1:2 | Home winat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Motherwell v Falkirk | 0:0 | Home winat 1.80 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Heart OF Midlothian v Dundee Utd | 4:0 | Away winat 4.75 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Kilmarnock v Celtic | 1:5 | Drawat 5.00 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v ST Johnstone | 1:0 | Home winat 2.30 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Dundee v Aberdeen | 2:0 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.91 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Hibernian v Motherwell | 1:2 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock | 4:3 | Away winat 3.20 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss | |
| Aberdeen v Heart OF Midlothian | 2:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit | |
| Falkirk v ST Mirren | 0:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Dundee Utd v Rangers | 1:1 | Away winat 1.53 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v Partick | 1:0 | Home winat 1.73 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Partick v ST Mirren | 1:1 | Drawat 3.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Livingston v Kilmarnock | 1:4 | Away winat 2.35 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| ST Mirren v Dundee Utd | 1:1 | Home winat 2.25 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Dundee v Aberdeen | 3:2 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| Celtic v Heart OF Midlothian | 3:1 | Drawat 4.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Falkirk v Rangers | 2:5 | Away winat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Hibernian v Motherwell | 0:1 | Away winat 2.62 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.91 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Motherwell v Celtic | 2:3 | Home winat 4.33 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit |
The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Premiership teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Premiership, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.