Primera División (Peru) results and our prediction record

We have published 1,602 Primera División predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 39 times out of 83, which is 47%; on the double chance it was right 71 times out of 87, which is 82%.

Every concluded Primera División match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Primera División

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 83 39 47.0%
Double chance 87 71 81.6%
Over or under 2.5 goals 83 41 49.4%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 86 67 77.9%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 129 103 79.8%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Primera División

Primera División matches in this archive average 2.65 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 50% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 38% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 49% of Primera División matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 36% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Primera División best, at 82% from 87 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 47% from 83.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 86 calls of over 2.5 in Primera División also cleared 1.5 goals 78% of the time, and our 129 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 80% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Primera División match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,602, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Cienciano v Cultural Santa Rosa 1:1 Home winat 1.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
ADT v Cienciano 2:1 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Juan Pablo II College v UCV Moquegua 4:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sport Huancayo v UTC 3:2 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
FBC Melgar v Sport Boys 1:1 Home winat 1.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario 4:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau 3:1 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
FC Cajamarca v Cusco 1:2 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Alianza Lima v ADT 2:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Alianza Atletico v Comerciantes Unidos 2:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Atletico Grau v Alianza Atletico 3:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Sport Boys v Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Alianza Lima v Universitario 1:2 Home winat 2.38 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 2.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.50 Hit
UCV Moquegua v Sporting Cristal 1:2 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Comerciantes Unidos v Sport Huancayo 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Cultural Santa Rosa v FC Cajamarca 1:2 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Cusco v FBC Melgar 0:1 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
UTC v Juan Pablo II College 1:2 Away winat 4.33 Hit Draw or awayat 1.95 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
FBC Melgar v ADT 3:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Juan Pablo II College v Alianza Lima 1:1 Away winat 1.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportivo Garcilaso v Atletico Grau 4:2 Drawat 3.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Sporting Cristal v Cultural Santa Rosa 5:0 Drawat 5.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Under 2.5at 2.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
Universitario v Comerciantes Unidos 2:2 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Cusco v UCV Moquegua 2:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
Sport Huancayo v Sport Boys 2:1 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Alianza Atletico v UTC 3:2 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
FC Cajamarca v Cienciano 2:5 Away winat 2.15 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Atletico Grau v FBC Melgar 1:0 Drawat 3.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Cienciano v Cusco 1:2 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sport Boys v Sporting Cristal 1:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
ADT v Sport Huancayo 1:3 Away winat 2.55 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
UCV Moquegua v Alianza Atletico 1:4 Away winat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Alianza Lima v Deportivo Garcilaso 0:1 Home winat 1.33 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
UTC v Universitario 2:4 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Cultural Santa Rosa v Juan Pablo II College 3:4 Drawat 3.80 Miss Draw or awayat 2.10 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
Comerciantes Unidos v FC Cajamarca 2:3 Home winat 1.53 Miss Home or drawat 1.12 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Universitario v Cultural Santa Rosa 3:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
FBC Melgar v Alianza Lima 1:1 Away winat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 2.20 Miss Over 1.5at 1.36 Hit
Sport Boys v Cienciano 5:1 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Deportivo Garcilaso v Cusco 4:1 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Juan Pablo II College v ADT 5:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
UTC v Comerciantes Unidos 1:3 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Sport Huancayo v UCV Moquegua 0:2 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Alianza Atletico v Sporting Cristal 1:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
FC Cajamarca v Atletico Grau 1:3 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Miss
Cienciano v Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0 Home winat 2.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
FC Cajamarca v Universitario 2:3 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
UCV Moquegua v Sport Boys 1:1 Drawat 3.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.57 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Sporting Cristal v Sport Huancayo 4:1 Away winat 5.25 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Alianza Lima v UTC 1:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.03 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Primera División teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Primera División, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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