Eliteserien results and our prediction record

We have published 1,474 Eliteserien predictions since August 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 70 times out of 154, which is 46%; on the double chance it was right 103 times out of 155, which is 66%.

Every concluded Eliteserien match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Eliteserien

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 154 70 45.5%
Double chance 155 103 66.5%
Over or under 2.5 goals 186 115 61.8%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 115 99 86.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 51 32 62.7%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Eliteserien

Eliteserien matches in this archive average 3.12 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 61% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 71% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 47% of Eliteserien matches here and draws 22%. Our model picks the home side in 37% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Eliteserien best, at 66% from 155 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 46% from 154.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 115 calls of over 2.5 in Eliteserien also cleared 1.5 goals 86% of the time, and our 51 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 63% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Eliteserien match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,474, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Lillestrom v Molde 2:2 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08 FF 2:4 Away winat 2.62 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Start v Ham-Kam 2:4 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Fredrikstad v Tromso 1:1 Home winat 2.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Rosenborg v Sandefjord 1:1 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Bodo/Glimt v Kristiansund BK 3:1 Home winat 1.07 Hit Home or drawat 1.01 Hit Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
Brann v Viking 0:2 Away winat 2.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Brann v Bodo/Glimt 2:1 Away winat 1.62 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Sandefjord v Start 3:0 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Viking v Lillestrom 3:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Tromso v Ham-Kam 3:2 Drawat 4.50 Miss Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Valerenga v Fredrikstad 1:1 Drawat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Molde v Aalesund 1:2 Home winat 1.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.20 Hit Over 1.5at 1.05 Hit
Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg 1:3 Away winat 1.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sarpsborg 08 FF v KFUM Oslo 1:3 Away winat 5.00 Hit Draw or awayat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Bodo/Glimt v Sandefjord 3:2 Home winat 1.17 Hit Home or drawat 1.04 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg 08 FF 1:1 Drawat 3.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Start v Brann 2:0 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
KFUM Oslo v Aalesund 2:1 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Ham-Kam v Molde 1:5 Away winat 1.73 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Viking v Kristiansund BK 8:1 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Rosenborg v Tromso 5:3 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Lillestrom v Valerenga 2:0 Away winat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Kristiansund BK v Tromso 2:0 Drawat 4.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga 2:2 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Molde v KFUM Oslo 2:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Brann v Lillestrom 1:2 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Rosenborg v Ham-Kam 4:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Sandefjord v Viking 1:1 Away winat 1.65 Miss Draw or awayat 1.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Fredrikstad v Bodo/Glimt 1:2 Away winat 1.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
Aalesund v Start 2:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Lillestrom v Fredrikstad 1:4 Drawat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 2.05 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Tromso v Sarpsborg 08 FF 0:0 Drawat 3.90 Hit Draw or awayat 2.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Sandefjord v Brann 0:0 Away winat 2.15 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss
Valerenga v Molde 3:4 Away winat 2.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Ham-Kam v Kristiansund BK 2:2 Drawat 3.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Viking v Aalesund 2:1 Drawat 6.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit
Start v KFUM Oslo 4:1 Home winat 2.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg 4:2 Away winat 6.50 Miss Draw or awayat 3.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK 1:0 Drawat 3.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Sarpsborg 08 FF v Sandefjord 1:2 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Molde v Tromso 3:2 Home winat 2.25 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Brann v Ham-Kam 3:0 Home winat 1.55 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Aalesund v Valerenga 5:5 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
KFUM Oslo v Lillestrom 1:1 Away winat 2.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Hit Under 3.5at 1.50 Hit
Rosenborg v Viking 2:1 Home winat 2.55 Hit Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Kristiansund BK v Molde 2:1 Away winat 1.67 Miss Draw or awayat 1.18 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Ham-Kam v Aalesund 1:1 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Lillestrom v Rosenborg 0:2 Away winat 2.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Start v Fredrikstad 0:1 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Eliteserien, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.