J1 League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,777 J1 League predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 11 times out of 22, which is 50%; on the double chance it was right 67 times out of 95, which is 70%.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in J1 League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 22 11 50.0%
Double chance 95 67 70.5%
Over or under 2.5 goals 22 9 40.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 65 51 78.5%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 61 51 83.6%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads J1 League

J1 League matches in this archive average 2.54 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 46% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 48% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 41% of J1 League matches here and draws 27%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads J1 League best, at 70% from 95 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 41% from 22.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 65 calls of over 2.5 in J1 League also cleared 1.5 goals 78% of the time, and our 61 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 84% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,777, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 Away winat 1.48 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse 1:2 Away winat 2.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
JEF United Chiba v V-varen Nagasaki 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia 0:1 Away winat 1.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
FC Tokyo v Urawa 3:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama 2:1 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Kashima v Gamba Osaka 2:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v Vissel Kobe 4:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol 2:4 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock 2:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga 1:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka 1:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Urawa v Tokyo Verdy 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Shimizu S-pulse v JEF United Chiba 2:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 Away winat 1.83 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima 3:3 Drawat 3.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Urawa v Fagiano Okayama 1:2 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba 1:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo 0:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus 2:0 Away winat 2.05 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka 6:1 Home winat 1.57 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1 Drawat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 2.00 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Kawasaki Frontale 0:1 Away winat 2.05 Hit Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Vissel Kobe v Kashima 2:1 Home winat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 Away winat 1.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
FC Tokyo v Kyoto Sanga 2:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse 3:1 Away winat 3.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki 3:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F. Marinos 0:2 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 Away winat 1.83 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
JEF United Chiba v Gamba Osaka 2:0 Away winat 2.10 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia 1:3 Away winat 2.15 Hit Home or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Kashima v Urawa 0:1 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v Kashima 0:2 Away winat 1.73 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka 1:0 Away winat 4.00 Miss Home or awayat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Urawa v Yokohama F. Marinos 3:2 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama 2:1 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba 4:2 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Shimizu S-pulse v Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
V-varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo 0:3 Away winat 1.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Machida Zelvia 1:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Urawa 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 Home winat 1.67 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

J1 League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including J1 League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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