J1 League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,768 J1 League predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 62 times out of 158, which is 39%; on the double chance it was right 122 times out of 185, which is 66%.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in J1 League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 158 62 39.2%
Double chance 185 122 65.9%
Over or under 2.5 goals 189 109 57.7%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 104 73 70.2%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 55 42 76.4%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads J1 League

J1 League matches in this archive average 2.54 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 46% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 48% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 41% of J1 League matches here and draws 27%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads J1 League best, at 66% from 185 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 39% from 158.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 104 calls of over 2.5 in J1 League also cleared 1.5 goals 70% of the time, and our 55 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 76% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,768, newest first.

Date Match Score Our call Goals call Safer line
Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol 2:4 Drawat 3.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock 2:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga 1:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka 1:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Urawa v Tokyo Verdy 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Shimizu S-pulse v JEF United Chiba 2:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 Away winat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima 3:3 Drawat 3.40 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Urawa v Fagiano Okayama 1:2 Away winat 2.90 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba 1:1 Away winat 3.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo 0:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus 2:0 Away winat 2.05 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka 6:1 Home winat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1 Drawat 3.70 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 Away winat 2.50 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Kawasaki Frontale 0:1 Away winat 2.05 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Vissel Kobe v Kashima 2:1 Home winat 3.00 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 Away winat 1.80 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss Under 3.5at 1.40 Miss
FC Tokyo v Kyoto Sanga 2:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse 3:1 Away winat 3.90 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki 3:1 Home winat 1.65 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F. Marinos 0:2 Home winat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 Away winat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
JEF United Chiba v Gamba Osaka 2:0 Away winat 2.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia 1:3 Away winat 2.15 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Kashima v Urawa 0:1 Home winat 1.75 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 Away winat 2.90 Miss Under 2.5at 1.50 Miss Under 3.5at 1.17 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v Kashima 0:2 Away winat 1.73 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka 1:0 Away winat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Urawa v Yokohama F. Marinos 3:2 Away winat 2.90 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama 2:1 Away winat 2.80 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba 4:2 Home winat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Shimizu S-pulse v Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 Away winat 2.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
V-varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo 0:3 Away winat 1.70 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Machida Zelvia 1:1 Away winat 2.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Hit Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Urawa 3:1 Drawat 3.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe 1:0 Drawat 3.25 Miss Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Miss
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 Home winat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Mito Hollyhock 1:3 Away winat 3.75 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S-pulse 1:0 Home winat 2.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka 3:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Kashima v Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Over 2.5at 2.35 Hit Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba 2:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v V-varen Nagasaki 4:2 Home winat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Urawa v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:4 Away winat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka 3:0 Away winat 2.75 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v Kyoto Sanga 2:2 Home winat 2.25 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

J1 League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including J1 League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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