J1 League results and our prediction record

We have published 1,813 J1 League predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 733 times out of 1,813, which is 40%; on the double chance it was right 1,244 times out of 1,813, which is 69%.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in J1 League

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 1,813 733 40.4%
Double chance 1,813 1,244 68.6%
Over or under 2.5 goals 1,813 955 52.7%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 876 640 73.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 937 731 78.0%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads J1 League

J1 League matches in this archive average 2.56 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 47% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 48% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 41% of J1 League matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 35% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads J1 League best, at 69% from 1,813 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 40% from 1,813.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 876 calls of over 2.5 in J1 League also cleared 1.5 goals 73% of the time, and our 937 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 78% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded J1 League match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,813, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
JEF United Chiba v Avispa Fukuoka 3:0 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy 1:2 Away winat 2.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Yokohama F. Marinos v Kawasaki Frontale 4:2 Away winat 2.15 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.35 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa 4:0 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 2.25 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus 3:1 Home winat 2.05 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Kashima v Cerezo Osaka 4:1 Away winat 4.33 Miss Draw or awayat 2.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-pulse 2:0 Away winat 2.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo 0:4 Away winat 1.91 Hit Home or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock 6:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama 2:1 Away winat 3.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba 2:2 Home winat 1.73 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki 1:0 Home winat 1.60 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1 Away winat 2.75 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga 2:2 Home winat 1.91 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka 3:1 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Under 2.5at 1.44 Miss Under 3.5at 1.14 Miss
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse 4:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Urawa v JEF United Chiba 3:2 Drawat 3.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.15 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy 2:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia 0:5 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Fagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock 2:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4:0 Away winat 1.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Miss Over 2.5at 1.60 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Kashima 2:2 Drawat 3.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss
Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka 1:2 Away winat 2.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka 1:1 Away winat 2.90 Miss Home or awayat 1.28 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka 3:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe 0:3 Drawat 3.10 Miss Home or drawat 1.50 Miss Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus 1:3 Home winat 1.60 Miss Home or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Urawa 0:1 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale 2:4 Home winat 2.70 Miss Home or drawat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki 2:0 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga 3:0 Home winat 1.36 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo 0:4 Away winat 1.65 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.73 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka 2:2 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus 1:2 Away winat 3.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 Away winat 1.48 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse 1:2 Away winat 2.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
JEF United Chiba v V-varen Nagasaki 1:1 Drawat 3.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia 0:1 Away winat 1.90 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
FC Tokyo v Urawa 3:0 Home winat 1.65 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama 2:1 Away winat 2.38 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Miss Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Kashiwa Reysol v Vissel Kobe 4:2 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Kashima v Gamba Osaka 2:0 Drawat 3.60 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Machida Zelvia v Kashiwa Reysol 2:4 Drawat 3.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock 2:0 Home winat 1.91 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus 1:0 Home winat 1.75 Hit Home or drawat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Miss
Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga 1:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

J1 League teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including J1 League, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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