Bundesliga (Germany) results and our prediction record
We have published 1,861 Bundesliga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 883 times out of 1,861, which is 47%; on the double chance it was right 1,375 times out of 1,861, which is 74%.
Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Bundesliga
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1,861 | 883 | 47.4% |
| Double chance | 1,861 | 1,375 | 73.9% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 1,861 | 1,102 | 59.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 1,316 | 1,119 | 85.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 545 | 347 | 63.7% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Bundesliga
Bundesliga matches in this archive average 3.18 goals, against 2.70 across the 57 competitions we cover. 61% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 71% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 44% of Bundesliga matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Bundesliga best, at 74% from 1,861 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 47% from 1,861.
Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 1,316 calls of over 2.5 in Bundesliga also cleared 1.5 goals 85% of the time, and our 545 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 64% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.
Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,861, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV | 3:1 | Drawat 4.50 Miss | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Union Berlin v FC Koln | 1:1 | Away winat 2.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund | 2:2 | Home winat 1.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim | 2:0 | Drawat 3.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 | 0:0 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg | 1:2 | Away winat 2.15 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart | 2:4 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig | 0:2 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 | 4:1 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| SC Freiburg v Bayern Munich | 1:3 | Away winat 1.36 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.25 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.07 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen | 3:0 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1:0 | Home winat 1.48 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen | 2:3 | Home winat 1.73 Miss | Home or drawat 1.18 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg | 4:0 | Drawat 4.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.62 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV | 1:0 | Away winat 3.00 Miss | Home or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| FC Augsburg v Union Berlin | 1:1 | Home winat 1.83 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| FC Koln v FC Schalke 04 | 0:0 | Home winat 2.05 Miss | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Monchengladbach | 2:3 | Home winat 1.38 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.28 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 1:2 | Away winat 2.05 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg | 2:1 | Home winat 1.70 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig | 6:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart | 1:0 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg | 4:3 | Away winat 2.60 Miss | Home or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07 | 2:2 | Home winat 1.75 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| FC Schalke 04 v FSV Mainz 05 | 0:1 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund | 0:0 | Away winat 1.57 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln | 1:0 | Away winat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04 | 2:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| FC Koln v Borussia Monchengladbach | 2:1 | Home winat 2.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 6:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3:4 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 2:3 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Union Berlin v SV Elversberg | 1:0 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart | 0:2 | Away winat 1.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 2:2 | Away winat 1.18 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 2:2 | Home winat 1.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v 1899 Hoffenheim | 3:1 | Away winat 1.67 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg | 0:0 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig | 2:0 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund | 0:1 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg | 3:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Hamburger SV v FC Koln | 2:1 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 | 3:4 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg | 2:2 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Union Berlin | 7:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.12 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| SV Elversberg v Bayern Munich | 1:2 | Away winat 1.14 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV | 5:0 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| FC Koln v Werder Bremen | 1:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart | 2:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen | 2:2 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Bundesliga teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Bundesliga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.