Bundesliga (Germany) results and our prediction record

We have published 1,825 Bundesliga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 93 times out of 197, which is 47%; on the double chance it was right 155 times out of 202, which is 77%.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Bundesliga

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 197 93 47.2%
Double chance 202 155 76.7%
Over or under 2.5 goals 4 2 2 of 4 too few to quote a rate
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 38 27 71.1%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 88 63 71.6%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Bundesliga

Bundesliga matches in this archive average 3.18 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 61% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 70% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 44% of Bundesliga matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Bundesliga best, at 77% from 202 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 47% from 197.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 38 calls of over 2.5 in Bundesliga also cleared 1.5 goals 71% of the time, and our 88 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 72% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,825, newest first.

Date Match Score Our call Goals call Safer line
SC Paderborn 07 v 1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Away winat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg 0:0 Home winat 2.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig 2:0 Home winat 1.95 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund 0:1 Away winat 2.75 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss
Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg 3:2 Away winat 2.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Hamburger SV v FC Koln 2:1 Away winat 2.45 Miss Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 3:4 Away winat 2.20 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg 2:2 Away winat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Bayern Munich v Union Berlin 7:0 Home winat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.12 Hit Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
SV Elversberg v Bayern Munich 1:2 Away winat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit
RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV 5:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
FC Koln v Werder Bremen 1:1 Away winat 3.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart 2:1 Away winat 2.62 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Away winat 1.80 Miss Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Home winat 1.95 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07 3:0 Home winat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
SC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach 5:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04 1:3 Drawat 3.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Augsburg 1:4 Away winat 3.50 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 0:5 Drawat 3.50 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich 0:0 Away winat 1.17 Miss Over 2.5at 1.22 Miss Over 1.5at 1.06 Miss
Borussia Monchengladbach v SV Elversberg 3:4 Away winat 3.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin 4:0 Home winat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund 2:3 Drawat 3.90 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
SC Paderborn 07 v SC Freiburg 0:1 Away winat 1.95 Hit Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig 3:1 Away winat 1.73 Miss Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
VfB Stuttgart v FC Koln 4:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 3:0 Away winat 3.10 Miss Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen 4:1 Home winat 1.91 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV 2:0 Home winat 1.30 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07 0:0 Away winat 5.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 Drawat 3.60 Hit Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss
RB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach 3:0 Home winat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen 3:2 Drawat 4.50 Miss Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
FC Koln v 1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 Away winat 2.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart 5:1 Home winat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit
FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Home winat 2.80 Miss Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss
SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig 4:1 Away winat 2.30 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 0:2 Away winat 3.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart 2:2 Away winat 1.85 Miss Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit
Union Berlin v FC Augsburg 4:0 Away winat 2.40 Miss Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss
Bayern Munich v FC Koln 5:1 Home winat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.12 Hit Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit
Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund 0:2 Away winat 1.95 Hit Under 2.5at 3.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.80 Hit
Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburger SV 1:1 Home winat 1.25 Miss Under 2.5at 3.75 Hit Under 3.5at 2.10 Hit
Borussia Monchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim 4:0 Away winat 1.67 Miss Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit
FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin 1:3 Home winat 1.70 Miss Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
FC Koln v FC Heidenheim 1:3 Home winat 1.95 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg 3:2 Home winat 2.62 Hit Under 2.5at 2.10 Miss Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss
VfL Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich 0:1 Away winat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.28 Miss Over 1.5at 1.07 Miss
VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 Drawat 4.00 Miss Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit

The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Bundesliga teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Other competitions in Germany

All competitions we keep a record for

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Bundesliga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

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