Bundesliga (Germany) results and our prediction record
We have published 1,834 Bundesliga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 37 times out of 67, which is 55%; on the double chance it was right 4 times out of 5, too few to put a rate on.
Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in Bundesliga
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 67 | 37 | 55.2% |
| Double chance | 5 | 4 | 4 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 203 | 105 | 51.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 5 | 3 | 3 of 5 too few to quote a rate |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 75 | 47 | 62.7% |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads Bundesliga
Bundesliga matches in this archive average 3.18 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 61% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 70% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 44% of Bundesliga matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 38% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, match result is where the model reads Bundesliga best, at 55% from 67 picks, and over or under 2.5 goals is where it reads it worst, at 52% from 203.
Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 1,834, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04 | 2:1 | Home winat 1.62 Hit | Home or drawat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| FC Koln v Borussia Monchengladbach | 2:1 | Home winat 2.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 6:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3:4 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 2:3 | Home winat 1.42 Miss | Home or drawat 1.10 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Union Berlin v SV Elversberg | 1:0 | Away winat 2.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Miss | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart | 0:2 | Away winat 1.60 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 2:2 | Away winat 1.18 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.05 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.14 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 2:2 | Home winat 1.33 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v 1899 Hoffenheim | 3:1 | Away winat 1.67 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg | 0:0 | Home winat 2.00 Miss | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig | 2:0 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund | 0:1 | Away winat 2.75 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.11 Miss | |
| Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg | 3:2 | Away winat 2.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Hamburger SV v FC Koln | 2:1 | Away winat 2.45 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 | 3:4 | Away winat 2.20 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg | 2:2 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.53 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v Union Berlin | 7:0 | Home winat 1.06 Hit | Home or drawat 1.01 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.12 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.03 Hit | |
| SV Elversberg v Bayern Munich | 1:2 | Away winat 1.14 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.17 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.04 Hit | |
| RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV | 5:0 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| FC Koln v Werder Bremen | 1:1 | Away winat 3.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.73 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart | 2:1 | Away winat 2.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen | 2:2 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1:3 | Home winat 1.95 Miss | Home or drawat 1.30 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn 07 | 3:0 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| SC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach | 5:0 | Home winat 1.67 Hit | Home or drawat 1.18 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04 | 1:3 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Augsburg | 1:4 | Away winat 3.50 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.80 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 | 0:5 | Drawat 3.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich | 0:0 | Away winat 1.17 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.03 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.06 Miss | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach v SV Elversberg | 3:4 | Away winat 3.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin | 4:0 | Home winat 1.44 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund | 2:3 | Drawat 3.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| SC Paderborn 07 v SC Freiburg | 0:1 | Away winat 1.95 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig | 3:1 | Away winat 1.73 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| VfB Stuttgart v FC Koln | 4:1 | Home winat 1.53 Hit | Home or awayat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit | |
| FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 | 3:0 | Away winat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen | 4:1 | Home winat 1.91 Hit | Home or drawat 1.22 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV | 2:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07 | 0:0 | Away winat 5.00 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.15 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Miss | |
| Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt | 3:3 | Drawat 3.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.50 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.30 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.53 Miss | |
| RB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach | 3:0 | Home winat 1.57 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen | 3:2 | Drawat 4.50 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss | |
| FC Koln v 1899 Hoffenheim | 3:2 | Away winat 2.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart | 5:1 | Home winat 1.25 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.22 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.06 Hit | |
| FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg | 1:3 | Home winat 2.80 Miss | Home or drawat 1.57 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.20 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.50 Miss | |
| SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig | 4:1 | Away winat 2.30 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit | |
| FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 | 0:2 | Away winat 3.40 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart | 2:2 | Away winat 1.85 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.30 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.08 Hit | |
| Union Berlin v FC Augsburg | 4:0 | Away winat 2.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 2.62 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
Bundesliga teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Bundesliga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.