HNL results and our prediction record
We have published 899 HNL predictions since May 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.
Across those matches, on the match result it was right 82 times out of 179, which is 46%; on the double chance it was right 138 times out of 184, which is 75%.
Every concluded HNL match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.
Our record in HNL
Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.
| Market | Predictions | Correct | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 179 | 82 | 45.8% |
| Double chance | 184 | 138 | 75.0% |
| Over or under 2.5 goals | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line | 42 | 32 | 76.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line | 18 | 13 | 13 of 18 too few to quote a rate |
The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.
How the model reads HNL
HNL matches in this archive average 2.61 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 50% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 32% of the matches it calls.
The home side wins 45% of HNL matches here and draws 25%. Our model picks the home side in 39% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads HNL best, at 75% from 184 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 46% from 179.
Every concluded HNL match we predicted
The 50 most recent of 899, newest first.
| Date | Match | Score | Result call | Double chance | Goals call | Safer line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo v HNK Rijeka | 4:1 | Away winat 1.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin | 0:1 | Away winat 2.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| NK Osijek v Istra 1961 | 1:3 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.25 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.73 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v Dinamo Zagreb | 2:1 | Home winat 2.88 Hit | Home or drawat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| HNK Gorica v Rudes | 1:2 | Drawat 3.60 Miss | Draw or awayat 2.20 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.08 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3:2 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Under 2.5at 3.10 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.83 Miss | |
| HNK Rijeka v HNK Hajduk Split | 3:0 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Istra 1961 v HNK Gorica | 0:1 | Drawat 3.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.22 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| NK Varazdin v NK Osijek | 0:0 | Away winat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss | |
| Rudes v NK Slaven Belupo | 2:2 | Away winat 1.90 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin | 2:2 | Away winat 2.05 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v NK Slaven Belupo | 1:0 | Home winat 1.30 Hit | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss | |
| Istra 1961 v Rudes | 3:2 | Home winat 1.45 Hit | Home or drawat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Rijeka | 1:1 | Away winat 1.48 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| NK Osijek v Dinamo Zagreb | 4:2 | Away winat 1.62 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.17 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| NK Slaven Belupo v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2:1 | Drawat 3.20 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.50 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Rudes v HNK Hajduk Split | 0:4 | Away winat 1.27 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.07 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| HNK Rijeka v NK Osijek | 4:1 | Away winat 4.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Miss | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Gorica | 1:0 | Home winat 1.14 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.36 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.10 Miss | |
| NK Varazdin v Istra 1961 | 0:0 | Drawat 3.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.20 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss | |
| HNK Gorica v HNK Rijeka | 0:0 | Away winat 1.55 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2:0 | Home winat 1.42 Hit | Home or drawat 1.11 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit | |
| NK Osijek v NK Slaven Belupo | 3:0 | Home winat 1.60 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| NK Varazdin v Rudes | 2:0 | Home winat 1.28 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Istra 1961 v Dinamo Zagreb | 2:2 | Away winat 1.42 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.14 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v NK Osijek | 4:0 | Home winat 1.90 Hit | Home or awayat 1.25 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| HNK Rijeka v Istra 1961 | 3:2 | Home winat 1.40 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v NK Varazdin | 3:1 | Home winat 1.33 Hit | Home or drawat 1.10 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| NK Slaven Belupo v HNK Gorica | 2:0 | Drawat 3.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.44 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Rudes v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4:1 | Away winat 1.42 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.08 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.56 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.15 Hit | |
| HNK Gorica v HNK Hajduk Split | 1:2 | Away winat 1.80 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.90 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| NK Varazdin v HNK Rijeka | 2:0 | Away winat 2.10 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| NK Osijek v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1:0 | Home winat 1.95 Hit | Home or drawat 1.28 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit | |
| Istra 1961 v NK Slaven Belupo | 3:0 | Away winat 3.75 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v Rudes | 4:0 | Home winat 1.10 Hit | Home or draw Hit | Over 2.5at 1.33 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.10 Hit | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v Istra 1961 | 2:2 | Home winat 1.38 Miss | Home or drawat 1.08 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.15 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.44 Miss | |
| NK Slaven Belupo v NK Varazdin | 1:4 | Home winat 2.40 Miss | Home or drawat 1.44 Miss | Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Gorica | 3:1 | Drawat 3.25 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss | |
| Rudes v NK Osijek | 1:6 | Away win Hit | Draw or away Hit | Over 2.5 Hit | Over 1.5 Hit | |
| HNK Rijeka v Rudes | 2:1 | Home winat 1.22 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit | |
| NK Varazdin v HNK Hajduk Split | 2:1 | Away winat 1.91 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.30 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| HNK Gorica v NK Osijek | 0:2 | Home winat 2.38 Miss | Home or drawat 1.36 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.67 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit | |
| Istra 1961 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2:3 | Away winat 3.10 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit | |
| Dinamo Zagreb v NK Slaven Belupo | 2:0 | Home winat 1.20 Hit | Home or drawat 1.06 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.88 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.73 Hit | |
| NK Varazdin v Istra 1961 | 2:0 | Home winat 2.05 Hit | Home or drawat 1.33 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss | Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit | |
| HNK Rijeka v HNK Gorica | 2:0 | Home winat 1.65 Hit | Home or drawat 1.17 Hit | Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit | |
| HNK Hajduk Split v Vukovar | 6:3 | Home winat 1.18 Hit | Home or drawat 1.04 Hit | Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit | Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit | |
| NK Osijek v NK Slaven Belupo | 2:0 | Away winat 3.40 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss | Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit | |
| NK Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb | 1:4 | Away winat 1.38 Hit | Draw or awayat 1.11 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.60 Miss | Under 3.5at 1.67 Miss | |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Hajduk Split | 1:1 | Away winat 1.80 Miss | Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit | Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit | Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit |
Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.
HNL teams
Each of these has its own record, match by match.
Where the predictions for upcoming matches are
This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including HNL, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.