Primera A results and our prediction record

We have published 2,281 Primera A predictions since June 2021, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 9 times out of 25, which is 36%; on the double chance it was right 174 times out of 248, which is 70%.

Every concluded Primera A match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Primera A

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 25 9 36.0%
Double chance 248 174 70.2%
Over or under 2.5 goals 54 27 50.0%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 48 31 64.6%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 54 46 85.2%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Primera A

Primera A matches in this archive average 2.29 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 40% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 19% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 46% of Primera A matches here and draws 30%. Our model picks the home side in 32% of them, so it backs the home side less often than the home side wins. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Primera A best, at 70% from 248 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 36% from 25.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 48 calls of over 2.5 in Primera A also cleared 1.5 goals 65% of the time, and our 54 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 85% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Primera A match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 2,281, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Junior v La Equidad 2:2 Home winat 1.65 Miss Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Cali 0:0 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Once Caldas v Llaneros 1:0 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Alianza Petrolera v Rionegro Aguilas 2:2 Drawat 3.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Fortaleza FC v Millonarios 1:1 Away win Miss Draw or away Hit Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima 0:0 Home winat 1.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe 0:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Llaneros v America de Cali 1:2 Away winat 2.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 2.10 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Bucaramanga v Junior 3:1 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
La Equidad v Once Caldas 1:1 Away winat 2.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Cucuta v Deportivo Pereira 4:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Miss
Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza FC 0:0 Home win Miss Home or draw Hit Under 2.5 Hit Under 3.5 Hit
Deportes Tolima v Chico 0:0 Home winat 1.33 Miss Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Rionegro Aguilas v Jaguares 2:0 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportivo Cali v Alianza Petrolera 3:1 Home winat 1.53 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
Atletico Nacional v Junior 3:1 Home winat 1.48 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.65 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Independiente Medellin v Millonarios 2:2 Drawat 3.30 Hit Draw or awayat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportivo Pereira v Santa Fe 1:2 Away winat 1.83 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Deportivo Cali v Rionegro Aguilas 2:0 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Hit Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Fortaleza FC v Deportes Tolima 2:2 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Jaguares v Alianza Petrolera 1:2 Drawat 3.00 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Junior v Independiente Medellin 2:0 Drawat 3.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.67 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Hit Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
Cucuta v Llaneros 2:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or awayat 1.36 Hit Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportivo Pereira v La Equidad 0:0 Drawat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Once Caldas v Bucaramanga 1:3 Home winat 1.90 Miss Home or drawat 1.22 Miss Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Chico v Deportivo Pasto 3:0 Away winat 2.90 Miss Draw or away Miss Over 2.5at 2.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.44 Hit
Atletico Nacional v Millonarios 1:1 Home winat 1.75 Miss Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.80 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
America de Cali v Rionegro Aguilas 1:0 Away winat 5.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.25 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Santa Fe v Deportivo Cali 0:1 Drawat 3.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.60 Hit Under 3.5at 1.20 Hit
Independiente Medellin v Jaguares 2:1 Home winat 1.30 Hit Home or drawat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Llaneros v Atletico Nacional 2:0 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.22 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Deportes Tolima v America de Cali 1:1 Drawat 3.20 Hit Draw or awayat 1.57 Hit Over 2.5at 2.35 Miss Over 1.5at 1.40 Hit
Bucaramanga v La Equidad 2:0 Home winat 1.67 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Fortaleza FC v Junior 1:4 Away win Hit Draw or away Hit Under 2.5 Miss Under 3.5 Miss
Deportivo Pasto v Once Caldas 1:0 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.73 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Deportivo Cali v Cucuta 3:0 Home winat 1.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 2.08 Hit Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Alianza Petrolera v Santa Fe 1:4 Away winat 2.60 Hit Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Millonarios v Chico 3:0 Home winat 1.28 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Rionegro Aguilas v Deportivo Pereira 2:2 Home winat 1.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Bucaramanga v Independiente Medellin 2:2 Drawat 3.20 Hit Home or drawat 1.33 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
La Equidad v Atletico Nacional 2:3 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Once Caldas v Deportes Tolima 1:0 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
Chico v Alianza Petrolera 1:2 Home winat 2.20 Miss Home or drawat 1.30 Miss Under 2.5at 1.53 Miss Under 3.5at 1.18 Hit
America de Cali v Deportivo Pasto 0:1 Home winat 1.42 Miss Home or drawat 1.08 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Cucuta v Millonarios 1:2 Away winat 1.85 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Once Caldas v Deportivo Cali 1:2 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.65 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Hit
Atletico Nacional v Rionegro Aguilas 2:0 Home winat 1.40 Hit Home or drawat 1.08 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Deportivo Pereira v Bucaramanga 1:3 Away winat 1.75 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 1.62 Miss Under 3.5at 1.22 Miss
Alianza Petrolera v Junior 1:0 Away winat 2.25 Miss Draw or awayat 1.33 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Hit Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Chico v Independiente Medellin 2:1 Away winat 1.80 Miss Draw or awayat 1.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Primera A teams

Each of these has its own record, match by match.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Primera A, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.

App Store Google Play